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by Erik Gibbs in NBA Picks
The Memphis Grizzlies take on the Miami Heat tonight in what promises to be an intriguing early-season matchup between two teams with contrasting starts to the campaign. Memphis began the new NBA season with a statement victory, defeating the New Orleans Pelicans 128–122 at home. It wasn't an easy win, though—the Grizzlies had to overcome both foul trouble and a double-digit halftime deficit.
Trailing by 11 at the break, they roared back in the third quarter with a dominant 41–22 run that completely flipped the game's momentum. That stretch showcased their trademark energy, transition play, and ability to turn defense into offense, even while missing key players due to injury.
On the other side, the Miami Heat enter this game still searching for their rhythm after a 125–121 loss to the Orlando Magic in their opener. The game was there for the taking—Miami led by seven points midway through the fourth quarter—but a cold stretch lasting over four minutes without a field goal ultimately cost them the win.
Despite the loss, head coach Erik Spoelstra saw encouraging signs in his team's movement and defense for much of the night.
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Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
|
10
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
Miami Heat and Memphis Grizzlies Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Oct 22, 2025 - NBA
Jul 18, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 17, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 14, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 13, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 11, 2025 - NBA Summer League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jul 17, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 14, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 11, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 6, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 5, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Apr 28, 2025 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Oct 22, 2025 - NBA
Jul 18, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 13, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 8, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Apr 23, 2025 - NBA
Apr 20, 2025 - NBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Oct 22, 2025 - NBA
Jul 20, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 17, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 15, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 12, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 11, 2025 - NBA Summer League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Oct 22, 2025 - NBA
Jul 17, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 15, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Apr 26, 2025 - NBA
Apr 24, 2025 - NBA
Apr 18, 2025 - NBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 20, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 12, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 11, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 8, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 7, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Jul 5, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Miami Heat against Memphis Grizzlies : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Apr 3, 2025 - NBA
Mar 15, 2025 - NBA
Jan 24, 2024 - NBA
Nov 8, 2023 - NBA
Mar 15, 2023 - NBA
Dec 6, 2021 - NBA
Miami Heat - Memphis Grizzlies Key Points
- The Grizzlies were 41-38-3 ATS last season
- The Heat were 12-10-1 ATS last season as underdogs of 4.5 points or greater
- The Over was 44-38 in the Heat's 82 games last season
- The Over was 47-35 in the Grizzlies 82 games last season
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Our Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction
Ja Morant was the star of the show, posting 35 points and taking over in crunch time. His explosive athleticism and fearless attacking style once again proved decisive, especially when he sank a clutch basket with 33 seconds remaining to seal the win. The performance reaffirmed his role as the emotional and offensive leader of this young Memphis squad.
Head coach Taylor Jenkins will hope Morant's momentum carries over into tonight's clash against Miami, especially as the Grizzlies continue to deal with multiple absences. Ty Jerome, Scotty Pippen Jr., Brandon Clarke, Zach Edey, and Vince Williams Jr. are all ruled out, leaving the team somewhat thin in the rotation.
For the Heat, Herro, the team's leading scorer, remains sidelined with an injury, and without him, Miami's offense lacked a consistent perimeter threat and secondary playmaker. Kasparas Jakucionis is also unavailable, further testing the team's depth.
Given the circumstances, the Grizzlies are expected to dictate the tempo from the opening tip. Their ability to push the pace, force turnovers, and attack in transition could exploit Miami's limited rotation and slower half-court sets. If Morant receives strong support from Desmond Bane and Jaren Jackson Jr., Memphis should be able to pull away late.
The Heat's defensive discipline will keep them competitive, but without Herro's scoring punch, they may struggle to keep up once the Grizzlies find their rhythm. Expect Memphis to cover the spread comfortably, with a projected final score around 120–110 in favor of the home team. Our prediction for Memphis Grizzlies vs. Miami Heat: Over 232.5 points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
