Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien Prediction & Picks - ATP Hangzhou Open

ATP - ATP Hangzhou Open

ATP 72 Argentina
Mariano Navone
9/17/25 05:40
ATP 28 USA
Learner Tien

Prediction:

 

Learner Tien -2.5 Games

-116
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 by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks

Mariano Navone of Argentina dukes it out with American rising star Learner Tien on Wednesday in the first round of the 2025 Hangzhou Open.

Mariano Navone (-116 at +2.5 game spread): Navone gets a 2.5 game head start in this match for the reason that he’s also a +136 underdog against a much younger Tien. After cracking into the top-30 on the ATP World Rankings last year, Navone has crashed all the way down to No.82 after posting a 29-25 record on the tour this year, including a measly 5-9 record on the hard court.

Learner Tien (-116 at -2.5 game spread): The 19-year-old Tien has already established himself as a force to reckon with on the tour despite his young age. He has put together a 17-10 record on the hard court this year and also reached the round of 16 at the 2025 Australian Open. Tien, a +166 moneyline favorite, is 15-18 against the ATP top-100 in 2025, though he also parades a 4-2 record against top-10 players this year.

Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien Form

Mariano Navone and Learner Tien Latest Matches

Mariano Navone Latest matches
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 24, 2025 - ATP US Open

Mariano Navone
2 :  3
Marcos Giron

Aug 20, 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Yunchaokete Bu
2 :  0
Mariano Navone

Aug 19, 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Mariano Navone
2 :  0
Marcos Giron

Aug 18, 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Mariano Navone
2 :  0
Dhakshineswar Suresh

Aug 8, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Adam Walton
2 :  1
Mariano Navone

Aug 6, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Mariano Navone
0 :  2
Emilio Nava
Learner Tien Latest matches
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 24, 2025 - ATP US Open

Novak Djokovic
3 :  0
Learner Tien

Aug 10, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Learner Tien
0 :  2
Andrey Rublev

Aug 8, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Learner Tien
2 :  0
Leandro Riedi

Aug 2, 2025 - ATP Toronto

Alex Michelsen
2 :  0
Learner Tien

Jul 31, 2025 - ATP Toronto

Learner Tien
2 :  0
Reilly Opelka

Jul 29, 2025 - ATP Toronto

Denis Shapovalov
0 :  2
Learner Tien

Mariano Navone against Learner Tien : Head to Head (H2H)

Mar 6, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Mariano Navone
2 :  0
Learner Tien
Compare Mariano Navone and Learner Tien with our comparison tool.

Mariano Navone - Learner Tien Key Points

  1. Learner Tien is 17-10 on the hard court in 2025.
  2. Learner Tien lost to Novak Djokovic 1-6 6(3)-7 2-6 in the first round of the 2025 US Open.
  3. Mariano Navone is 5-9 on the hard court in 2025.
  4. Mariano Navone is 11-20 on the hard court in his career.

Our Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien Prediction

Learner Tien will win and cover the 2.5-game handicap in this match. The American has shown a lot of promise in his first full season on the ATP Tour this year. As a matter of fact, Tien may already be a much better hard-court player than the 24-year-old Navone, who is 11-20 on the surface throughout his career.

Tien also boasts a 74 percent win rate on the surface while posting a 10-3 record against players ranked from top-51 and top-100 in the world rankings. Navone is 9-10 against players ranked within the said range. 

Our betting prediction for Learner Tien vs. Mariano Navone: Learner Tien -2.5 games

Prediction:

 

Learner Tien -2.5 Games

-116
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