Manchester United vs Liverpool Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Manchester United
5/3/26 10:30
Liverpool

Prediction:

 

Bryan Mbeumo to Score

+225
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 by Mikaella McIntosh | in Premier League Picks

This Sunday in the Premier League, there’s a race for what looks like will be third place, as Manchester United and Liverpool go head-to-head in the final four games of the season. 

United have been scoring lots on home soil lately, as well as being triumphant over Liverpool in the reverse meeting. So, looking into a Red Devils goalscorer seems a smart move, and the early market isn’t considering Bryan Mbeumo enough.

Manchester United are at their best in these games; they’re very good on the break, whilst Liverpool aren’t too adept at defending on the break. Also, United score a big chunk of their goals from set pieces, which may be a struggle for a Liverpool side that cannot defend well in such situations, conceding most of their away goals from set pieces. 

Mbuemo gets into excellent positions on the break and from set pieces; he was unable to get a shot off, but he broke on the counter a couple of times in their home game on Monday evening.

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Manchester United vs Liverpool Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Manchester United
71 38 20 11 7 +19
5 Liverpool
60 38 17 9 12 +10

Manchester United and Liverpool Latest Matches

Manchester United
Manchester United Latest matches
L W D L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Apr 27, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  1
Brentford

Apr 18, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  1
Manchester United

Apr 13, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  2
Leeds

Mar 20, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  2
Manchester United

Mar 15, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  1
Aston Villa

Mar 4, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Manchester United
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Apr 27, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  1
Brentford

Apr 13, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  2
Leeds

Mar 15, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  1
Aston Villa

Mar 1, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  1
Crystal Palace

Feb 7, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  0
Tottenham

Feb 1, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Fulham
W D W L D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 18, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  1
Manchester United

Mar 20, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  2
Manchester United

Mar 4, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Manchester United

Feb 23, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  1
Manchester United

Feb 10, 2026 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  1
Manchester United

Jan 25, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  3
Manchester United
Liverpool
Liverpool Latest matches
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 25, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
3 :  1
Crystal Palace

Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  2
Liverpool

Apr 14, 2026 - Champions League

Liverpool
0 :  2
PSG

Apr 11, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Fulham

Apr 8, 2026 - Champions League

PSG
2 :  0
Liverpool

Apr 4, 2026 - FA Cup

Manchester City
4 :  0
Liverpool
W D W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 25, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
3 :  1
Crystal Palace

Apr 14, 2026 - Champions League

Liverpool
0 :  2
PSG

Apr 11, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Fulham

Mar 18, 2026 - Champions League

Liverpool
4 :  0
Galatasaray

Mar 15, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Tottenham

Feb 28, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
5 :  2
West Ham
W L L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  2
Liverpool

Apr 8, 2026 - Champions League

PSG
2 :  0
Liverpool

Apr 4, 2026 - FA Cup

Manchester City
4 :  0
Liverpool

Mar 21, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Liverpool

Mar 10, 2026 - Champions League

Galatasaray
1 :  0
Liverpool

Mar 6, 2026 - FA Cup

Wolves
1 :  3
Liverpool

Manchester United against Liverpool : Head to Head (H2H)

Manchester United

33 %

Draw

33 %

Liverpool

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored
2.33
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

Oct 19, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  2
Manchester United

Jan 5, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  2
Manchester United

Sep 1, 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  3
Liverpool

Aug 3, 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
0 :  3
Liverpool

Apr 7, 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  2
Liverpool

Mar 17, 2024 - FA Cup

Manchester United
4 :  3
Liverpool

Manchester United - Liverpool: Form Analysis

Aside from a small blip, losing out to Leeds, Manchester United have been almost flawless in their recent games at Old Trafford, winning all of their other six most recent home games with multiple goals. 

During this time, they have faced Aston Villa and Manchester City, winning each by a two goal margin. Talking of big games, United have also beaten Chelsea and Brighton, whilst narrowly missing points against Arsenal, all on home soil. They may have been defeated in some surprising fixtures this season, but Carrick’s squad seem to thrive in games like this. 

They may have been defeated in some surprising fixtures this season, but Carrick’s squad seem to thrive in games like this. 

Liverpool are arriving here with three needed back-to-back wins in the league, but their away form isn’t looking as convincing, losing four out of their last five in all competitions. In contrast to the home side, Liverpool haven’t been totally confident in the big games, losing four out of five on the road, tying the other, against the top seven. Plus, let’s not forget that United won the reverse fixture.

