Liverpool vs Manchester City Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Liverpool
2/8/26 11:30
Manchester City

Prediction:

 

Draw and over 3.5 goals

+650
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 by Simon Day | in Premier League Picks

Title chasing Manchester City travel to Anfield on Sunday, where they will meet a Liverpool side that are slowly regaining the form that saw them sweep to last season's Premier League title. 

City cruised to a 3-0 victory when the two teams met at the Etihad earlier in the season. Erling Haaland opened the scoring in trademark fashion, before Nico Gonzalez and Jeremy Doku added superb strikes to complete a resounding win for Pep Guardiola's team. 

When the sides last faced off at Anfield, an early Cody Gakpo strike, plus a second half penalty from Mo Salah, gave Liverpool a comfortable 2-0 win en route to the 2024-2025 Premier League title. 

Overall, there is little to choose between the Reds and City in recent years. The last 15 matches between the teams have produced five draws, plus five wins apiece. 

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Liverpool vs Manchester City Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Manchester City
78 38 23 9 6 +42
5 Liverpool
60 38 17 9 12 +10

Liverpool and Manchester City Latest Matches

Liverpool
Liverpool Latest matches
W D W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jan 31, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
4 :  1
Newcastle

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Liverpool
6 :  0
Qarabag FK

Jan 24, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
3 :  2
Liverpool

Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League

Marseille
0 :  3
Liverpool

Jan 17, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Burnley

Jan 12, 2026 - FA Cup

Liverpool
4 :  1
Barnsley
W D W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 31, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
4 :  1
Newcastle

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Liverpool
6 :  0
Qarabag FK

Jan 17, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Burnley

Jan 12, 2026 - FA Cup

Liverpool
4 :  1
Barnsley

Jan 1, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
0 :  0
Leeds

Dec 27, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Wolves
W W D D W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 24, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
3 :  2
Liverpool

Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League

Marseille
0 :  3
Liverpool

Jan 8, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  0
Liverpool

Jan 4, 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
2 :  2
Liverpool

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  2
Liverpool

Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
0 :  1
Liverpool
Manchester City
Manchester City Latest matches
L L W W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 4, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Manchester City
3 :  1
Newcastle

Feb 1, 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
2 :  2
Manchester City

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Galatasaray

Jan 24, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Wolves

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

Bodoe/Glimt
3 :  1
Manchester City

Jan 17, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  0
Manchester City
D D W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Feb 4, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Manchester City
3 :  1
Newcastle

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Galatasaray

Jan 24, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Wolves

Jan 10, 2026 - FA Cup

Manchester City
10 :  1
Exeter City

Jan 7, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  1
Brighton

Jan 4, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  1
Chelsea
W D W L L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Feb 1, 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
2 :  2
Manchester City

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

Bodoe/Glimt
3 :  1
Manchester City

Jan 17, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  0
Manchester City

Jan 13, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
0 :  2
Manchester City

Jan 1, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  0
Manchester City

Dec 27, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  2
Manchester City

Liverpool against Manchester City : Head to Head (H2H)

Liverpool

33 %

Draw

33 %

Manchester City

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

Nov 9, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Liverpool

Feb 23, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
0 :  2
Liverpool

Dec 1, 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Manchester City

Mar 10, 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Manchester City

Nov 25, 2023 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  1
Liverpool

Apr 1, 2023 - Premier League

Manchester City
4 :  1
Liverpool

Liverpool - Manchester City: Form Analysis

Liverpool's resounding 4-1 win over Newcastle last Saturday ended a run of five Premier League games without a victory. Whilst there have been encouraging signs from the Reds in recent weeks (such as the excellent form of Florian Wirtz), it has been a frustrating season for Arne Slot's men. They are currently 14 points behind league leaders Arsenal, and their current sixth place position would not be good enough to secure them a place in next season's Champions League. 

City stumbling

Despite being second in the Premier League standings, it has been somewhat of a frustrating season so far for City. Last week's 2-2 draw at Spurs highlighted their defensive frailties, whilst Erling Haaland's poor recent form has only served to highlight the club's over-reliance on his goals. That being said, Pep Guardiola's side are still just six points behind Arsenal in the title race, so a strong end to the campaign could see them regain the title they lost to the Reds last season. 

