Marseille vs PSG Prediction & Picks - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Marseille
9/21/25 14:45
PSG

Prediction:

 

PSG wins the match

-120
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 by Tyler Doty in Ligue 1 Picks

The fifth day of Ligue 1 concludes with one of the most eagerly awaited matches of the season! This Sunday, Olympique de Marseille welcomes Paris Saint-Germain for the first Classique of the season at the Stade Vélodrome. Spurred on by its twelfth man, the Marseille club dreams of defying the odds against its great rival and, above all, the favorite for the title. It is currently in 7th place in the standings, with 6 points to its name. Roberto De Zerbi's team is brimming with confidence after its Champions League performance, despite losing 2-1 to Real Madrid. It clearly stood up to one of the best teams on the Old Continent.

However, it will be a different story this weekend. The reigning Champions League holders, PSG got off to a flying start on the European stage, crushing Atalanta Bergamo 4-0 last Wednesday. What's more, Luis Enrique's men have yet to drop a single point in Ligue 1 this season and managed to win the European Super Cup against Tottenham. Despite some notable absences (Joao Neves, Bradley Barcola, Désiré Doué, Ousmane Dembélé), the club from the French capital remains the clear favorite in this matchup and will be looking to win a very important game for its fans.

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Marseille vs PSG Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
PSG
PSG
12 4 4 0 0 7
8
Marseille
Marseille
6 4 2 0 2 5

Marseille and PSG Latest Matches

Marseille
Marseille Latest matches
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 16, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Marseille

Sep 12, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
4 :  0
Lorient

Aug 31, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  0
Marseille

Aug 23, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
5 :  2
Paris FC

Aug 15, 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  0
Marseille

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
3 :  1
Aston Villa
W D D W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 12, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
4 :  0
Lorient

Aug 23, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
5 :  2
Paris FC

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
3 :  1
Aston Villa

Aug 2, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  1
Sevilla

Jul 29, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  1
Valencia

May 17, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
4 :  2
Rennes
W D W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Sep 16, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Marseille

Aug 31, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  0
Marseille

Aug 15, 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  0
Marseille

Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Girona
0 :  2
Marseille

Jul 21, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Charleroi
1 :  1
Marseille

Jul 20, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Excelsior Maassluis
0 :  5
Marseille
PSG
PSG Latest matches
D W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 17, 2025 - Champions League

PSG
4 :  0
Atalanta

Sep 14, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
2 :  0
Lens

Aug 30, 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
3 :  6
PSG

Aug 22, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
1 :  0
Angers

Aug 17, 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
0 :  1
PSG

Aug 13, 2025 - Uefa Super Cup

PSG
2 :  2
Tottenham
W W D W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 17, 2025 - Champions League

PSG
4 :  0
Atalanta

Sep 14, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
2 :  0
Lens

Aug 22, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
1 :  0
Angers

Aug 13, 2025 - Uefa Super Cup

PSG
2 :  2
Tottenham

Jul 9, 2025 - Club World Cup

PSG
4 :  0
Real Madrid

Jul 5, 2025 - Club World Cup

PSG
2 :  0
Bayern Munich
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 30, 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
3 :  6
PSG

Aug 17, 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
0 :  1
PSG

Jul 13, 2025 - Club World Cup

Chelsea
3 :  0
PSG

Jun 23, 2025 - Club World Cup

Seattle Sounders
0 :  2
PSG

May 10, 2025 - Ligue 1

Montpellier Hsc
1 :  4
PSG

May 3, 2025 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
2 :  1
PSG

Marseille against PSG : Head to Head (H2H)

Marseille

17 %

Draw

0 %

PSG

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
33%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.67
Goals scored (Team 2)
83%
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5

Mar 16, 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  1
Marseille

Oct 27, 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  3
PSG

Mar 31, 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  2
PSG

Sep 24, 2023 - Ligue 1

PSG
4 :  0
Marseille

Feb 26, 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  3
PSG

Feb 8, 2023 - French Cup

Marseille
2 :  1
PSG

Marseille - PSG: Form Analysis

The start of the season has not been easy for OM. Defeated on the first day at Stade Rennais (1-0), despite a long numerical advantage, an altercation took place in the locker room between Adrien Rabiot and Jonathan Rowe. Both players were sold following the incident. The Marseille club managed to bounce back by beating Paris FC (5-2), but fell back into its old ways the following day, losing the Olympico to OL (1-0). Since the end of the first international break of the season, however, Roberto De Zerbi's team seems to be doing better. First, they easily dominated FC Lorient (4-0), before losing by just one goal at Real Madrid in their Champions League debut (2-1). Against Los Merengues, Marseille only conceded a penalty, which has been the subject of much discussion in recent days.

PSG has yet to experience a single setback at the start of the season.

