Florida State Seminoles vs Miami Hurricanes Prediction & Picks - NCAA

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Florida State Seminoles
10/4/25 19:30
Miami Hurricanes

Prediction:

 

Miami Hurricanes ML

-198
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 by Matt Lowrimore | in NCAA Picks

Perhaps the biggest game on the Saturday Week 6 college football slate will be an ACC matchup between the 3rd-ranked Miami Hurricanes and the 18th-ranked Florida State Seminoles. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Hurricanes and the Seminoles.

Miami enters this game with a record of 4-0, and this will be their first ACC game of the season. The Hurricanes most recently beat the Florida Gators in Week 4 by a score of 26-7. Miami’s offense had a total of 344 yards, while its defense allowed 141 yards. Quarterback Carson Beck threw for 160 yards and one interception, while running back Mark Fletcher Jr. led the team in rushing with 116 yards and one touchdown.

As for Florida State, they enter this game with a record of 3-1 and are 0-1 in the ACC. The Seminoles most recently lost to the Virginia Cavaliers in Week 5 by a score of 46-38 in double overtime. Florida State’s offense had a total of 514 yards, while its defense allowed 440 yards. Quarterback Tommy Castellanos threw for 254 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while also leading the team in rushing with 78 yards and one touchdown.

Florida State Seminoles vs Miami Hurricanes Form

Table

Florida State Seminoles and Miami Hurricanes Latest Matches

Florida State Seminoles
Florida State Seminoles Latest matches
L W W W L
Victories

3/5 (60%)

Defeats

2/5 (40%)

Sep 26, 2025 - NCAA

Virginia Cavaliers
46 :  38
Florida State Seminoles

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

Florida State Seminoles
66 :  10
Kent State Golden Flashes

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

Florida State Seminoles
77 :  3
East Texas AM Lions

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

Florida State Seminoles
31 :  17
Alabama Crimson Tide

Aug 24, 2024 - NCAA

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
24 :  21
Florida State Seminoles
W W W
Victories

3/3 (100%)

Defeats

0/3 (0%)

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

Florida State Seminoles
66 :  10
Kent State Golden Flashes

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

Florida State Seminoles
77 :  3
East Texas AM Lions

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

Florida State Seminoles
31 :  17
Alabama Crimson Tide
L L
Victories

0/2 (0%)

Defeats

2/2 (100%)

Sep 26, 2025 - NCAA

Virginia Cavaliers
46 :  38
Florida State Seminoles

Aug 24, 2024 - NCAA

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
24 :  21
Florida State Seminoles
Miami Hurricanes
Miami Hurricanes Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

Miami Hurricanes
26 :  7
Florida Gators

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

Miami Hurricanes
49 :  12
South Florida Bulls

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

Miami Hurricanes
45 :  3
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats

Aug 31, 2025 - NCAA

Miami Hurricanes
27 :  24
Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Sep 21, 2024 - NCAA

South Florida Bulls
15 :  50
Miami Hurricanes

Sep 14, 2024 - NCAA

Miami Hurricanes
62 :  0
Ball State Cardinals
W W W W W
Victories

5/5 (100%)

Defeats

0/5 (0%)

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

Miami Hurricanes
26 :  7
Florida Gators

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

Miami Hurricanes
49 :  12
South Florida Bulls

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

Miami Hurricanes
45 :  3
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats

Aug 31, 2025 - NCAA

Miami Hurricanes
27 :  24
Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Sep 14, 2024 - NCAA

Miami Hurricanes
62 :  0
Ball State Cardinals
W W
Victories

2/2 (100%)

Defeats

0/2 (0%)

Sep 21, 2024 - NCAA

South Florida Bulls
15 :  50
Miami Hurricanes

Aug 31, 2024 - NCAA

Florida Gators
17 :  41
Miami Hurricanes

Florida State Seminoles - Miami Hurricanes Key Points

  1. Miami is 3-1 ATS this season
  2. Florida State is 3-1 ATS this season
  3. Miami is averaging 36.8 points per game this season
  4. Florida State is averaging 53.0 points per game this season

Our Florida State Seminoles vs Miami Hurricanes Prediction

The loss by Florida State in Week 5 has certainly taken some of the pedigree out of this game; however, it is still a crucial game as it pertains to the ACC. The Seminoles showed some of their vulnerabilities last week against Virginia, but now return home, looking for a bounce-back win in what is likely a must-win situation.

As for Miami, they are coming off a bye week after completely shutting down Florida in Week 4. Their defense is starting to prove it is one of the best in the country, and they have an explosive rushing attack to help quarterback Carson Beck manage the offense. 

With this being a rivalry, it is sure to be a closely contested game; however, Miami looks too balanced on both sides of the ball. For that reason, our Miami Hurricanes vs Florida State Seminoles prediction is: Miami Hurricanes ML.

Prediction:

 

Miami Hurricanes ML

-198
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Florida State Seminoles vs Miami Hurricanes Picks