Mexico vs Honduras Prediction & Picks - CONCACAF Gold Cup

International - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
7/2/25 22:00
Honduras

Prediction:

 

Mexico to win and both teams to score

+245
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 by Simon Day in CONCACAF Gold Cup Picks

Mexico take on Honduras in Santa Clara on Wednesday evening, with a place in the 2025 CONCACAF Gold Cup final the prize for the winner. Mexico will go into the contest as heavy favorites following their comfortable 2-0 victory over Saudi Arabia in the quarter finals, but Honduras have shown superb resilience in the tournament so far, bouncing back from a 6-0 defeat in their opening game to make the semi finals for the first time in 12 years. 

The two teams last met in November 2024, when Mexico romped to a comfortable 4-0 victory. However, Honduras came out on top by two goals to nil when the teams faced each other four days prior ot that. Overall, Mexico hold a 30-10 lead in the head-to-head between the sides, including victories in their last four Gold Cup matchups. 

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Mexico vs Honduras Form

Mexico and Honduras Latest Matches

Mexico
Mexico Latest matches
L W W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jun 28, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
2 :  0
Saudi Arabia

Jun 22, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
0 :  0
Costa Rica

Jun 18, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Suriname
0 :  2
Mexico

Jun 14, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
3 :  2
Dominican Republic

Jun 10, 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  0
Turkey

Jun 7, 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  4
Switzerland
W L W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jun 28, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
2 :  0
Saudi Arabia

Jun 22, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
0 :  0
Costa Rica

Jun 14, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
3 :  2
Dominican Republic

Jun 10, 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  0
Turkey

Jun 7, 2025 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  4
Switzerland

Mar 23, 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League

Mexico
2 :  1
Panama
L D L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

Jun 18, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Suriname
0 :  2
Mexico

Mar 20, 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League

Canada
0 :  2
Mexico

Jan 21, 2025 - International Friendlies

River Plate
2 :  0
Mexico

Nov 15, 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Honduras
2 :  0
Mexico

Sep 10, 2024 - International Friendlies

Canada
0 :  0
Mexico

Jun 26, 2024 - Copa America

Venezuela
1 :  0
Mexico
Honduras
Honduras Latest matches
W W L W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jun 28, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Panama
1 :  1
Honduras

Jun 24, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Honduras
2 :  1
Curacao

Jun 21, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Honduras
2 :  0
El Salvador

Jun 17, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Canada
6 :  0
Honduras

Jun 10, 2025 - World Cup

Honduras
2 :  0
Antigua and Barbuda

Jun 7, 2025 - World Cup

Cayman Islands
0 :  1
Honduras
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jun 24, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Honduras
2 :  1
Curacao

Jun 21, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Honduras
2 :  0
El Salvador

Jun 10, 2025 - World Cup

Honduras
2 :  0
Antigua and Barbuda

Mar 25, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Honduras
2 :  0
Bermuda

Nov 15, 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Honduras
2 :  0
Mexico

Sep 10, 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Honduras
1 :  2
Jamaica
L L W W L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jun 28, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Panama
1 :  1
Honduras

Jun 17, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Canada
6 :  0
Honduras

Jun 7, 2025 - World Cup

Cayman Islands
0 :  1
Honduras

Mar 21, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Bermuda
3 :  5
Honduras

Mar 16, 2025 - International Friendlies

Guatemala
2 :  1
Honduras

Nov 19, 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Mexico
4 :  0
Honduras

Mexico against Honduras : Head to Head (H2H)

Mexico

67 %

Draw

0 %

Honduras

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
0%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.67
Goals scored (Team 2)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

Nov 19, 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Mexico
4 :  0
Honduras

Nov 15, 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Honduras
2 :  0
Mexico

Nov 21, 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League

Mexico
2 :  0
Honduras

Nov 17, 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League

Honduras
2 :  0
Mexico

Jun 25, 2023 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Mexico
4 :  0
Honduras

Mar 27, 2022 - World Cup

Honduras
0 :  1
Mexico

Mexico - Honduras: Form Analysis

Mexico have enjoyed a comfortable passage through the Gold Cup so far, registering three wins and a draw from their four games. They opened the tournament by scoring three goals in nine minutes en route to a 3-2 success over El Salvador, before easing past Suriname 2-0 to book their place in the last eight. They completed the group stage with a drab 0-0 draw against Costa Rica, but they returned to something close to their best to defeat Saudi Arabia 2-0 in the quarter finals. 

