Lorenzo Musetti vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Picks - ATP French Open

ATP - ATP French Open

ATP 7 Italy
Lorenzo Musetti
6/6/25 08:30
ATP 2 Spain
Carlos Alcaraz

Prediction:

 

Carlos Alcaraz -7.5 Games

+115
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 by Lou Aguila in ATP French Open Picks

The stakes could not go any higher when Carlos Alcaraz of Spain plays Lorenzo Musetti for the third time in a span of two months in the semifinal of the 2025 French Open.

After having been forced to play a four-setter for three consecutive matches, Alcaraz busted out his most dominant performance in this year’s tournament at Roland Garros as he blasted Tommy Paul of the United States 6-0 6-1 6-4. Alcaraz overpowered the American by winning 88 percent of his first serves and 83 percent of his second on top of 6 breakpoint conversions.

Musetti also made it to his second career Grand Slam semifinal after besting Frances Tiafoe 6-2 4-6 7-5 6-2 on Tuesday. The Italian improved his 2025 clay-court record to 19-3 following another masterful showing on the dirt. The Italian collected 61 points off his first serves and scored five breakpoints, including two service breaks in the fourth set that sealed the deal.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Carlos Alcaraz Form

Lorenzo Musetti and Carlos Alcaraz Latest Matches

Lorenzo Musetti Latest matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jun 3, 2025 - ATP French Open

Lorenzo Musetti
3 :  1
Frances Tiafoe

Jun 1, 2025 - ATP French Open

Lorenzo Musetti
3 :  1
Holger Rune

May 30, 2025 - ATP French Open

Lorenzo Musetti
3 :  1
Mariano Navone

May 28, 2025 - ATP French Open

Lorenzo Musetti
3 :  0
Daniel Elahi Galan

May 25, 2025 - ATP French Open

Lorenzo Musetti
3 :  0
Yannick Hanfmann

May 16, 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti
Carlos Alcaraz Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Jun 3, 2025 - ATP French Open

Tommy Paul
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

Jun 1, 2025 - ATP French Open

Ben Shelton
1 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

May 30, 2025 - ATP French Open

Damir Dzumhur
1 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

May 28, 2025 - ATP French Open

Fabian Marozsan
1 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

May 26, 2025 - ATP French Open

Giulio Zeppieri
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

May 18, 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Jannik Sinner
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

Lorenzo Musetti against Carlos Alcaraz : Head to Head (H2H)

Lorenzo Musetti

17 %

Carlos Alcaraz

83 %

May 16, 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti

Apr 13, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Lorenzo Musetti
1 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

Mar 26, 2024 - ATP Miami

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti

Oct 1, 2023 - ATP Beijing Open

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti

Jun 4, 2023 - ATP French Open

Carlos Alcaraz
3 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti

Jul 24, 2022 - ATP Hamburg Open

Carlos Alcaraz
1 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti
Compare Lorenzo Musetti and Carlos Alcaraz with our comparison tool.

Lorenzo Musetti - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points

  1. Lorenzo Musetti defeated Frances Tiafoe 6-2, 4-6, 7-5 6-2 in the quarterfinal of the 2025 French Open
  2. Lorenzo Musetti is 19-3 in the 2025 clay-court season
  3. Carlos Alcaraz defeated Tommy Paul 6-0 6-1 6-4 in the quarterfinal of the 2025 French Open.
  4. Carlos Alcaraz is 20-1 on clay in 2025.

Our Lorenzo Musetti vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction

Why you should bet on Carlos Alcaraz to cover -7.5 games (Win $115 on a $100 Bet): Alcaraz’s lopsided win over Tommy Paul in the quarterfinals isn’t just an ordinary win; it’s a stern warning for the remaining competitors at Roland Garros, Musetti included. Alcaraz has won his last 11 matches and boasts a 20-1 record on clay courts this season. Musetti, 18-3 on clay this year, would have come into the semis as a pretty strong bet to topple Alcaraz in a different scenario. However, after witnessing Alcaraz dismantle an opponent who had given him trouble in previous matches, I am convinced that no player left in this tournament can match the Spaniard’s current level of play.

Our betting prediction for Carlos Alcaraz vs. Lorenzo Musetti: Carlos Alcaraz -7.5 Games

Prediction:

 

Carlos Alcaraz -7.5 Games

+115
$1500 offered for betting!

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Lorenzo Musetti vs Carlos Alcaraz Picks