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Liverpool against Manchester City Lineups: Starting 11

Liverpool

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
Alisson
8
D. Szoboszlai
5
I. Konate
4
V. Van Dijk
6
M. Kerkez
38
R. Gravenberch
10
A. Mac Allister
11
M. Salah
7
F. Wirtz
18
C. Gakpo
22
H. Ekitike
7
O. Marmoush
9
E. Haaland
42
A. Semenyo
33
N. OReilly
16
Rodri
20
B. Silva
21
R. Ait-Nouri
15
M. Guehi
45
A. Khusanov
27
M. Nunes
25
G. Donnarumma

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Manchester City

Substitutes

Liverpool
Liverpool
Goalkeeper

G. Mamardashvili

F. Woodman

Defender

C. Ramsay

A. Robertson

Midfielder

W. Endo

C. Jones

C. Gakpo 85'

T. Nyoni

F. Chiesa

M. Kerkez 90'

Forward

R. Ngumoha

Manchester City
Manchester City
Goalkeeper

J. Trafford

Defender

R. Lewis

M. Alleyne

R. Dias

A. Khusanov 61'

N. Ake

A. Semenyo 90'

Midfielder

P. Foden

T. Reijnders

N. Gonzalez

R. Cherki

O. Marmoush 61'

Missing players

Liverpool
Liverpool
Defender

J. Gomez

C. Bradley

S. Bajcetic

G. Leoni

Manchester City
Manchester City
Defender

J. Stones

J. Gvardiol

Midfielder

M. Kovacic

Liverpool & Manchester City Squad Analysis

Liverpool will go into Sunday's game without defenders Joe Gomez, Connor Bradley and Jermaine Frimpong. On the plus side, centre back Ibrahima Konate made a successful return to the side last week, so he looks set to continue his partnership with Virgil Van Dijk. Further up the field, the in-form Hugo Ekitike will lead the line in the absence of Alexander Isak, who continues to recover from the serious leg injury he suffered in December.

Defensive issues for City

John Stones and Josko Gvardiol remain on the sidelines for City, but Ruben Dias is expected to return to the starting lineup and partner Marc Guehi in the heart of the City defence. Wingers Savinho and Jeremy Doku are also likely to miss out through injury, but Rayan Cherki is expected to be fit following a minor knock in last week's draw at Spurs. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Liverpool
CD Huachipato Manchester City
Top Goalscorer
France H. Ekitike (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Norway E. Haaland (27 Goals)
Best assists
Egypt M. Salah (7 Assists)
Hungary D. Szoboszlai (7 Assists)
Best assists
France R. Cherki (12 Assists)

Liverpool - Manchester City Key Points

  1. Liverpool have drawn 4 of their last 6 league matches
  2. City have won just 1 of their last 5 away games
  3. City have won just once at Anfield since 2003
  4. Both teams have scored in 4 of Liverpool's last 5 league matches
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Our Liverpool vs Manchester City Prediction

This is a game that both sides urgently need to win, but we think the points are going to be shared. 

City have struggled on the road this season. which makes them difficult to back, especially against a team that rarely loses at home. 

That being said, Liverpool have drawn too many home games in recent weeks, so we are not entirely comfortable backing them either. 

Given the glittering array of attacking players that will be on the field at Anfield, one thing that does seem certain is that Sunday's game will feature plenty of goals, so we are tipping this massive contest to end in a high scoring draw. 

Our prediction for Liverpool vs Manchester City is: Draw and over 3.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Draw and over 3.5 goals

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Liverpool vs Manchester City - Other Interesting Picks

HT/FT: Man City/Draw

Odds +1000
City have scored five first half goals in their last two games, so we are expecting them to make another fast start on Sunday. On the flip side, they have conceded three times in the second half of those games, so we really like the long odds on them being pegged back after taking a first half lead.
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Florian Wirtz to score

Odds +300
After a slow start to his Anfield career, Florian Wirtz has been on fire in recent weeks and has now scored in four of his last seven Premier League games. His performance in last week's 4-1 win over Newcastle was arguably his best in a Liverpool shirt, so we are tipping the German star to continue his excellent form.
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Liverpool vs Manchester City match : Frequently asked questions

The Liverpool vs Manchester City game is taking place at Anfield on Sunday, 8th February.
The Liverpool vs Manchester City game kicks off at 16:00 GMT on Sunday 8th February.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Liverpool vs Manchester City Picks