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by Lou Aguila in ATP Toronto Picks
Alex Michelsen of the United States will take on the upset-minded Tomas Barrios Vera of Chile in the second round of the 2025 National Bank Open.
Michelsen has lost his last two matches, including a pair of opening-round matches at the 2025 Wimbledon Open and 2025 Mubadala Citi Open in Washington. With an 80-43 career record on hard courts, Michelsen remains a dangerous opponent for anyone in this tourney because of his ability to raise the level of his play, especially if he catches fire.
Vera is fresh off a gutsy win over veteran Gael Monfils of France, saving four match points to beat the French vet 6-4 4-6 7-6(3). Vera displayed a lot of heart in escaping defeat. Vera’s serves played a major part in his improbable win as he captured 54 points off the first serves and adding 22 more off the second. Vera qualified for the main draw of this ATP 1000 event by beating Chak Lam Coleman Wong 6-4 6-4.
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Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera vs Alex Michelsen Form
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera and Alex Michelsen Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 27, 2025 - ATP Toronto
Jul 26, 2025 - ATP Toronto
Jul 21, 2025 - ATP Umag Open
Jul 16, 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
Jul 10, 2025 - Trieste, Italy, Qualifying
Jul 8, 2025 - Trieste, Italy, Qualifying
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jul 22, 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Jul 1, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jun 27, 2025 - ATP Mallorca Open
Jun 26, 2025 - ATP Mallorca Open
Jun 25, 2025 - ATP Mallorca Open
Jun 20, 2025 - ATP Halle Open
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Alex Michelsen Key Points
- Tomas Barrios Vera defeated Gael Monfils 6-4 4-6 7-6(3) in the first round of the 2025 National Bank Open.
- Tomas Barrios Vera is 33-20 in 2025.
- Alex Michelsen lost to Daniel Evans 4-6, 4-6 in the first round of the 2025 Mubadala Citi Open.
- Alex Michelsen has a 65 percent win rate on the hard court.
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Our Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera vs Alex Michelsen Prediction
I still think Alex Michelsen, despite his ongoing woes, is a solid pick to win in straight sets over Tomas Berrios Vera in their second-round clash. I expect Michelsen to rebound from his loss to Dan Evans in Washington by playing with more aggression and precision against the upset-minded Vera, whose confidence got a boost following his gritty win over Monfils.
This won’t be a breezy match for Michelsen because Vera also has the tools to punish him if he continues to slip up. However, I have followed Michelsen long enough to say that he will confidently break out of his slump and start racking up wins on the surface where he’s a lot harder to beat.
Our betting prediction for Alex Michelsen vs. Tomas Barrios Vera: Alex Michelsen 2-0.
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