Marta Kostyuk vs Karolina Muchova Prediction & Picks - WTA US Open

WTA - WTA US Open

WTA 28 Ukraine
Marta Kostyuk
9/1/25 13:30
WTA 13 Czech Republic
Karolina Muchova

Prediction:

 

Karolina Muchova will win

-170
$300 offered for betting!

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 by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks

Marta Kostyuk of Ukraine will try to clinch her second Grand Slam quarterfinal appearance against two-time US Open semifinalist Karolina Muchova of the Czech Republic on Monday at the 2025 US Open.

Kostyuk is a slight underdog at +136, while Muchova is pegged at -170.

Current Form:

Kostyuk barged into the fourth round of the 2025 US Open with a come-from-behind victory over Diane Parry of France 3-6 6-4 6-2. Kostyuk only landed 55 percent of her first ball, but managed to collect 35 points and add 20 more behind the second serves. Although Kostyuk conceded three service breaks, the Ukrainian still got the better of the exchanges by winning five breakpoints. Kostyuk, who is 17-10 in hard-court matches this year, had also bested Katie Boulter 6-4 6-4 and Zeynep Sonmez 7-5 6-7(5) 6-3 in the first two rounds.

Muchova is still on track of reaching the semifinal of the 2025 US Open for a third consecutive year after outgunning compatriot Linda Noskova 6-7(5) 6-4 6-2. Muchova, who reached the final four of this event in 2023 and 2024, had also survived three-set duels with Venus Williams 6-3 2-6 6-1 and Sorana Cirstea 7-6(0) 6-7(3) 6-4. The Czech is 19-12 on the 2025 WTA season and 16-8 on the hard court this year.

Marta Kostyuk vs Karolina Muchova Form

Marta Kostyuk and Karolina Muchova Latest Matches

Marta Kostyuk Latest matches
L W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 30, 2025 - WTA US Open

Diane Parry
1 :  2
Marta Kostyuk

Aug 28, 2025 - WTA US Open

Zeynep Sonmez
1 :  2
Marta Kostyuk

Aug 26, 2025 - WTA US Open

Katie Boulter
0 :  2
Marta Kostyuk

Aug 12, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Iga Swiatek
withdraw
Marta Kostyuk

Aug 9, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Tatjana María
0 :  2
Marta Kostyuk

Aug 4, 2025 - WTA National Bank Open

Marta Kostyuk
abort
Elena Rybakina
Karolina Muchova Latest matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 30, 2025 - WTA US Open

Linda Noskova
1 :  2
Karolina Muchova

Aug 28, 2025 - WTA US Open

Sorana Cirstea
1 :  2
Karolina Muchova

Aug 25, 2025 - WTA US Open

Venus Williams
1 :  2
Karolina Muchova

Aug 12, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Varvara Gracheva
2 :  0
Karolina Muchova

Aug 10, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Caroline Garcia
0 :  2
Karolina Muchova

Aug 3, 2025 - WTA National Bank Open

Madison Keys
2 :  1
Karolina Muchova
Compare Marta Kostyuk and Karolina Muchova with our comparison tool.

Marta Kostyuk - Karolina Muchova Key Points

  1. Marta Kostyuk defeated Diane Parry of France 3-6 6-4 6-2 in the third round of the 2025 US Open.
  2. Marta Kostyuk is 17-10 on the hard court in 2025.
  3. Karolina Muchova defeated Linda Noskova 6-7(5) 6-4 6-2 in the third round of the 2025 US Open.
  4. Karolina Muchova defeated Linda Noskova 6-7(5) 6-4 6-2 in the third round of the 2025 US Open.

Our Marta Kostyuk vs Karolina Muchova Prediction

Fearless Forecast: Karolina Muchova grinds out another close win to advance into her third US Open quarterfinals.

Muchova might look vulnerable on paper after surviving three consecutive three-set thrillers, but her experience in close-game situations, plus her history of success at the US Open over the last three years, makes her a formidable foe at this stage of the competition. Kostyuk, who is 3-8 against the WTA top-20 this year, hasn’t faced an opponent with the caliber of Muchova, who is a perennial top-20 players and once rose to world’s No.8 two years ago. Kostyuk carries a modest 63 percent win rate on the hard court in her career, but Muchova boasts a near 70 percent win rate on the surface.

Our betting prediction for Karolina Muchova vs. Marta Kostyuk: Karolina Muchova will win.

Prediction:

 

Karolina Muchova will win

-170
$300 offered for betting!

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Marta Kostyuk vs Karolina Muchova Picks