Lorenzo Musetti vs Mariano Navone Prediction & Picks - ATP French Open

ATP - ATP French Open

ATP 7 Italy
Lorenzo Musetti
5/30/25 05:00
ATP 97 Argentina
Mariano Navone

Prediction:

 

Mariano Navone +2.5 Set Handicap

-120
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 by Bradley Gibbs in ATP French Open Picks

One of Friday's intriguing French Open matches sees Lorenzo Musetti take on Mariano Navone in a battle between Italy and Argentina. The Italian comes into this match as the strong favorite and rightly so. After all, Musetti has enjoyed a very promising campaign, reaching the semi-finals in both Rome and Madrid recently, showing a level of form that suggests he can go deep into the tournament at Roland Garros. The world number seven has lost just two of his last 12 clay-court matches. 

Meanwhile, Mariano Navone, who is ranked just inside the top 100, has been a bit up and down, though the Argentine has probably shown a better level of form on European clay courts than he usually does. After falling to Luciano Nardi in Turin recently, Navone has steadied himself to beat both Brandan Nakashima and Reilly Opelka at the French Open, showing a level of form that tells us his game in good shape, so while it's difficult to see him winning this match, he could make life a little tougher for Musetti than the early odds suggest. 

Lorenzo Musetti vs Mariano Navone Form

Lorenzo Musetti and Mariano Navone Latest Matches

Lorenzo Musetti Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 28, 2025 - ATP French Open

Lorenzo Musetti
3 :  0
Daniel Elahi Galan

May 25, 2025 - ATP French Open

Lorenzo Musetti
3 :  0
Yannick Hanfmann

May 16, 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti

May 14, 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  0
Alexander Zverev

May 13, 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  0
Daniil Medvedev

May 11, 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  0
Brandon Nakashima
Mariano Navone Latest matches
L W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 28, 2025 - ATP French Open

Reilly Opelka
0 :  3
Mariano Navone

May 25, 2025 - ATP French Open

Mariano Navone
3 :  1
Brandon Nakashima

May 14, 2025 - Turin, Italy

Luca Nardi
2 :  1
Mariano Navone

May 10, 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Mariano Navone

May 8, 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Mariano Navone
2 :  0
Federico Cina

May 2, 2025 - Aix en Provence, France

Borna Ćorić
2 :  0
Mariano Navone

Lorenzo Musetti against Mariano Navone : Head to Head (H2H)

Lorenzo Musetti

50 %

Mariano Navone

50 %

Jul 30, 2024 - Olympic Tournament

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  0
Mariano Navone

May 5, 2024 - ATP Challenger Cagliari, Italy Men Singles

Mariano Navone
2 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti
Compare Lorenzo Musetti and Mariano Navone with our comparison tool.

Lorenzo Musetti - Mariano Navone Key Points

  1. Mariano Navone has already beaten two higher-ranked players at Roland Garros this week.
  2. Mariano Navone has lost none of his last four French Open matches in straight sets.
  3. Marinao Navone also has a decent recent record of at least avoiding straight-set defeats against higher-ranked players.
  4. Mariano Navone beat Lorenzo Musetti on a European clay court last season.

Our Lorenzo Musetti vs Mariano Navone Prediction

Of course, Lorenzo Musetti is the much higher-ranked player, while the Italian is tricky to face, though Navone is no poor player on clay, and while he typically saves his absolute best for clay courts in his native South America, he arrives full of confidence after two strong wins against Nakashim anad Opelka. He also beat Musetti on clay last year, while he has a good recent record of avoiding straight-set defeat at the French Open, so don't be too suprised if the strong favorite has to work hard to get the job done here. At the early odds, it's worth betting that Navone, at the very least, avoids a straight-set defeat. Our Lorenzo Musetti vs Mariano Navone Pick: Mariano Navone +2.5 Set Handicap.

Prediction:

 

Mariano Navone +2.5 Set Handicap

-120
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Lorenzo Musetti vs Mariano Navone Picks