Honduras doing it the hard way

Honduras's path to the semi finals has been anything but comfortable. They were humiliated 6-0 by Canada in the opening game, but kept their hopes alive by defeating El Salvador 2-0 in their second game. That set up a winner-takes-all final group game against Curacao, which the Hondurans won thanks to a 91st minute goal from Luis Palma. They then had to battle back from 1-0 down against Panama in their quarter final, before eventually prevailing 5-4 in a dramatic penalty shootout. 

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Honduras v Mexico last Lineups

Mexico

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
L. Malagon
22
J. Araujo
4
E. Alvarez
5
J. Vasquez
23
J. Gallardo
14
M. Ruiz
6
E. Lira
7
G. Mora
25
R. Alvarado
9
R. Jimenez
10
A. Vega
11
J. Benguche
12
R. Quioto
23
J. Alvarez
16
E. Rodriguez
20
D. Flores
5
K. Arriaga
8
J. Rosales
3
J. Martinez
2
D. Maldonado
26
L. Crisanto
1
E. Menjivar

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Honduras

Mexico & Honduras Squad Analysis

Mexico got through Saturday's quarter final against Saudi Arabia without picking up any fresh injuries, but they are likely to make one change to their starting lineup. Defender Cesar Montes missed the Saudi game through suspension, but is expected to return to the starting lineup, probably at the expense of Israel Reyes 

Possible starting lineup: Malagon; Sanchez, Montes, Vasquez, M. Chavez; Alvarez, L. Chavez; Alvarado, Ruiz, Vega; Jimenez

Honduras at full strength

Despite Saturday's gruelling 120 minute quarter final against Panama, Honduras head coach Reinaldo Rueda still has a full strength squad to choose from. That means Romell Quioto and Jorge Benguché will continue up front, with Dixon Ramirez providing the backup option on the bench. 

Possible starting lineup: Menjivar; Crisanto, Maldonado, Martinez, Rosales; Arriaga, Flores; Rodriguez, Alvarez, Quioto; Benguche

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Mexico
CD Huachipato Honduras
Top Goalscorer
Mexico C. Montes (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Honduras R. Quioto (1 Goals) Honduras D. Ramirez (1 Goals) Honduras J. Alvarez (1 Goals) Honduras L. Palma (1 Goals) Honduras C. Lozano (1 Goals)
Best assists
Mexico O. Pineda (1 Assists)
Mexico E. Alvarez (1 Assists)
Mexico S. Gimenez (1 Assists)
Mexico A. Vega (1 Assists)
Mexico J. Quinones (1 Assists)
Best assists
Honduras C. Pineda (2 Assists)

Mexico - Honduras Key Points

  1. Mexico have kept clean sheets in each of their last 3 games
  2. Honduras have scored in 8 of their lst 9 matches
  3. Mexico have won 6 of their last 8 fixtures
  4. Honduras have scored at least twice in 4 of their last 5 games
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Our Mexico vs Honduras Prediction

Mexico look to be a class above Honduras, so we are expecting them to comfortably win this one. Javier Aguirre's side are our tips to win the tournament and (along with the USA) they have been the standout performers so far. That being said, Honduras have shown remarkable fortitude in their last three games, so we do think they will put up a strong showing and have the potential to grab at least one goal. Our prediction for Mexico vs Honduras is: Mexico to win and both teams to score.

Prediction:

 

Mexico to win and both teams to score

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Mexico vs Honduras - Other Interesting Picks

Over 3.5 goals

Odds +230
Mexico have been in superb goalscoring form during 2025, and given the way that Honduras were blown away by Canada in their opening match, we think this could be a high scoring encounter. Honduras are also more than capable of finding the net, so we really like the odds of 3.30 on the game having at least four goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Mexico vs Honduras Picks
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