Marta Kostyuk vs Daria Kasatkina Prediction & Picks - WTA National Bank Open

WTA - WTA National Bank Open

WTA 28 Ukraine
Marta Kostyuk
7/31/25 12:30
WTA 18 Australia
Daria Kasatkina

Prediction:

 

Daria Kasatkina to Win

+130
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 by Bradley Gibbs in Tennis Picks

At the WTA event in Montreal, known currently as the National Bank Open presented by Rogers, there's an interesting match taking place on Thursday, and it's a match between two players that are quite closely grouped if we look at the rankings. It's also a match between two players who have played a lot of tennis against each other in the past. Marta Kostyuk and Daria Kasatkina will clash for the eighth time since 2020. Kostyuk came out on top when the pair last met, but Kasatkina has won four of the last five renewals of this match, two of which were hard-court matches, so she ought to be confident here. The Aussie looked in decent condition when beating Potapova in straight sets during the first round. 

Things weren't quite as simple for Marta Kostyuk, who needed three sets to beat Marketa Vondrousova, picking up her first win on any surface since beating Laylah Fernandez in Rome back in early May. It's fair to say that the Ukrainian has had her struggles. Can she put those issues behind her and kick on? We'll soon find out. 

Marta Kostyuk vs Daria Kasatkina Form

Marta Kostyuk and Daria Kasatkina Latest Matches

Marta Kostyuk Latest matches
L L L L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jul 29, 2025 - WTA National Bank Open

Marta Kostyuk
2 :  1
Marketa Vondrousova

Jul 22, 2025 - WTA Washington Citi Open

Marta Kostyuk
0 :  2
Emma Raducanu

Jul 1, 2025 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Veronika Erjavec
2 :  1
Marta Kostyuk

Jun 22, 2025 - WTA Bad Homburg Open

Marta Kostyuk
0 :  2
Emma Navarro

Jun 16, 2025 - WTA Berlin Open

Marta Kostyuk
0 :  2
Emma Navarro

May 25, 2025 - WTA French Open

Marta Kostyuk
0 :  2
Sara Bejlek
Daria Kasatkina Latest matches
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 29, 2025 - WTA National Bank Open

Anna Blinkova
0 :  2
Daria Kasatkina

Jul 5, 2025 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Daria Kasatkina
0 :  2
Liudmila Samsonova

Jul 3, 2025 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Daria Kasatkina
2 :  1
Irina-Camelia Begu

Jul 1, 2025 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Daria Kasatkina
2 :  0
Emiliana Arango

Jun 23, 2025 - WTA Eastbourne International

Daria Kasatkina
1 :  2
Lulu Sun

Jun 17, 2025 - WTA Berlin Open

Xinyu Wang
2 :  0
Daria Kasatkina

Marta Kostyuk against Daria Kasatkina : Head to Head (H2H)

Marta Kostyuk

25 %

Daria Kasatkina

75 %

May 9, 2025 - WTA Rome

Marta Kostyuk
2 :  0
Daria Kasatkina

Jun 17, 2024 - WTA Berlin Open

Marta Kostyuk
1 :  2
Daria Kasatkina

Jan 2, 2024 - WTA Brisbane

Marta Kostyuk
0 :  2
Daria Kasatkina

Sep 26, 2023 - WTA Japan Open

Daria Kasatkina
2 :  1
Marta Kostyuk
Compare Marta Kostyuk and Daria Kasatkina with our comparison tool.

Marta Kostyuk - Daria Kasatkina Key Points

  1. Daria Kasatkina has won four of her last five matches against Marta Kostyuk.
  2. When the pair last met on this surface, Daria Kasatkina won in straight sets.
  3. Daria Kasatkina has won each of her last two hard-court matches against Marta Kostyuk.
  4. Marta Kostyuk hasn't been in great form of late, winning just one of her last seven matches.

Our Marta Kostyuk vs Daria Kasatkina Prediction

Marta Kostyuk is the early favorite ahead of this clash, but I just cannot agree with that. Kostyuk battled hard to secure a very decent win over Marketa Vondrousova in the first round, which is not to be ignored, but that match will have taken lots out of her, for sure. Meanwhile, Kasatkina won with relative ease against Blinkova, possibly leaving her better placed to give her all here. I also cannot ignore the fact that the Aussie, who is ranked above her Ukrainian opponent, has a very good record in this match, winning four of her last five matches against Kostyuk, including two on hard courts. Our Marta Kostyuk vs Daria Kasatkina Pick: Daria Kasatkina to Win.

Prediction:

 

Daria Kasatkina to Win

+130
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Marta Kostyuk vs Daria Kasatkina Picks