Martin Damm Jr vs Valentin Vacherot Prediction & Picks - ATP Australian Open

ATP - ATP Australian Open

ATP 177 USA
Martin Damm Jr
1/18/26 22:40
ATP 32
Valentin Vacherot

Prediction:

 

Valentin Vacherot -5.5 Games

+210
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 by Lou Aguila in ATP Australian Open Picks

Shanghai Masters champion Valentin Vacherot kicks off his campaign in Melbourne against Martin Damm Jr. of the United States on Monday.

Recommended Pick: Valentin Vacherot -5.5 Games (+210)

Potential Payout: $310 on a $100 Bet

Current Form:

Vacherot continues to carve a reputation as a force on the ATP Tour after reaching the quarterfinal of the 2026 Adelaide International. After bowing to Sebastian Korda 6-7, 3-6 in the first round of the Brisbane International, Vacherot bounced back with a straight-set victory over Miomir Kecmanovic 7-6, 6-4. The 2025 Shanghai Masters champion received a walkover win against Thanasi Kokkinakis before falling to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-7, 2-6.

Ranked No.177th in the world, Martin Damm dropped only one set in the qualifiers to book his ticket into the main draw of the 2026 Australian Open. Damm will be trying to match or even better his second-round finish at the 2025 US Open. Damm thrives on the hard court, carrying a 64.7 percent win rate on the surface.

Martin Damm Jr vs Valentin Vacherot Form

Martin Damm Jr and Valentin Vacherot Latest Matches

Martin Damm Jr Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jan 14, 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
0 :  2
Martin Damm Jr

Jan 13, 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Martin Damm Jr
2 :  0
Titouan Droguet

Jan 11, 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Martin Damm Jr
2 :  1
Gauthier Onclin

Aug 27, 2025 - ATP US Open

Frances Tiafoe
3 :  1
Martin Damm Jr

Aug 25, 2025 - ATP US Open

Martin Damm Jr
3 :  0
Darwin Blanch

Aug 22, 2025 - ATP US Open

Yuta Shimizu
0 :  2
Martin Damm Jr
Valentin Vacherot Latest matches
W W L L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jan 15, 2026 - Adelaide International

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
2 :  0
Valentin Vacherot

Jan 12, 2026 - Adelaide International

Miomir Kecmanovic
0 :  2
Valentin Vacherot

Jan 4, 2026 - Brisbane International

Valentin Vacherot
0 :  2
Sebastian Korda

Oct 31, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Valentin Vacherot
0 :  2
Felix Auger Aliassime

Oct 30, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Cameron Norrie
0 :  2
Valentin Vacherot

Oct 29, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Arthur Rinderknech
1 :  2
Valentin Vacherot

Martin Damm Jr - Valentin Vacherot Key Points

  1. Martin Damm Jr. holds a 64.7 win rate on the hard court.
  2. Martin Damm Jr. entered the main draw of the 2026 Australian Open as a qualifier.
  3. Valentin Vacherot is the No.30 seed at the 2026 Australian Open.
  4. Valentin Vacherot was the 2025 Shanghai Masters Champion.

Our Martin Damm Jr vs Valentin Vacherot Prediction

Fearless Forecast: Valentin Vacherot gets the win in four sets 4-6, 6-4, 6-2, 6-2

Reason: While Martin Damm Jr. has shown some potential during his run in the qualifier, it would take a near-perfect game to take down Vacherot, who has become one of the fast-rising players on the tour since her breakout campaign in Shanghai. Damm has a 2-1 record against ATP top-50 players in his career, while Vacherot carried a 12-4 record against the ATP top-100 in 2025 alone. Damm is winning 80 percent of his first serves through his first five matches of the year. Despite the American’s high first-serve conversion rate, I still believe Vacherot’s quality will dictate the outcome of this match.

Our betting prediction for Valentin Vacherot vs. Martin Damm Jr.: Valentin Vacherot -5.5 Games (Alternative Game Spread).

Prediction:

 

Valentin Vacherot -5.5 Games

+210
$300 offered for betting!

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Martin Damm Jr vs Valentin Vacherot Picks