Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Prediction & Picks - NFL
USA - NFL
New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Bill Christy in NFL Picks
The New England Patriots (13-3) will host the Miami Dolphins (7-9) in a divisional game to wrap the regular season. While Miami has already been eliminated from the playoffs, it will have a chance to play spoiler and prevent the Patriots from having any shot at the #1 overall seed for the AFC.
It has been another injury-ridden and underachieving year for Mike McDaniel’s Miami Dolphins. They lost Tyreek Hill relatively early in the season, and the team fell to 1-6 through their 1st 7 games of the season. But credit must be given to them and McDaniel, as they were able to put together 5 wins over their next 6 games and fought to get back in a position where the playoffs were a possibility. However, back-to-back losses to Pittsburgh and Cincinnati closed the door on their chances. They are coming off a 20-17 win over Tampa Bay, which proved they have not completely packed it in just yet.
New England has certainly been the biggest surprise team of the season. Sure, many thought they would contend for the division, but no one saw 13 and possibly 14 wins coming from this team. Now, they have their eyes set on a potential 1 seed and a deep run at yet another Super Bowl. Drake Maye has been playing at an MVP caliber and just tossed 5 touchdowns last week against the Jets.
The Patriots are riding high, as they should be, but they can not afford to take this Miami team lightly if they want to keep their hopes of the 1 seed alive.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
0.824 | 17 | 14 | 0 | 3 |
|
22
|
0.412 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 10 |
Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Dec 28, 2025 - NFL
Dec 21, 2025 - NFL
Dec 15, 2025 - NFL
Dec 7, 2025 - NFL
Nov 30, 2025 - NFL
Nov 16, 2025 - NFL
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Dec 28, 2025 - NFL
Dec 21, 2025 - NFL
Nov 30, 2025 - NFL
Nov 16, 2025 - NFL
Nov 9, 2025 - NFL
Oct 30, 2025 - NFL
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Dec 15, 2025 - NFL
Dec 7, 2025 - NFL
Oct 26, 2025 - NFL
Oct 19, 2025 - NFL
Oct 5, 2025 - NFL
Sep 18, 2025 - NFL
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Dec 28, 2025 - NFL
Dec 21, 2025 - NFL
Dec 14, 2025 - NFL
Dec 1, 2025 - NFL
Nov 23, 2025 - NFL
Nov 13, 2025 - NFL
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Dec 14, 2025 - NFL
Dec 1, 2025 - NFL
Nov 13, 2025 - NFL
Nov 2, 2025 - NFL
Oct 26, 2025 - NFL
Sep 28, 2025 - NFL
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Dec 28, 2025 - NFL
Dec 21, 2025 - NFL
Nov 23, 2025 - NFL
Nov 9, 2025 - NFL
Oct 19, 2025 - NFL
Oct 12, 2025 - NFL
Miami Dolphins against New England Patriots : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
Sep 14, 2025 - NFL
Nov 24, 2024 - NFL
Oct 6, 2024 - NFL
Oct 29, 2023 - NFL
Sep 17, 2023 - NFL
Jan 9, 2022 - NFL
Miami Dolphins - New England Patriots Key Points
- New England is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games played in January.
- New England is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games against Miami.
- Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New England.
- Miami is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games against an opponent in the AFC East division.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Prediction
The Patriots have been dealing with some off the field issues. Stefon Diggs and Christian Barmore are both looking at potential charges and have caused some distractions. The Dolphins have been playing better football over the later part of the season, but it feels like they should still be getting more points here against the powerhouse Patriots team. The public is backing the Patriots, which has pushed us to back the Dolphins here.
Our prediction for New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins: Miami +10.5
Claim $300 for your Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots wager!

Would you like to bet on Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots? For this NFL match, DK treats you to an exclusive offer: a bonus of $300, no promo code needed! Take advantage while you still can!
Not registered yet? You can create your account now with our link below. A bonus of $300 awaits you on the Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots match!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.