Manchester United vs Chelsea Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Manchester United
9/20/25 12:30
Chelsea

Prediction:

 

Bryan Mbeumo to Score

+275
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 by Bradley Gibbs in Premier League Picks

One of Saturday's biggest EPL games takes place at Old Trafford, where Manchester United and Chelsea are due to clash, kicking off just after midday for those viewing in the US. The hosts have been preparing for this all week following their rather disappointing and lacklustre display against their city rivals, though the visitors have had continental soccer on the brain, playing in Germany on Wednesday night, where they lost to Bayern. Enzo Maresca's men will need to dust themselves down and deliver an improved display in Manchester, where they haven't won since 2020. 

This is a big, big game for United head coach Ruben Amorim, who is now under serious pressure. Last weekend, it was clear for all to see that the Red Devils cannot compete against the best teams, and if they deliver another toothless performance here, then the position of the Portuguese manager will be hanging by a thread. 

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Manchester United vs Chelsea Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5
Chelsea
Chelsea
8 4 2 2 0 6
14
Manchester United
Manchester United
4 4 1 1 2 -3

Manchester United and Chelsea Latest Matches

Manchester United
Manchester United Latest matches
D L D D W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 14, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Manchester United

Aug 30, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Burnley

Aug 27, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Grimsby Town
2 :  2
Manchester United

Aug 24, 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  1
Manchester United

Aug 17, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  1
Arsenal

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
1 :  1
Fiorentina
W W D D L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 30, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Burnley

Aug 17, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  1
Arsenal

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
1 :  1
Fiorentina

Aug 3, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
2 :  2
Everton

Jul 30, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
4 :  1
Bournemouth

Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
2 :  1
West Ham
L L W D D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 14, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Manchester United

Aug 27, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Grimsby Town
2 :  2
Manchester United

Aug 24, 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  1
Manchester United

May 30, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Hong Kong
1 :  3
Manchester United

May 28, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Asean All-Stars
1 :  0
Manchester United

May 21, 2025 - Europa League

Tottenham
1 :  0
Manchester United
Chelsea
Chelsea Latest matches
W D W W D L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 17, 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
3 :  1
Chelsea

Sep 13, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
2 :  2
Chelsea

Aug 30, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  0
Fulham

Aug 22, 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  5
Chelsea

Aug 17, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  0
Crystal Palace

Aug 10, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
4 :  1
AC Milan
W W W W D W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Aug 30, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  0
Fulham

Aug 17, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  0
Crystal Palace

Aug 10, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
4 :  1
AC Milan

Aug 8, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
2 :  0
Bayer Leverkusen

Jul 13, 2025 - Club World Cup

Chelsea
3 :  0
PSG

Jun 16, 2025 - Club World Cup

Chelsea
2 :  0
Los Angeles FC
W W L W D L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 17, 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
3 :  1
Chelsea

Sep 13, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
2 :  2
Chelsea

Aug 22, 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  5
Chelsea

Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sholing
2 :  0
Chelsea

Jul 8, 2025 - Club World Cup

Fluminense
0 :  2
Chelsea

Jul 4, 2025 - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
1 :  2
Chelsea

Manchester United against Chelsea : Head to Head (H2H)

Manchester United

33 %

Draw

33 %

Chelsea

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
83%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

May 16, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Manchester United

Nov 3, 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Chelsea

Apr 4, 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
4 :  3
Manchester United

Dec 6, 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  1
Chelsea

May 25, 2023 - Premier League

Manchester United
4 :  1
Chelsea

Oct 22, 2022 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Manchester United

Manchester United - Chelsea: Form Analysis

Let's be honest, this season is yet to go well for the Red Devils, who looked in a sorry state last weekend, losing by three goals to zero against a Manchester City team that never really needed to get out of second gear. Prior to that, Ruben Amorim's men beat Burnley in front of a home crowd, though their performance was far from convincing.

We're four EPL games in and Saturday's hosts have picked up just four points, which isn't good enough. 

Meanwhile, the visitors are in decent shape domestically, winning two and tying two of their first four EPL games. Enzo Maresca's men built on an opening-day tie with Crystal Palace by battering West Ham, before delivering a discipined performance to see off Fulham. Sure, last weekend, they weren't so good against Brentford, tying 2-2, but they were likely playing with one eye on their midweek UCL assignment. 

