Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction & Picks - NBA

Prediction published on 12/26/25, 3:45 PM  by Erik Gibbs | Modified on 12/26/25 at 9:20 PM in NBA Picks

The Atlanta Hawks take on the Miami Heat tonight amid a difficult run, having dropped four straight games and struggling to maintain defensive consistency. Over their recent stretch, Atlanta has continued to score at a healthy rate, but those efforts have been undermined by poor defensive rotations and high opponent shooting percentages. Home games have not provided relief, as the Hawks have failed to close out winnable contests due to lapses late in games.

The Miami Heat are dealing with their own inconsistency, also losing three consecutive games. Miami's recent results reflect offensive stagnation rather than defensive issues, as scoring droughts have repeatedly placed them in early deficits. While the Heat remain disciplined defensively, their inability to sustain offensive rhythm has limited their ability to recover once trailing. With both teams hovering around the play-in range, this game carries added significance.

Atlanta's offensive firepower gives them an edge if pace increases, while Miami's defensive discipline favors a slower contest. Playing at home, the Hawks hold a slight advantage, but only if they show improved defensive focus.