PSG has been particularly strong since the restart. Even though it didn't have time to play any preseason games, it has racked up a string of excellent results. The Parisian club couldn't have asked for a better start, beating Tottenham in the European Super Cup and winning on penalties. Luis Enrique's men then won their first four Ligue 1 matches. While they were not particularly impressive in their victories over FC Nantes (0-1) and SCO Angers (1-0), they showed much better form in defeating Toulouse FC (3-6) and RC Lens (2-0). Last Wednesday, the defending Champions League title holders put their crown on the line in Europe's premier competition. Atalanta Bergamo were no match for Paris Saint-Germain at the Parc des Princes, suffering a heavy 4-0 defeat.

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PSG v Marseille last Lineups

Marseille

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
G. Rulli
28
B. Pavard
32
F. Medina
5
L. Balerdi
33
Emerson
19
G. Kondogbia
23
P. Hojbjerg
10
M. Greenwood
17
M. O'Riley
22
T. Weah
97
P. Aubameyang
29
B. Barcola
24
S. Mayulu
7
K. Kvaratskhelia
8
F. Ruiz
17
Vitinha
87
J. Neves
25
N. Mendes
51
W. Pacho
5
Marquinhos
2
A. Hakimi
30
L. Chevalier

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

PSG

Missing players

Marseille
Marseille
Defender

N. Aguerd

Midfielder

H. Traore

PSG
PSG
Defender

Beraldo

Midfielder

J. Neves

Forward

D. Doue

O. Dembele

B. Barcola

Marseille & PSG Squad Analysis

For this Classique, OM will have to cope without Hamed Junior Traoré. The good news for Roberto De Zerbi is that Nayef Aguerd should be back for this clash. After making a successful debut in his new colors last weekend, the Moroccan center back had to sit out against Real Madrid due to concussion protocol. Impressive in the Champions League midweek, Geronimo Rulli will be eagerly awaited in goal for the Phoceans. He is likely to have a lot of work to do again on Sunday evening. Very important in midfield, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg will be looking to shine. In attack, Mason Greenwood and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang will do everything they can to cause problems for the Parisian defense.

Joao Neves was injured in the Champions League against PSG and will miss this Classique.

As for PSG, several key players are out of action. In addition to the absences of Désiré Doué and Ousmane Dembélé, Luis Enrique received some very bad news midweek with the injury to Joao Neves. To make matters worse, Bradley Barcola is also out. However, that doesn't mean the Parisian coach doesn't have strong arguments for going for the three points. In goal, Lucas Chevalier has already kept four clean sheets in his last five games. He can rely on the excellent center-back pairing of Marquinhos and Willian Pacho, as well as two of the best fullbacks in the world, Achraf Hakimi and Nuno Mendes. With several key players missing in attack, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia will be more important than ever.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Marseille
CD Huachipato PSG
Top Goalscorer
Gabon P. Aubameyang (2 Goals)
England M. Greenwood (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal J. Neves (3 Goals) France B. Barcola (3 Goals)
Best assists
England M. Greenwood (4 Assists)
Best assists
Spain F. Ruiz (2 Assists)
Portugal Vitinha (2 Assists)

Marseille and PSG Stats in Ligue 1

Marseille
Marseille
PSG
PSG
50%
Victories
100%
0%
Draw
0%
50%
Defeats
0%
3.25
Total goals per match
3.25
2.25
Goals scored per match
2.5
1
Goals conceded per match
0.75
50%
Over 2.5
25%
50%
Under 2.5
75%
25%
BTTS
25%
25%
No goals conceded
75%

Marseille - PSG Key Points

  1. PSG won its first four Ligue 1 matches.
  2. PSG is coming off a big Champions League win against Atalanta Bergamo (4-0).
  3. PSG has won its last seven Ligue 1 matches against OM.
  4. OM has already suffered two defeats in four Ligue 1 matches.
  5. OM put up a good fight against Real Madrid in the Champions League, but still ended up losing (2-1).
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Our Marseille vs PSG Prediction

PSG seems to have a comfortable lead in Ligue 1. Even though it has to cope with some significant absences, the club from the French capital remains the clear favorite in this Classique. What's more, this is always a highly anticipated match for Luis Enrique's team. It is determined to make its fans smile by putting on a great show and bringing home three points from the Stade Vélodrome. Having won the last seven league matches against OM, the Parisian side will be looking to continue and further consolidate its position at the top of Ligue 1.

Our prediction for Marseille vs. PSG: PSG to win!

Prediction:

 

PSG wins the match

-120
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Marseille vs PSG - Other Interesting Picks

Marseille Under 0.5 Goals

Odds +230
PSG has been particularly solid since the resumption of Ligue 1. It has already achieved three clean sheets in just four league games. In addition, in its last six Ligue 1 matches against OM, the Parisian club has conceded only one goal.
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Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Anytime Goalscorer

Odds +145
With Bradley Barcola, Désiré Doué, and Ousmane Dembélé all out, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia will be more important than ever in PSG's attack. The Georgian winger scored a superb goal against Atalanta Bergamo in midweek and will be keen to keep up the momentum in this latest clash.
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Marseille vs PSG Picks
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