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Chelsea v Manchester United last Lineups

Manchester United

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1
A. Bayindir
15
L. Yoro
4
M. De Ligt
3
N. Mazraoui
13
P. Dorgu
8
B. Fernandes
25
M. Ugarte
23
L. Shaw
16
A. Diallo
19
B. Mbeumo
30
B. Sesko
20
Joao Pedro
10
C. Palmer
8
E. Fernandez
7
P. Neto
25
M. Caicedo
24
R. James
3
M. Cucurella
23
T. Chalobah
4
T. Adarabioyo
27
M. Gusto
1
R. Sanchez

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Chelsea

Missing players

Manchester United
Manchester United
Defender

L. Martinez

D. Dalot

Midfielder

M. Mount

Forward

M. Cunha

Chelsea
Chelsea
Defender

L. Colwill

B. Badiashile

Midfielder

R. Lavia

D. Essugo

Forward

L. Delap

D. Fofana

Manchester United & Chelsea Squad Analysis

Disappointingly, the hosts will not be able to call upon the services of Matheus Cunha, who continues on the sidelines due to injury. Diogo Dalot is out with a muscle problem, while both Mason Mount and Lisandro Martinez are also sidelined. The Blues will continue to be without Benoit Daishile, Levi Colwill and summer signing Liam Delap.

Dario Essugo is another absentee for the visitors, as is Romeo Lavia. 

Both Kobbie Mainoo and Casemiro started on the bench last weekend, but as United were easy to play though, Amorim could recall both of those, while for the visitors, there could be a starting place Alejandro Garnacho, who joined from Manchester United in the summer. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Manchester United
CD Huachipato Chelsea
Top Goalscorer
Cameroon B. Mbeumo (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Argentina E. Fernandez (2 Goals) Brazil Joao Pedro (2 Goals) Ecuador M. Caicedo (2 Goals) England C. Palmer (2 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal D. Dalot (1 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil Joao Pedro (3 Assists)

Manchester United and Chelsea Stats in Premier League

Manchester United
Manchester United
Chelsea
Chelsea
25%
Victories
50%
25%
Draw
50%
50%
Defeats
0%
2.75
Total goals per match
3
1
Goals scored per match
2.25
1.75
Goals conceded per match
0.75
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
Under 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
0%
No goals conceded
50%

Manchester United - Chelsea Key Points

  1. This season in the EPL, Bryan Mbeumo averages 0.44 xG.
  2. Bryan Mbeumo currently averages 3.00 shots per 90 minutes in the EPL.
  3. Also in the EPL this season, Bryan Mbeumo is averaging 1.25 shots on target per 90 minutes.
  4. Last season for Brentford, Mbeumo averaged 0.53 goals per 90 minutes.
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Our Manchester United vs Chelsea Prediction

At the end of the day, the hosts need to get on the front foot here and be positive, especially as they're facing a team that had a tricky midweek game away in Germany. If the Red Devils can push forward and get Bryan Mbeumo on the ball, then they can definitely threaten. Mbeumo has easily been United's most effective final-third player this season, taking more shots than anyone else, averaging a very encouraging 0.44 xG per 90 minutes. As poor as the hosts have been, a player of Mbeumo's quality looks a little generously priced to find the net. 

Our Man United vs Chelsea Pick: Bryan Mbeumo to Score.

Prediction:

 

Bryan Mbeumo to Score

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Manchester United vs Chelsea - Other Interesting Picks

Amad Diallo 1+ Shots on Target

Odds +110
Additionally, it's worth betting on United's Amad Diallo to register a shot on target. Certainly one of the more lively players currently playing for the hosts, Diallo is a positive and direct player, who won't be shy to shoot, while he's a threat on the break too. His average of 1.01 shots on target per 90 minutes is also hard to ignore.
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Manchester United vs Chelsea match : Frequently asked questions

This game is due to take place at Old Trafford, with kick off set for 12:30 EST on Saturday, September 20th.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Manchester United vs Chelsea Picks
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