Manchester City vs Burnley Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Manchester City
9/27/25 10:00
Burnley

Prediction:

 

Man City (-3) to win

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 by Simon Day in Premier League Picks

Manchester City are overwhelming favorites to pick up all three points when they entertain Burnley at the Etihad on Saturday afternoon. It's been a stuttering start to the campaign for City, but recent victories over Manchester United and Napoli, plus an encouraging draw at Arsenal, have suggested that Pep Guardiola's men are slowly moving in the right direction. The imperious form of striker Erling Haaland has been instrumental in City's improved form. The prolific Norwegian has six goals in just five league games so far and is arguably playing the best football of his City career. 

Stopping Haaland will be a gigantic task for a Burnley side still trying to find their feet back in the top flight. Last weekend's draw with Forest was a step in the right direction, but a trip to the Etihad represents a vastly more difficult challenge, so Scott Parker's side will need to be at their absolute best to get anything from the game. 

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Manchester City vs Burnley Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
9
Manchester City
Manchester City
7 5 2 1 2 4
16
Burnley
Burnley
4 5 1 1 3 -3

Manchester City and Burnley Latest Matches

Manchester City
Manchester City Latest matches
L L W W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Sep 24, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Huddersfield Town
0 :  2
Manchester City

Sep 21, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  1
Manchester City

Sep 18, 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Napoli

Sep 14, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Manchester United

Aug 31, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Manchester City

Aug 23, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
0 :  2
Tottenham
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 18, 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Napoli

Sep 14, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Manchester United

Aug 23, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
0 :  2
Tottenham

Jun 30, 2025 - Club World Cup

Manchester City
3 :  4
Al Hilal

Jun 22, 2025 - Club World Cup

Manchester City
6 :  0
Al Ain FC

Jun 18, 2025 - Club World Cup

Manchester City
2 :  0
WAC Casablanca
W W W L D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 24, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Huddersfield Town
0 :  2
Manchester City

Sep 21, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  1
Manchester City

Aug 31, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Manchester City

Aug 16, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
0 :  4
Manchester City

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Palermo
0 :  3
Manchester City

Jun 26, 2025 - Club World Cup

Juventus
2 :  5
Manchester City
Burnley
Burnley Latest matches
W W L L D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 23, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Burnley
1 :  2
Cardiff

Sep 20, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  1
Nottingham Forest

Sep 14, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  1
Liverpool

Aug 30, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Burnley

Aug 26, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Burnley
2 :  1
Derby County

Aug 23, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  0
Sunderland
L W W L D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Sep 23, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Burnley
1 :  2
Cardiff

Sep 20, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  1
Nottingham Forest

Sep 14, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  1
Liverpool

Aug 26, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Burnley
2 :  1
Derby County

Aug 23, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  0
Sunderland

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Burnley
0 :  1
Lazio
D W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 30, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Burnley

Aug 16, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
3 :  0
Burnley

Aug 2, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Stoke
1 :  0
Burnley

Jul 29, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Warrington Rylands 1906 FC
3 :  2
Burnley

Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Huddersfield Town
0 :  2
Burnley

Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Shrewsbury Town
2 :  2
Burnley

Manchester City against Burnley : Head to Head (H2H)

Manchester City

100 %

Draw

0 %

Burnley

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
17%
BTTS
3
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Jan 31, 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Burnley

Aug 11, 2023 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  3
Manchester City

Mar 18, 2023 - FA Cup

Manchester City
6 :  0
Burnley

Apr 2, 2022 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Manchester City

Oct 16, 2021 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Burnley

Feb 3, 2021 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Manchester City

Missing players

Manchester City
Manchester City
Defender

R. Ait Nouri

A. Khusanov

Midfielder

M. Kovacic

R. Cherki

Forward

O. Marmoush

Burnley
Burnley
Defender

C. Roberts

J. Beyer

Forward

Z. Amdouni

J. Bruun Larsen

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Manchester City
CD Huachipato Burnley
Top Goalscorer
Norway E. Haaland (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England J. Anthony (3 Goals)
Best assists
Netherlands T. Reijnders (3 Assists)
Best assists
South Africa L. Foster (1 Assists)
Denmark J. Bruun Larsen (1 Assists)
England J. Anthony (1 Assists)
Rep. of Ireland J. Cullen (1 Assists)

Manchester City and Burnley Stats in Premier League

Manchester City
Manchester City
Burnley
Burnley
40%
Victories
20%
20%
Draw
20%
40%
Defeats
60%
2.8
Total goals per match
2.6
1.8
Goals scored per match
1
1
Goals conceded per match
1.6
60%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
Under 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
40%
40%
No goals conceded
20%

Manchester City - Burnley Key Points

  1. City have won thier last 13 games against Burnley
  2. Burnley have scored just once in this last 9 games against City
  3. City have scored 35 goals in thewir last 10 matches against Burnley
  4. Burnely have lost their last 5 Premier League away games
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Our Manchester City vs Burnley Prediction

City are slowly clicking into gear, and that could spell trouble for a Burnley side that looks somewhat below the standard required to compete with the top teams in the Premier League. Erling Haaland has been on absolute fire this season, so we are expecting the striker to enjoy himself against a slightly fragile Clarets backline. As you would expect, City are an extremely short price for the win, but you can get a bit of extra value by backing them to win by at least four goals. Our prediction for Manchester City vs Burnley is: Man City (-3) to win. 

Prediction:

 

Man City (-3) to win

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$300 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Manchester City vs Burnley Picks
Up to $300 to bet on Manchester City - Burnley! 

Limited Offer. Currently at FanDuel