Madison Keys vs Clara Tauson Prediction & Picks - WTA National Bank Open

WTA - WTA National Bank Open

WTA 8 USA
Madison Keys
8/5/25 18:00
WTA 19 Denmark
Clara Tauson

Prediction:

 

Madison Keys to Win

-139
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 by Bradley Gibbs in Tennis Picks

There's a very interesting encounter taking place at the WTA event in Montreal on Tuesday, when Madison Keys is due to take on Clara Tauson in the quarter finals. Having reached the final of this competition back in 2016, only to lose to Simona Halep, Keys is looking to go deep, and she's well on her way to doing that after battling hard, as she always does on a hard surface, to grind out wins against Siegemund, McNally and Muchova. She's now up against a highly in-form player, one who ought to be bursting with confidence, but we've seen Keys do this before, she doesn't look great, yet she finds a way to grind it out and gets better as the tournament goes on, which is exactly what she did when reaching three hard-court semis on the spin earlier this year, winning two events, including the Australian Open. She's a serious hard-court player, that's for sure. 

Clara Tauson is also a very good player, and she comes into this match off the back of a superb effort, defeating Iga Swiatek. Now into the top 20 in the rankings, can the Dane move one step closer to reaching her second hard-court final of the season having reached the final in Doha back in February? Let's find out. 

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Madison Keys vs Clara Tauson Form

Madison Keys and Clara Tauson Latest Matches

Madison Keys Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 3, 2025 - WTA National Bank Open

Madison Keys
2 :  1
Karolina Muchova

Aug 1, 2025 - WTA National Bank Open

Madison Keys
2 :  1
Catherine McNally

Jul 30, 2025 - WTA National Bank Open

Madison Keys
2 :  0
Laura Siegemund

Jul 4, 2025 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Laura Siegemund
2 :  0
Madison Keys

Jul 2, 2025 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Olga Danilovic
0 :  2
Madison Keys

Jun 30, 2025 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Elena-Gabriela Ruse
1 :  2
Madison Keys
Clara Tauson Latest matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 3, 2025 - WTA National Bank Open

Clara Tauson
2 :  0
Iga Swiatek

Aug 1, 2025 - WTA National Bank Open

Clara Tauson
2 :  0
Yuliia Starodubtseva

Jul 30, 2025 - WTA National Bank Open

Clara Tauson
2 :  0
Lucia Bronzetti

Jul 25, 2025 - WTA Washington Citi Open

Anna Kalinskaya
2 :  0
Clara Tauson

Jul 23, 2025 - WTA Washington Citi Open

Caroline Dolehide
1 :  2
Clara Tauson

Jul 7, 2025 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Clara Tauson

Madison Keys against Clara Tauson : Head to Head (H2H)

Jan 3, 2025 - ASB Classic

Madison Keys
0 :  2
Clara Tauson
Compare Madison Keys and Clara Tauson with our comparison tool.

Madison Keys - Clara Tauson Key Points

  1. Madison Keys is yet to lose a hard-court match since returning to the surface post Wimbledon.
  2. Madison Keys has only lost two hard-court matches in 2025.
  3. Madison Keys has now lost just two of her last 22 hard-court matches.
  4. Clara Tauson has lost three of her last four hard-court matches against top-ten players.
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Our Madison Keys vs Clara Tauson Prediction

Clara Tauson is already being quite strongly supported in the betting ahead of this match, so much so that (at the time of writing) she's only a very narrow outsider at +120. I'm afraid I can't quite get with that. Sure, I know Tauson comes into this match having beaten recent Wimbledon champion Iga Swiatek, but it's going to take a big effort for her to follow that performance up, and I really do feel that she's far too stingily priced to do that. Similarly, a player of Madison Keys' quality looks generously priced ahead of what is a match against a lower-ranked player. The current odds suggest that Madison Keys has a 58.1% chance of winning this, and I think that's an underestimation. Put it this way, if these two played this hard-court match ten times, I'd have Keys winning seven, at least. In other words, I'd say she's got a better chance of getting it done than the early odds suggest, and that my friends, is value for money. Our Madison Keys vs Iga Swiatek Pick: Madison Keys to Win.

Prediction:

 

Madison Keys to Win

-139
$150 offered for betting!

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Madison Keys vs Clara Tauson Picks
Up to $150 to bet on Madison Keys - Clara Tauson! 

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