Mexico vs England Prediction & Picks - World Cup
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by Bradley Gibbs | in World Cup Picks
After coming from behind to get the better of DR Congo, the English will take one of the co-hosts in the Round-of-16. Taking on the Mexicans in Mexico City is far from easy, but can Thomas Tuchel’s men do what very few other teams have done in recent times and come out on top?
On paper, a Round-of-32 tie against DR Congo looked fairly straightforward, but in reality, it proved to be far from simple, with the Three Lions going a goal down after less than ten minutes, before going in at half time behind. Fortunately, thanks to world-class finishing of Harry Kane, they turned it around in the second half, setting up an intriguing Round-of-16 fixture against the Mexicans.
The English will be feeling confident, and they certainly appeared to be a group united after that Round-of-32 success, but playing at altitude, in Mexico’s backyard, Tuchel’s men could struggle more than the early odds would have us believe. In the betting, ‘Mexico to Score Over 1.5 Goals’ appeals.
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Mexico vs England Form
Mexico and England Latest Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 30, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 24, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 18, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 11, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 4, 2026 - International Friendlies
May 30, 2026 - International Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 30, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 18, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 11, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 4, 2026 - International Friendlies
May 30, 2026 - International Friendlies
May 22, 2026 - International Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 24, 2026 - World Cup
Jan 25, 2026 - International Friendlies
Jan 22, 2026 - International Friendlies
Jul 6, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jun 18, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
Mar 20, 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jul 1, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 27, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 23, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 17, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 10, 2026 - International Friendlies
Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jul 1, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 23, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 17, 2026 - World Cup
Jun 10, 2026 - International Friendlies
Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies
Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 27, 2026 - World Cup
Nov 16, 2025 - World Cup
Oct 14, 2025 - World Cup
Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup
Jun 7, 2025 - World Cup
Nov 14, 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Mexico - England: Form Analysis
The Mexicans are yet to put a foot wrong at this tournament, winning three out of three in the group stages, before winning their Round-of-32 tie against Ecuador without conceding too. As a result, Javier Aguirre’s men will expect themselves to make life very tough for the English, especially as they are the ones used to competing at altitude in Mexico City.
We know that Tuchel has some top players at his disposal, but his team are struggling to really get going, especially in the final third, which does not bode well ahead of a game against a very strong Mexican side that will have both conditions and the home crowd in favor.
The Three Lions were always going to make it through the group stages unscathed, whether they played well or not. They didn’t play that well, and they still topped the group, so there was no reason for Thomas Tuchel’s men not to fancy themselves to get the better of DR Congo in the Round-of-32, and get the better of the Africans they did, but were they convincing? Absolutely not. We know that Tuchel has some top players at his disposal, but his team are struggling to really get going, especially in the final third, which does not bode well ahead of a game against a very strong Mexican side that will have both conditions and the home crowd in favor.
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England v Mexico last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
C. Acevedo
G. Ochoa
DefenderM. Chavez
I. Reyes
E. Alvarez
MidfielderO. Vargas
B. Gutierrez
A. Fidalgo
L. Chavez
O. Pineda
ForwardA. Gonzalez
S. Gimenez
A. Vega
C. Huerta
G. Martinez
D. Henderson
J. Trafford
DefenderD. Burn
J. Stones
T. Chalobah
R. James
J. Quansah
MidfielderK. Mainoo
J. Henderson
E. Eze
M. Rogers
ForwardI. Toney
O. Watkins
A. Gordon
B. Saka
Missing players
R. James
J. Quansah
MidfielderD. Rice
Mexico & England Squad Analysis
Will the Mexicans make many changes ahead of this game? It seems unlikely. Julian Quinones has been one of the best players at the tournament so far, scoring regularly, and the pacey forward is expected to again feature prominently. Teenage sensation Gilberto Mora has started the last two and should be in the starting XI again. Brian Gutierrez has also caught the eye at this tournament, but he looks booked for a role as an impact sub.
Julian Quinones has been one of the best players at the tournament so far, scoring regularly, and the pacey forward is expected to again feature prominently.
Thomas Tuchel could make a few changes here, especially as his team struggled to really hurt a weaker opponent early on during the previous round. Marcus Rashford and Noni Madueke, both of whom have failed to really make a positive impact, may be switched out for Bukayo Sake and Anthony Gordon, while if the boss wants his team to create more when teams sit back, he could turn to Eberechi Eze.
Most goals and assists
Mexico
England
J. Quinones
(3 Goals)
H. Kane
(5 Goals)
R. Alvarado
(3 Assists)
B. Saka
(2 Assists)
,
A. Gordon
(2 Assists)
Mexico - England Key Points
- The Mexicans come into this match having scored multiple goals last time out.
- The Mexicans have now scored two or more goals in three out of four games at this tournament.
- The Three Lions conceded multiple goals in their only game (at this tournament) against top-20 opponents.
- The Mexicans have scored two or more goals in four of their last five games on Mexican soil.
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Our Mexico vs England Prediction
The English have now gone three games at this World Cup without conceding multiple goals, but let’s be honest, they could easily have conceded twice against DR Congo, while when their highest-ranked opponent (Croatia) did bag multiple goals during the first round of group games.
In unfavorable conditions, the Three Lions may fail to roar offensively, and if they’re not careful, they could come unstuck at the back, especially on the break against a Mexican team that has scored five goals in the last two games.
Our Mexico vs England Pick: Mexico to Score Over 1.5 Goals.
Mexico vs England - Other Interesting Picks
Mexico to Win
If you’re looking to bet on the winner of this game, then side with the Mexicans. The English may be the higher-ranked team, but they are far from used to competing at altitude, while let’s face it, they’ve not exactly been fluent at this tournament. In contrast, the Mexicans have looked very solid, and they know how to use their rather unique home advantage to good effect, so at the very least, they deserve to be priced less generously. Betting on the Mexico win at odds of +220 offers value for money.
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Mexico vs England match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
