Marseille vs Ajax Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Marseille
9/30/25 15:00
Ajax

Prediction:

 

Marseille -1.25.

-105
$400+ offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Carlos Zabala in Champions League Picks

The Champions League clash between Marseille and Dutch side Ajax, which will take place at the Stade Vélodrome, looks set to be a thrilling one. Ajax won their Eredivisie match against Breda 2-1 this weekend, and after Marseille came from behind in their Ligue 1 match to defeat Strasbourg with goals from Aubameyang and Murillo.

Without a doubt, Marseille, managed by Roberto De Zerbi, has made significant investments and recent acquisitions, in addition to retaining key players, suggesting that Marseille is PSG's main rival this season. In fact, Marseille, with an own goal, won 1-0 against the Parisians and currently sits third in Ligue 1, three points behind PSG and Lyon.

In the Champions League, Marseille made a good impression, especially in attack; In their match against Real Madrid, American Timothy Weah in particular had a strong night in Marseille's 2-1 defeat, which was not without controversy when the referee awarded Real Madrid's second penalty.

De Zerbi used some rotations against Strasbourg in Ligue 1 to prepare for their Champions League match against Ajax. For example, Greenwood played only 33 minutes. The young English striker, valued at 41 million euros, is almost certain to start, alongside Gabonese Aubameyang against Ajax.

Up to $400+ to bet on Marseille - Ajax! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Marseille vs Ajax Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
25
Marseille
Marseille
0 1 0 0 1 -1
30
Ajax
Ajax
0 1 0 0 1 -2

Marseille and Ajax Latest Matches

Marseille
Marseille Latest matches
W L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 26, 2025 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
1 :  2
Marseille

Sep 22, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  0
PSG

Sep 16, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Marseille

Sep 12, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
4 :  0
Lorient

Aug 31, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  0
Marseille

Aug 23, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
5 :  2
Paris FC
D D W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 22, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  0
PSG

Sep 12, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
4 :  0
Lorient

Aug 23, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
5 :  2
Paris FC

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
3 :  1
Aston Villa

Aug 2, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  1
Sevilla

Jul 29, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  1
Valencia
D W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Sep 26, 2025 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
1 :  2
Marseille

Sep 16, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Marseille

Aug 31, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  0
Marseille

Aug 15, 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  0
Marseille

Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Girona
0 :  2
Marseille

Jul 21, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Charleroi
1 :  1
Marseille
Ajax
Ajax Latest matches
W D W L D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 27, 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  1
NAC Breda

Sep 21, 2025 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
2 :  2
Ajax

Sep 17, 2025 - Champions League

Ajax
0 :  2
Inter Milan

Sep 13, 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
3 :  1
Zwolle

Aug 30, 2025 - Eredivisie

Volendam
1 :  1
Ajax

Aug 24, 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  0
Heracles
D W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 27, 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  1
NAC Breda

Sep 17, 2025 - Champions League

Ajax
0 :  2
Inter Milan

Sep 13, 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
3 :  1
Zwolle

Aug 24, 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  0
Heracles

Aug 10, 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  0
Telstar

Aug 3, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Ajax
2 :  2
Monaco
L D L D D D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Sep 21, 2025 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
2 :  2
Ajax

Aug 30, 2025 - Eredivisie

Volendam
1 :  1
Ajax

Aug 17, 2025 - Eredivisie

Go Ahead Eagles
2 :  2
Ajax

Jul 27, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Como 1907
3 :  0
Ajax

May 14, 2025 - Eredivisie

Groningen
2 :  2
Ajax

Apr 20, 2025 - Eredivisie

Utrecht
4 :  0
Ajax

Marseille against Ajax : Head to Head (H2H)

Marseille

50 %

Draw

50 %

Ajax

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

6.5
Total goals
100%
BTTS
3.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
3
Goals scored (Team 2)
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

Nov 30, 2023 - Europa League

Marseille
4 :  3
Ajax

Sep 21, 2023 - Europa League

Ajax
3 :  3
Marseille

Ajax v Marseille last Lineups

Marseille

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
G. Rulli
32
F. Medina
5
L. Balerdi
21
N. Aguerd
62
A. Murillo
17
M. O'Riley
23
P. Hojbjerg
22
T. Weah
8
A. Gomes
14
I. Paixao
9
A. Gouiri
19
D. Konadu
11
M. Godts
10
O. Gloukh
17
O. Edvardsen
8
K. Taylor
18
D. Klaassen
5
O. Wijndal
4
K. Itakura
37
J. Sutalo
3
A. Gaaei
1
V. Jaros

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Ajax

Missing players

Marseille
Marseille
Midfielder

H. Traore

G. Kondogbia

Ajax
Ajax
Midfielder

B. Van den Boomen

Forward

W. Weghorst

K. Dolberg

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Marseille
CD Huachipato Ajax
Top Goalscorer
Gabon P. Aubameyang (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands W. Weghorst (3 Goals)
Best assists
England M. Greenwood (4 Assists)
Best assists
Belgium M. Godts (2 Assists)
Netherlands K. Taylor (2 Assists)
Netherlands S. Berghuis (2 Assists)

Marseille and Ajax Stats in Champions League

Marseille
Marseille
Ajax
Ajax
0%
Victories
0%
0%
Draw
0%
100%
Defeats
100%
3
Total goals per match
2
1
Goals scored per match
0
2
Goals conceded per match
2
100%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Under 2.5
100%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
No goals conceded
0%

Marseille - Ajax Key Points

  1. All Marseille-Ajax matches in history have seen both teams score
  2. Ajax conceded 17 shots in their Eredivisie victory against Breda
  3. Marseille won the Champions League in 1993
  4. Ajax finished second behind PSV in the previous Eredivisie season
Up to $400+ to bet on Marseille - Ajax! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Our Marseille vs Ajax Prediction

There is a significant archive of European matches between Marseille and Ajax; The most recent such encounter dates back to 2023, when they clashed in the now-defunct group stage. Marseille prevailed there, winning 4-3 at the Stade Vélodrome, and, curiously, it was Aubameyang himself, for the French team, who scored a hat trick.

Ajax lost their last four European matches, including a lackluster match on Matchday 1 of this Champions League group stage when they faced the current runners-up, Inter Milan. Ajax conceded two goals at the worst possible moment, before halftime and early in the second half; Thuram scored both goals against the Dutch team.

Our prediction for Ajax vs Marseille is: Marseille -1.25.

Prediction:

 

Marseille -1.25.

-105
$400+ offered for betting!

Get your MLS Season Pass subcription thanks to your Marseille vs Ajax wager!

MLS Season PassDon't miss a match this MLS season thanks to this special offer from DraftKings! New and qualified returning users can score free access to MLS Season Pass with a $5 bet on any soccer match on DraftKings. Now is a great chance to take advantage with a bet on Marseille vs Ajax!
MLS Season Pass!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Marseille vs Ajax Picks
Up to $400+ to bet on Marseille - Ajax! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings