WTA - WTA US Open
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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
Jasmine Paolini will enter Friday’s third-round match with a former Grand Slam champion as a slight -120 favorite.
So why is the 2025 Cincinnati Open runner-up not heavily favored in this matchup? More importantly, how can you secure a big payout out of this match, which features two players with contrasting styles of play?
Paolini moved into the third round of the 2025 US Open with a straight-set victory over Iva Jovic 6-3 6-3. Paolini, who lost to Iga Swiatek in the final of the 2025 Cincinnati Open 5-7, 4-6, has now won seven of her last eight hard-court matches. Moreover, the Italian moves one win closer to matching her fourth-round finish at last year’s US Open. Paolini is 19-8 on the hard court in 2025.
Facing Paolini in this interesting third-round clash is none other than former Wimbledon Open champion Marketa Vondrousova. Vondrousova pu her poor US Open buildup behind her after picking up two straight-set wins over Oksana Selekhmeteva 6-3 7-6(3) and McCartney Kessler 7-6(7) 6-2. The Czech’s best finish at the US Open happened two years ago when she racked up four wins to reach the quarterfinal round. Because of injuries, Vondrousova has only played 14 hard-court matches this year, winning eight.
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Marketa Vondrousova vs Jasmine Paolini Form
Marketa Vondrousova and Jasmine Paolini Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 27, 2025 - WTA US Open
Aug 24, 2025 - WTA US Open
Aug 9, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 7, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Jul 29, 2025 - WTA National Bank Open
Jul 27, 2025 - WTA National Bank Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 27, 2025 - WTA US Open
Aug 24, 2025 - WTA US Open
Aug 18, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 17, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 15, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 14, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Marketa Vondrousova - Jasmine Paolini Key Points
- Jasmine Paolini defeated Iva Jovic 6-3 6-3 in the second round of the 2025 US Open.
- Jasmine Paolini is 19-8 on the hard court in 2025.
- Marketa Vondrousova is 8-6 on the hard court in 2025.
- Marketa Vondrousova defeated McCartney Kessler 7-6(7) 6-2 in the second round of the 2025 US Open.
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Our Marketa Vondrousova vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Jasmine Paolini avenges loss and takes a straight-set win over Marketa Vondrousova.
Paolini, who has won 8 of her last 9 hard-court matches, will bank on her momentum to get even with Vondrousova after losing to the Czech in their first matchup at the 2017 Swiss Women’s Championship 5-7, 2-6. That match happened 8 years ago, and a lot of things have changed since then. Paolini has morphed into a perennial top-10 player, while Vondrousova has tumbled out of the top-10 because of injuries that have derailed her career since winning the 2023 Wimbledon Open.
Although the Czech has shown some signs of life after securing two solid wins in Flushing Meadows, Vondrousova will need more than skill to steal at least a set from Paolini, who has won 8 out of 10 service games played in this tournament.
Our betting prediction for Marketa Vondrousova vs. Jasmine Paolini: Jasmine Paolini will win 2-0.
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