Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert Prediction & Picks - UFC Fight Night
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by Bill Christy | in MMA Picks
The fight before the main event on Saturday night’s UFC Fight Night will be a lightweight battle of unranked opponents. While the rankings draw interest, many times these unranked fights end up being the most exciting. Matheus Camilo will face Jai Herbert in a bout that will likely get the winner a shot at a top 15 opponent next.
Herbert is coming off an impressive 1st-round KO win over Mandel Nallo, who was on a 5-fight win streak. Herbert had lost 2 of his last 3 fights and saw his ranking disappear in the process. In his 5 previous fights, Herbert had gone to decision, and his striking style is likely going to mesh well with Camilo’s here in this fight. Since Camilo has been submitted 3 times in his career, he is likely going to acquiesce to Herbert’s wanting to stand and strike.
Camilo is almost a 2-to-1 favorite in this contest and is the younger fighter by 13 years. He is 8-1 in his last 9 fights, with the lone loss coming via submission to Gabe Green in his UFC debut. Like Herbert, Camilo is coming off a 1st-round KO victory in his last fight. He made quick work of Nazim Sadykhov in that fight. In 3 of his previous 4 fights, Camilo went to a decision.
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Matheus Camilo - Jai Herbert Key Points
- Camilo has gone to decision in 3 of his last 4 wins.
- Camilo has had 5 of his last 6 fights go past 2.5 rounds
- Herbert’s last 2 losses came via decision.
- Herbert has gone to a decision in 5 of his last 6 fights.
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Our Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert Prediction
With both fighters comfortable letting this be a standup/striking fight, many would think it could end early. While that could be true, we believe each fighter will be careful and calculated early in this fight. As long as it gets past the 1st round, which we expect, it should go deep into the 3rd round. We are playing the over here for plus money at what we believe is a value play.
Our prediction for Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert: Over 2.5 Rounds
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.