Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction & Picks - WTA Wimbledon Championships

WTA - WTA Wimbledon Championships

WTA 13 Ukraine
Marta Kostyuk
7/8/26 06:00
WTA 17 Italy
Jasmine Paolini

Prediction:

 

Jasmine Paolini to Win

+175
$200 offered for betting!

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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks

One of Tuesday's quarter-finals at Wimbledon sees Marta Kostyuk and Jasmine Paolini go up against each other. This is a match between two top-20 players, one of whom has previously been awarded the runner-up prize at the home of grass-court tennis. After a little time struggling for consistency, the Italian is looking in hot form on grass, while the Ukrainian is arguably playing the best grass-court tennis of her career right now. 

Looking at the early lines, we can see that Marta Kostyuk is quite heavily fancied to get the job done, but that's not easy to agree with. Jasmine Paolini is a former Wimbledon finalist, while she's proved that she's back to somewhere near her best on grass over the last week or so. Frankly, Paolini at her best should be less generously priced to beat a player who has never previously been beyond this point at Wimbledon. 

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Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini Form

Marta Kostyuk and Jasmine Paolini Latest Matches

Marta Kostyuk Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 6, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Ashlyn Krueger
0 :  2
Marta Kostyuk

Jul 4, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Emma Navarro
1 :  2
Marta Kostyuk

Jul 2, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Anna Blinkova
1 :  2
Marta Kostyuk

Jun 30, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Nadia Podoroska
0 :  2
Marta Kostyuk

Jun 4, 2026 - WTA French Open

Marta Kostyuk
0 :  2
Mirra Andreeva

Jun 2, 2026 - WTA French Open

Elina Svitolina
1 :  2
Marta Kostyuk
Jasmine Paolini Latest matches
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 6, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Jasmine Paolini
2 :  1
Alexandra Eala

Jul 4, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Jasmine Paolini
2 :  0
Maria Sakkari

Jul 2, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Jasmine Paolini
2 :  0
Viktorija Golubic

Jun 30, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Jasmine Paolini
2 :  1
Robin Montgomery

Jun 23, 2026 - WTA Eastbourne International

Jasmine Paolini
0 :  2
Tatjana María

May 27, 2026 - WTA French Open

Jasmine Paolini
1 :  2
Solana Sierra
Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini Picks

Marta Kostyuk - Jasmine Paolini Key Points

  1. When the pair last met, Jasmine Paolini won in straight sets.
  2. Jasmine Paolini has won each of her last two matches against Marta Kostyuk in straight sets.
  3. Jasmine Paolini has previously reached the final of Wimbledon.
  4. Marta Kostyuk has never been beyond the quarter-finals at Wimbledon.
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Our Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction

Does Jasmine Paolini really deserve to be priced at +175 ahead of a match against Marta Kostyuk? For our money, the answer is definitely not. Such odds are generous, that's all there is to it. The Italian knows how to play well at Wimbledon, and over the last week, she's shown that she's still capable of delivering the level that saw her reach the final of this tournament back in 2024. 

If both players bring something near their best, Paolini is far more likely to come out on top, as she did when the pair last met, than the early prices suggest. Betting on the Italian offers clear value for money.

Our Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini Pick: Jasmine Paolini to Win.

Prediction:

 

Jasmine Paolini to Win

+175
$200 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.