Malcolm Wellmaker vs Juan Diaz Prediction & Picks - UFC Fight Night

MMA - UFC Fight Night

Malcolm Wellmaker
5/16/26 20:00
Juan Diaz

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 rounds.

-125
$150 offered for betting!

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 by Stephen Abiola | in UFC Picks

Malcolm Wellmaker (10-1-0) and Juan Diaz (15-1-1) will clash in the UFC Bantamweight division on Saturday night at Meta APEX in Las Vegas. Wellmaker will come into this contest looking to bounce back from his first career loss against Ethyn Ewing in November last year. Despite Ewing derailing his “hype train,” “The Machine” gave a good account of himself, losing in the third round via a unanimous decision. He’ll be the -313 favorite this weekend.

Juan “Pegajoso” Diaz, on the other side of the Octagon, will be keen to show the UFC world that he belongs on the biggest stage. The Peruvian fighter is coming off a round 2 KO/TKO win over Kwon Wonil at the DWCS after sending his opponent down with a spinning back elbow. The boxing-heavy counter puncher brings his championship-winning mentality, as he is a former LUX Fight League Bantamweight champion. Wellmaker cannot afford to take him lightly.

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Malcolm Wellmaker vs Juan Diaz Picks

Malcolm Wellmaker - Juan Diaz Key Points

  1. The total rounds went under 2.5 in three of the last four Wellmaker bouts.
  2. Wellmaker won three of his last four UFC bouts.
  3. The fight didn’t go the distance in two of the last three Juan Diaz bouts.
  4. The fight didn’t go the distance in seven of the last 10 Wellmaker bouts.
Up to $150 to bet on Malcolm Wellmaker - Juan Diaz! 

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Our Malcolm Wellmaker vs Juan Diaz Prediction

Juan Diaz has his work cut out in this matchup. He’s undoubtedly an exciting fighter, and at 27 years old, age is certainly on his side this weekend. But let’s be honest here: the level of competition he has defeated to go 15-1-1 is nothing compared to what Wellmaker has faced in the UFC. The American blew away Cameron Saaiman and Kris Moutinho with his heavy punches to open his UFC account with three KO wins. He’ll know that Diaz fights with little head movement, and will want to connect with his chin for an early victory. Wellmaker should end this fight early if Diaz stays on his feet.

Our prediction for Malcolm Wellmaker vs Juan Diaz: Under 2.5 rounds.

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 rounds.

-125
$150 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.