Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots Prediction & Picks - NFL

USA - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
1/11/26 20:15
New England Patriots

Prediction:

 

Patriots -3.5.

-110
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 by Carlos Zabala in NFL Picks

The NFL action continues on Sunday with a highly anticipated Wild Card matchup between the 11-6 Chargers and the 14-3 Patriots. The game will take place at Gillette Stadium, and New England is a 3.5-point favorite in the betting odds.

Drake Maye's incredible numbers during the regular season highlight the Patriots' impressive season. He played 17 games, attempting 492 passes and completing 354, throwing 8 interceptions and 31 touchdowns. This unexpectedly amazing season has made him a strong MVP candidate. He will now lead New England to its first playoff game since 2021. His teammate, Stefon Diggs, said he is confident that we will see the same dominant version of Maye, even in the playoffs. The 23-year-old quarterback simply stated, "I've got to play well for us to win."

Of course, on the other side will be another QB having a fantastic season; Justin Herbert will lead the Chargers, looking to improve his personal 0-2 record in playoff games. Herbert reports being ready and rested, despite having undergone surgery on his non-throwing hand less than a month ago.

Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots Form

Los Angeles Chargers and New England Patriots Latest Matches

Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers Latest matches
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jan 4, 2026 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
3 :  19
Denver Broncos

Dec 27, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
20 :  16
Los Angeles Chargers

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
34 :  17
Dallas Cowboys

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
16 :  13
Kansas City Chiefs

Dec 8, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
19 :  22
Los Angeles Chargers

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
14 :  31
Los Angeles Chargers
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 27, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
20 :  16
Los Angeles Chargers

Dec 8, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
19 :  22
Los Angeles Chargers

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
14 :  31
Los Angeles Chargers

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers
10 :  25
Los Angeles Chargers

Oct 23, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
10 :  37
Los Angeles Chargers

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
38 :  24
Los Angeles Chargers
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jan 4, 2026 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
3 :  19
Denver Broncos

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
34 :  17
Dallas Cowboys

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
16 :  13
Kansas City Chiefs

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
6 :  35
Jacksonville Jaguars

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
27 :  20
Tennessee Titans

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
29 :  27
Miami Dolphins
New England Patriots
New England Patriots Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jan 4, 2026 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
10 :  38
New England Patriots

Dec 28, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
42 :  10
New York Jets

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
28 :  24
Baltimore Ravens

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
35 :  31
New England Patriots

Dec 1, 2025 - NFL

New York Giants
15 :  33
New England Patriots

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
26 :  20
Cincinnati Bengals
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jan 4, 2026 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
10 :  38
New England Patriots

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
35 :  31
New England Patriots

Dec 1, 2025 - NFL

New York Giants
15 :  33
New England Patriots

Nov 13, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
14 :  27
New England Patriots

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
23 :  24
New England Patriots

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
13 :  32
New England Patriots
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Dec 28, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
42 :  10
New York Jets

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
28 :  24
Baltimore Ravens

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
26 :  20
Cincinnati Bengals

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
28 :  23
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
31 :  13
Tennessee Titans

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
25 :  19
New Orleans Saints

Los Angeles Chargers against New England Patriots : Head to Head (H2H)

Los Angeles Chargers

67 %

Draw

0 %

New England Patriots

33 %

Dec 28, 2024 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
40 :  7
New England Patriots

Dec 3, 2023 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
6 :  0
New England Patriots

Jan 13, 2019 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
28 :  41
New England Patriots

Los Angeles Chargers - New England Patriots Key Points

  1. The Patriots have won 7 of their last 10 games against the Chargers
  2. The Patriots' offense ranks fourth in the NFL in yards per game with 391.2
  3. The Patriots' TreVeyon Henderson rushed for 180 yards and nine touchdowns
  4. The Chargers' third-down percentage ranks fifth in the NFL at 35.2

Our Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots Prediction

If both QBs remain as solid even in the intense atmosphere of the playoffs, other factors will decide the game. Harold Landry III recorded 8.5 sacks for the Pats, while K'Lavon Chaisson had 7.5; Herbert was sacked 54 times in 16 games. New England could capitalize on this.

Whoever gives their quarterback more time and space could win. Patriots defensive coordinator McDaniels warned that their opponents might use all sorts of tactics and schemes to get to Maye, but the 23-year-old quarterback has proven he can evade even with extra defenders.

Our prediction for Patriots vs Chargers is: Patriots -3.5.

Prediction:

 

Patriots -3.5.

-110
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Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots Picks