SMU Mustangs vs Louisville Cardinals Prediction & Picks - NCAA

USA - NCAA

SMU Mustangs
11/22/25 12:00
Louisville Cardinals

Prediction:

 

SMU Mustangs ML

-135
$200 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Matt Lowrimore | in NCAA Picks

One of the more intriguing games on the Week 13 College Football slate will see the Louisville Cardinals take on the SMU Mustangs in the ACC. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Cardinals and the Mustangs.

Louisville enters this game with a record of 7-3 and 4-3 in the ACC. The Cardinals most recently lost to the Clemson Tigers in Week 12 by a score of 20-19. Louisville’s offense had a total of 385 yards, while its defense allowed 308 yards. Quarterback Miller Moss threw for 212 yards, while running back Keyjuan Brown led the team in rushing with 135 yards.

As for SMU, they enter this game with a record of 7-3 and 5-1 in the ACC. The Mustangs most recently beat the Boston College Eagles in Week 11 by a score of 45-13. SMU’s offense had a total of 574 yards, while its defense allowed 390 yards. Quarterback Kevin Jennings threw for 326 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception, while running back T.J. Harden led the team in rushing with 130 yards.

SMU Mustangs vs Louisville Cardinals Form

Table

SMU Mustangs and Louisville Cardinals Latest Matches

SMU Mustangs
SMU Mustangs Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Nov 8, 2025 - NCAA

Boston College Eagles
13 :  45
SMU Mustangs

Nov 1, 2025 - NCAA

SMU Mustangs
26 :  20
Miami Hurricanes

Oct 25, 2025 - NCAA

Wake Forest Demon Deacons
13 :  12
SMU Mustangs

Oct 18, 2025 - NCAA

Clemson Tigers
24 :  35
SMU Mustangs

Oct 11, 2025 - NCAA

SMU Mustangs
34 :  10
Stanford Cardinal

Oct 4, 2025 - NCAA

SMU Mustangs
31 :  18
Syracuse Orange
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Nov 1, 2025 - NCAA

SMU Mustangs
26 :  20
Miami Hurricanes

Oct 11, 2025 - NCAA

SMU Mustangs
34 :  10
Stanford Cardinal

Oct 4, 2025 - NCAA

SMU Mustangs
31 :  18
Syracuse Orange

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

SMU Mustangs
45 :  48
Baylor Bears

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

SMU Mustangs
42 :  13
East Texas AM Lions

Sep 6, 2024 - NCAA

SMU Mustangs
15 :  18
BYU Cougars
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 8, 2025 - NCAA

Boston College Eagles
13 :  45
SMU Mustangs

Oct 25, 2025 - NCAA

Wake Forest Demon Deacons
13 :  12
SMU Mustangs

Oct 18, 2025 - NCAA

Clemson Tigers
24 :  35
SMU Mustangs

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

TCU Horned Frogs
35 :  24
SMU Mustangs

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

Missouri State Bears
10 :  28
SMU Mustangs

Dec 21, 2024 - NCAA

Penn State Nittany Lions
38 :  10
SMU Mustangs
Louisville Cardinals
Louisville Cardinals Latest matches
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 14, 2025 - NCAA

Louisville Cardinals
19 :  20
Clemson Tigers

Nov 8, 2025 - NCAA

Louisville Cardinals
26 :  29
California Golden Bears

Nov 1, 2025 - NCAA

Virginia Tech Hokies
16 :  28
Louisville Cardinals

Oct 25, 2025 - NCAA

Louisville Cardinals
38 :  24
Boston College Eagles

Oct 17, 2025 - NCAA

Miami Hurricanes
21 :  24
Louisville Cardinals

Oct 4, 2025 - NCAA

Louisville Cardinals
27 :  30
Virginia Cavaliers
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 14, 2025 - NCAA

Louisville Cardinals
19 :  20
Clemson Tigers

Nov 8, 2025 - NCAA

Louisville Cardinals
26 :  29
California Golden Bears

Oct 25, 2025 - NCAA

Louisville Cardinals
38 :  24
Boston College Eagles

Oct 4, 2025 - NCAA

Louisville Cardinals
27 :  30
Virginia Cavaliers

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

Louisville Cardinals
40 :  17
Bowling Green Falcons

Sep 5, 2025 - NCAA

Louisville Cardinals
28 :  14
James Madison Dukes
L W W W
Victories

3/4 (75%)

Defeats

1/4 (25%)

Nov 1, 2025 - NCAA

Virginia Tech Hokies
16 :  28
Louisville Cardinals

Oct 17, 2025 - NCAA

Miami Hurricanes
21 :  24
Louisville Cardinals

Sep 27, 2025 - NCAA

Pittsburgh Panthers
27 :  34
Louisville Cardinals

Sep 28, 2024 - NCAA

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
31 :  24
Louisville Cardinals

SMU Mustangs - Louisville Cardinals Key Points

  1. Louisville is 3-4 ATS vs the ACC
  2. Louisville is averaging 28.4 points per game vs the ACC
  3. SMU is 4-2 ATS vs the ACC
  4. SMU is averaging 30.5 points per game vs the ACC

Our SMU Mustangs vs Louisville Cardinals Prediction

SMU is a small favorite in this game, but still looks to be the best betting option. The Mustangs have just one conference loss this season, a one-point loss to Wake Forest. That being said, they still have the opportunity to control their destiny in the ACC, and if they can win out, they will have a chance to play in the ACC Championship.

Louisville, on the other hand, once looked like a team that could play in the ACC Championship, but has since lost their last two games in a row. Losses to California and Clemson have seriously derailed their season, so with SMU playing much better at this point in time, our Louisville Cardinals vs SMU Mustangs prediction is: SMU Mustangs ML.

Prediction:

 

SMU Mustangs ML

-135
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

SMU Mustangs vs Louisville Cardinals Picks