Liverpool vs Leeds Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Liverpool
1/1/26 12:30
Leeds

Prediction:

 

Connor Bradley to Receive a Card

+225
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Premier League Picks

Not for the first time in recent weeks, Liverpool and Leeds will clash on New Year's Day. Back at the start of December, these two locked horns at Elland Road, playing out a six-goal thriller, in which the hosts notched twice late on to grab a share of the spoils. Daniel Farke's men have since delivered some useful performances, lifting themselves away from the relegation zone, tying two, also beating Crystal Palace in commanding fashion.

In contrast, the Reds haven't exactly improved since that rather poor result a month ago. Sure, Arne Slot's men haven't lost, not have they faiiled to win, winning four out of four, but let's be honest, by their own lofty standards, the Liverpool boys aren't thriving, scraping wins against both Wolves and Spurs, which doesn't exactly suggest that they're about to blow the Leeds ship out of the water. 

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Liverpool vs Leeds Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5 Liverpool
60 38 17 9 12 +10
14 Leeds
47 38 11 14 13 -7

Liverpool and Leeds Latest Matches

Liverpool
Liverpool Latest matches
D D W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 27, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Wolves

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  2
Liverpool

Dec 13, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Brighton

Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
0 :  1
Liverpool

Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  3
Liverpool

Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Sunderland
W L L D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 27, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Wolves

Dec 13, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Brighton

Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Sunderland

Nov 26, 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
1 :  4
PSV Eindhoven

Nov 22, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
0 :  3
Nottingham Forest

Nov 4, 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
1 :  0
Real Madrid
L L W D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  2
Liverpool

Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
0 :  1
Liverpool

Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  3
Liverpool

Nov 30, 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  2
Liverpool

Nov 9, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Liverpool

Oct 25, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  2
Liverpool
Leeds
Leeds Latest matches
L W D D W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 28, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
1 :  1
Leeds

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
4 :  1
Crystal Palace

Dec 14, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  1
Leeds

Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  3
Liverpool

Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  1
Chelsea

Nov 29, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  2
Leeds
L W L W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
4 :  1
Crystal Palace

Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  3
Liverpool

Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  1
Chelsea

Nov 23, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Aston Villa

Oct 24, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  1
West Ham

Oct 4, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Tottenham
L L L L D D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 28, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
1 :  1
Leeds

Dec 14, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  1
Leeds

Nov 29, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  2
Leeds

Nov 9, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
3 :  1
Leeds

Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Leeds

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  0
Leeds

Liverpool against Leeds : Head to Head (H2H)

Liverpool

50 %

Draw

33 %

Leeds

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.5
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
3.33
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  3
Liverpool

Apr 17, 2023 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  6
Liverpool

Oct 29, 2022 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  2
Leeds

Feb 23, 2022 - Premier League

Liverpool
6 :  0
Leeds

Sep 12, 2021 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  3
Liverpool

Apr 19, 2021 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  1
Liverpool

Liverpool against Leeds Lineups: Starting 11

Liverpool

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
Alisson
12
C. Bradley
5
I. Konate
4
V. Van Dijk
26
A. Robertson
38
R. Gravenberch
17
C. Jones
30
J. Frimpong
8
D. Szoboszlai
7
F. Wirtz
22
H. Ekitike
14
L. Nmecha
11
B. Aaronson
3
G. Gudmundsson
18
A. Stach
4
E. Ampadu
44
I. Gruev
24
J. Justin
5
P. Struijk
15
J. Bijol
23
S. Bornauw
1
L. Perri

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Leeds

Substitutes

Liverpool
Liverpool
Goalkeeper

G. Mamardashvili

Defender

C. Ramsay

M. Kerkez

A. Robertson 66'

W. Omoruyi

Midfielder

A. Mac Allister

C. Jones 66'

T. Nyoni

F. Chiesa

C. Bradley 79'

Forward

C. Gakpo

F. Wirtz 66'

R. Ngumoha

J. Frimpong 84'

Leeds
Leeds
Goalkeeper

K. Darlow

Defender

J. Bogle

S. Bornauw 83'

S. Byram

Midfielder

A. Tanaka

I. Gruev 90'

J. Harrison

Forward

N. Okafor

B. Aaronson 70'

J. Piroe

G. Wilfried

D. Calvert-Lewin

L. Nmecha 70'

Missing players

Liverpool
Liverpool
Defender

S. Bajcetic

G. Leoni

Leeds
Leeds
Forward

D. James

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Liverpool
CD Huachipato Leeds
Top Goalscorer
France H. Ekitike (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England D. Calvert-Lewin (14 Goals)
Best assists
Egypt M. Salah (7 Assists) , 
Hungary D. Szoboszlai (7 Assists)
Best assists
USA B. Aaronson (5 Assists)

Liverpool - Leeds Key Points

  1. When Liverpool and Leeds met at the start of December, Connor Bradley picked up a card.
  2. