Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Manchester City
11/5/25 15:00
Borussia Dortmund

Prediction:

 

Dortmund to Score Over 1.5 Goals

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 by Bradley Gibbs in Champions League Picks

The UEFA Champions League action continues on Wednesday evening, when one of the games taking place comes our way from Etihad Stadium. Borussia Dortmund will knock on the door of a Man City team that is slowly but surely shifting through the gears after an up-and-down start to the season. Guardiola's men were successful at the weekend, scoring three goals on their way to beating Bournemouth, so they should be feeling confident ahead of this clash. 

The Germans know how to get a result, that's for sure, while this is a club that has a clear affinity with the UCL, reaching the final twice since 2013.  This does look like a tough task for Niko Kovac's men, but we're talking about a team that often rises to such challenges, as we saw in Turin back in September. 

Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
7 3 2 1 0 5
9
Manchester City
Manchester City
7 3 2 1 0 4

Manchester City and Borussia Dortmund Latest Matches

Manchester City
Manchester City Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Nov 2, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Bournemouth

Oct 29, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Swansea
1 :  3
Manchester City

Oct 26, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Manchester City

Oct 21, 2025 - Champions League

Villarreal
0 :  2
Manchester City

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Everton

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  1
Manchester City
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 2, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Bournemouth

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Everton

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
5 :  1
Burnley

Sep 18, 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Napoli

Sep 14, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Manchester United

Aug 23, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
0 :  2
Tottenham
W D W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 29, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Swansea
1 :  3
Manchester City

Oct 26, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Manchester City

Oct 21, 2025 - Champions League

Villarreal
0 :  2
Manchester City

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  1
Manchester City

Oct 1, 2025 - Champions League

Monaco
2 :  2
Manchester City

Sep 24, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Huddersfield Town
0 :  2
Manchester City
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund Latest matches
D L W W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 31, 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
0 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

Oct 28, 2025 - DFB Pokal

Eintracht Frankfurt
1 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

Oct 25, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  0
Köln

Oct 21, 2025 - Champions League

FC Copenhagen
2 :  4
Borussia Dortmund

Oct 18, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

Oct 4, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  1
Leipzig
L W W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 25, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  0
Köln

Oct 4, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  1
Leipzig

Oct 1, 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
4 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

Sep 21, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  0
Wolfsburg

Aug 31, 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  0
Union Berlin

Aug 10, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  2
Juventus
D W L W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 31, 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
0 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

Oct 28, 2025 - DFB Pokal

Eintracht Frankfurt
1 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

Oct 21, 2025 - Champions League

FC Copenhagen
2 :  4
Borussia Dortmund

Oct 18, 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

Sep 27, 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
0 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

Sep 16, 2025 - Champions League

Juventus
4 :  4
Borussia Dortmund

Manchester City against Borussia Dortmund : Head to Head (H2H)

Manchester City

60 %

Draw

20 %

Borussia Dortmund

20 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
60%
BTTS
1.2
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.8
Goals scored (Team 2)
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5

Oct 25, 2022 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
0 :  0
Manchester City

Sep 14, 2022 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

Apr 14, 2021 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  2
Manchester City

Apr 6, 2021 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

Jul 20, 2018 - International Champions Cup

Manchester City
0 :  1
Borussia Dortmund
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Manchester City - Borussia Dortmund: Form Analysis

The hosts have won each of their last two games, scoring six goals in the process, but the Citizens remains vulnerable. After all, they recently lost to Aston Villa, while they've not been perfect in the Champions League this season, tying with Monaco last month. Since that blemish, though, in all competitions, they've won five out of six. 

As for the visitors, well, the BVB boys have won each of their last two league games, keeping back-to-back clean sheets, while they've been in strong scoring form in the UCL this term, scoring a very impressive 12 goals in three games, scoring four against both Juventus and Atletico Madrid. Such form suggests that they can definitely play a sizable part in Wednesday's show. 

Borussia Dortmund v Manchester City last Lineups

Manchester City

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

25
G. Donnarumma
27
M. Nunes
3
R. Dias
24
J. Gvardiol
33
N. O'Reilly
20
B. Silva
14
N. Gonzalez
10
R. Cherki
47
P. Foden
11
J. Doku
9
E. Haaland
9
S. Guirassy
17
C. Chukwuemeka
10
J. Brandt
14
M. Beier
8
F. Nmecha
13
P. Gross
2
Y. Couto
5
R. Bensebaini
3
W. Anton
28
A. Anselmino
1
G. Kobel

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Borussia Dortmund

Missing players

Manchester City
Manchester City
Midfielder

M. Kovacic

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Forward

J. Duranville

Manchester City & Borussia Dortmund Squad Analysis

The hosts will be without the services of Mateo Kovacic on Wednesday night, though Pep Guardiola has an otherwise fully fit squad to select his team from. The hugely in-form Erling Haaland is expected to start up top, with Phil Foden, Jeremy Doku and Bernardo Silva in support. After not starting at the weekend, Tijjani Reijnders should come back into the XI. 

Nicolas Sule continues to be out for the visitors, while Nico Schlotterbeck, who was ruled out of Dortmund's last league game, is expected to miss out through illness. Marcel Sabitzer featured from the bench at the weekend, but is expected to return to the starting XI here, while the same can be said for Kerem Adeyemi. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Manchester City
CD Huachipato Borussia Dortmund
Top Goalscorer
Norway E. Haaland (17 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
S. Guirassy (7 Goals)
Best assists
Croatia J. Gvardiol (3 Assists)
England P. Foden (3 Assists)
Belgium J. Doku (3 Assists)
France R. Cherki (3 Assists)
Netherlands T. Reijnders (3 Assists)
Best assists
Norway J. Ryerson (4 Assists)

Manchester City and Borussia Dortmund Stats in Champions League

Manchester City
Manchester City
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
67%
Victories
67%
33%
Draw
33%
0%
Defeats
0%
2.67
Total goals per match
6.33
2
Goals scored per match
4
0.67
Goals conceded per match
2.33
33%
Over 2.5
100%
67%
Under 2.5
0%
33%
BTTS
100%
67%
No goals conceded
0%

Manchester City - Borussia Dortmund Key Points

  1. Last time out in the UCL, the visitors scored four goals.
  2. The visitors have scored multiple goals in each of their three UCL games this season.
  3. When the hosts last played at home in the UCL, they conceded multiple goals.
  4. In two away UCL games this term, the visitors have scored eight goals.

Our Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

At the end of the day, this is absolutely the sort of game that suits BVB. Sure, the visitors will be under lots of pressure in Manchester, but they're strong on the break, while the hosts are far from the best at guarding against the counter. After all, Guardiola's men are without a clean sheet in three, while they've conceded multiple goals against the likes of Monaco,  Brighton and Tottenham this season. 

Factor in that the visitors have been in fine scoring form in this competition, creating loads against some top teams, and the odds on offer here look a little too good to turn down. 

Man City vs Dortmund Pick: Dortmund to Score Over 1.5 Goals.

Prediction:

 

Dortmund to Score Over 1.5 Goals

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Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund - Other Interesting Picks

Serhou Guirassy to Score

Odds +225
A secondary option is to bet on Dortmund's explosive Serhou Guirassy to find the net. The forward has scored only one UCL goal so far this season, but he's looked hungry for more, averaging a healthy 0.35 xG per 90 minutes. The one up top for the men in yellow has also taken more shots than any other BVB player in this competition, while he should really appreciate playing on the break against Man City's high defensive line.
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Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund match : Frequently asked questions

This game will take place at Etihad Stadium, the home of Man City.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund Picks