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Manchester United against Liverpool Lineups: Starting 11

Manchester United

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

31
S. Lammens
2
D. Dalot
5
H. Maguire
26
A. Heaven
23
L. Shaw
18
Casemiro
37
K. Mainoo
19
B. Mbeumo
8
B. Fernandes
10
M. Cunha
30
B. Sesko
18
C. Gakpo
7
F. Wirtz
8
D. Szoboszlai
30
J. Frimpong
10
A. Mac Allister
38
R. Gravenberch
26
A. Robertson
4
V. Van Dijk
5
I. Konate
17
C. Jones
28
F. Woodman

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Liverpool

Substitutes

Manchester United
Manchester United
Goalkeeper

A. Bayindir

Defender

N. Mazraoui

L. Yoro

B. Fernandes 90'

T. Malacia

P. Dorgu

B. Mbeumo 76'

Midfielder

M. Ugarte

M. Mount

Forward

A. Diallo

B. Sesko 46'

J. Zirkzee

M. Cunha 87'

Liverpool
Liverpool
Goalkeeper

A. Pecsi

Defender

E. Mor Talla Ndiaye

M. Kerkez

A. Robertson 59'

J. Gomez

Midfielder

F. Chiesa

I. Konate 87'

T. Nyoni

K. Morrison

Forward

R. Ngumoha

J. Frimpong 75'

W. Wright

Missing players

Manchester United
Manchester United
Defender

M. De Ligt

Liverpool
Liverpool
Goalkeeper

Alisson

G. Mamardashvili

Defender

C. Bradley

S. Bajcetic

G. Leoni

Midfielder

W. Endo

Forward

M. Salah

A. Isak

H. Ekitike

Manchester United & Liverpool Squad Analysis

Missing out on their last game, it’s looking like Matheus Cunha may be absent once again with a groin injury, which is disappointing for the home crowd, but his absence gave Diallo another call up, where he ended up creating the most goal attempts, so another start should be on the cards for the Ivorian. 

Typically very active when facing the big-boys, Mbeumo will be looking to get back into form, like Sesko did with a goal on Monday evening. Left-back Luke Shaw left the pitch injured last time out, while there’s no change in de Ligt’s long injury.

Typically very active when facing the big-boys, Mbeumo will be looking to get back into form, like Sesko did with a goal on Monday evening.

Not only is main goalkeeper Alisson injured, but so is their second choice keeper, meaning third-choice Woodman will be in for his fourth appearance of the whole season. A huge blow for The Reds is the possible absence of the much-loved Salah, who went off injured last time out, joining Ekitike on the subs bench. Consequently, Isak has returned to Slot’s starting lineup in his last three, and has proven himself with a goal last time out.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Manchester United
CD Huachipato Liverpool
Top Goalscorer
Cameroon B. Mbeumo (11 Goals)
Slovenia B. Sesko (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France H. Ekitike (11 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal B. Fernandes (21 Assists)
Best assists
Egypt M. Salah (7 Assists)
Hungary D. Szoboszlai (7 Assists)

Manchester United - Liverpool Key Points

  1. Liverpool have conceded 13 goals in their last seven away games in all competitions.
  2. Mbeumo has scored the most goals when Man United has hosted the big EPL teams.
  3. Bryan Mbeumo is the player shooting the most in relevant home games.
  4. Mbeumo is averaging 0.37 expected goals per home game in the league.
  5. Manchester United have a fantastic record against the big dogs this season.
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Our Manchester United vs Liverpool Prediction

Whilst Mbeumo hasn’t been in the healthiest form in their last couple of games, he tends to show up in big games and thrives in United’s approach against the EPL giants. Three out of his last four goals have come against the top-ranked teams. He’ll aim to use this game to get back into form for the last pivotal games of the season. 

Likewise, in nine starts against the top six, home and away, the Cameroon international has scored five goals, being the hosts’ most influential player in games like this, joint with Cunha, who is looking to be injured for this game. However, he’s the best in home games alone, scoring three goals in five games, where he hasn’t created less than two shots in each. 

Our Manchester United vs Liverpool Pick: Bryan Mbeumo to Score.

Prediction:

 

Bryan Mbeumo to Score

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Manchester United vs Liverpool - Other Interesting Picks

Manchester United to Win

Odds +135
It’s hard not to see Manchester United coming out on top in this game, looking at both of their performances against the top teams. Under Carrick, United have beaten Arsenal, Man City, Aston Villa and Chelsea this season, whilst Liverpool haven’t coped as well in the big games, losing against City, Chelsea, and Manchester United themselves in the reverse fixture.
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Manchester United vs Liverpool match : Frequently asked questions

Old Trafford in Manchester will host the upcoming game between Man United and Liverpool this Sunday afternoon.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Manchester United vs Liverpool Picks