Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic Prediction & Picks - ATP Geneva Open

ATP - ATP Geneva Open

ATP 39 Italy
Matteo Arnaldi
5/22/25 12:00
ATP 6 Serbia
Novak Djokovic

Prediction:

 

Novak Djokovic will cover -4.5 games

+125
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 by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks

Novak Djokovic aims to keep the winning vibe going as he sets his sight on a possible semifinal appearance at the 2025 Geneva Open against a tough Italian foe, Matteo Arnaldi, on Thursday.

Djokovic finally breaks the ice, capturing his first clay-court win this year against Marton Fucsovics of Hungary 6-2 6-3 in the second round. After back-to-back second-round exits at Monte Carlo and Madrid, the former world No.1 played his best tennis on the red dirt this year, holding all his serves and winning 80 percent of his first serves. He also broke Fucsovics three times off the back of 26 return points to net a straight-set win.

Arnaldi punched his ticket to the quarterfinal of the Geneva Open with a hard-earned victory over Fabian Marozsan of Hungary, 6-3, 7-6(3). Arnaldi, who also bested Hugo Gaston 6-7(6) 6-4 6-4 in the first round, connected 63 percent of his first serves to win 33 points off of them. He also scored 20 more points on his second serves to wrap up the win in two sets.

Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic Form

Matteo Arnaldi and Novak Djokovic Latest Matches

Matteo Arnaldi Latest matches
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 21, 2025 - ATP Geneva Open

Matteo Arnaldi
2 :  0
Fabian Marozsan

May 19, 2025 - ATP Geneva Open

Matteo Arnaldi
2 :  1
Hugo Gaston

May 8, 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Matteo Arnaldi
0 :  2
Roberto Bautista-Agut

May 1, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Jack Draper
2 :  0
Matteo Arnaldi

Apr 30, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Frances Tiafoe
0 :  2
Matteo Arnaldi

Apr 28, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Damir Dzumhur
0 :  2
Matteo Arnaldi
Novak Djokovic Latest matches
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 21, 2025 - ATP Geneva Open

Marton Fucsovics
0 :  2
Novak Djokovic

Apr 26, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Matteo Arnaldi
2 :  0
Novak Djokovic

Apr 9, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Novak Djokovic
0 :  2
Alejandro Tabilo

Mar 30, 2025 - ATP Miami

Jakub Mensik
2 :  0
Novak Djokovic

Mar 28, 2025 - ATP Miami

Novak Djokovic
2 :  0
Grigor Dimitrov

Mar 27, 2025 - ATP Miami

Sebastian Korda
0 :  2
Novak Djokovic

Matteo Arnaldi against Novak Djokovic : Head to Head (H2H)

Apr 26, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Matteo Arnaldi
2 :  0
Novak Djokovic
Compare Matteo Arnaldi and Novak Djokovic with our comparison tool.

Matteo Arnaldi - Novak Djokovic Key Points

  1. Novak Djokovic defeated Marton Fucsovics 6-2 6-3 in the second round of the 2025 Geneva Open.
  2. Novak Djokovic 1-2 on clay in 2025
  3. Matteo Arnaldi defeated Fabian Marozsan 6-3 7-6(3) in the second round of the 2025 Geneva Open.
  4. Matteo Arnaldi is 1-0 head-to-head vs. Novak Djokovic.

Our Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic Prediction

Fearless Forecast: Novak Djokovic avenges his Madrid Open loss by sweeping Matteo Arnaldi

Why we should bet on Novak Djokovic to cover -4.5 Games: Expect Nole to be 100 percent prepared for Matteo Arnaldi in their second match in 4 weeks. Djokovic lost to Arnaldi 3-6, 4-6 in the second round of the 2025 Madrid Open, sending shockwaves throughout the tournament and the tennis world. The loss was a reality check for Djokovic, who had to skip the Italian Open to give himself more time to fine-tune his clay-court game. Now that he’s given another chance to face Arnadli, Djokovic will prove to his Italian foe that lightning doesn’t strike twice, as he delivers a smashing quarterfinal win in Geneva.

Our betting prediction for Matteo Arnaldi vs. Novak Djokovic: Novak Djokovic -4.5 Games

Prediction:

 

Novak Djokovic will cover -4.5 games

+125
$1500 offered for betting!

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Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic Picks