Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Yousri Belgaroui Prediction & Picks - UFC Fight Night

MMA - UFC Fight Night

Mansur Abdul-Malik
3/28/26 21:00
Yousri Belgaroui

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 rounds.

-130
$200 offered for betting!

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 by Stephen Abiola | in UFC Picks

The UFC Middleweight Division will see Mansur Abdul-Malik (9-0-1) take on Yousri Belgaroui (9-3-0) on Saturday night at the Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle. Abdul-Malik is still a newcomer after joining the franchise in August 2024 via the Dana White Contender Series. The 28-year-old American has participated in five UFC assignments, and he’s yet to taste his first defeat. The only blemish on his record was the draw against Cody Brundage in June 2025.

Likewise, Belgaroui is also a relatively new name in the UFC. The 33-year-old Tunisian fighter joined the franchise in August 2023, where he was defeated by Marco Tulio via decision at the Dana White Contender Series. However, he recovered to win his next two assignments, with the latest victory coming against Azamat Bekoev in October 2025. The former Glory Kickboxer will want to make it three wins on the bounce with a statement victory this weekend.

Mansur Abdul-Malik - Yousri Belgaroui Key Points

  1. The total rounds went under 2.5 in four of the last five Abdul-Malik bouts.
  2. Abdul-Malik won four of his last five UFC bouts.
  3. The fight was decided via KO/TKO in two of the last three Belgaroui bouts.
  4. The fight was decided via KO/TKO in three of the last five Abdul-Malik bouts.

Our Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Yousri Belgaroui Prediction

Abdul Malik is the exciting -136 betting favorite. Both fighters are excellent finishers, so we don’t expect this fight to drag on to the last round. Belgaroui is the more dangerous fighter, averaging 5.82 significant strikes per minute with a 66% striking accuracy. His opponent, on the other hand, averages 4.18 significant strikes per minute with a 48% striking accuracy. However, Abdul-Malik has the edge in power, speed, and athleticism. This could help him counter Belgaroui’s overall experience and strikes. Overall, we think Abdul-Malik will get a KO/TKO win if he overwhelms his opponent from the first minute. This fight could go either way, though.

Our prediction for Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Yousri Belgaroui: Under 2.5 rounds.

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 rounds.

-130
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Yousri Belgaroui Picks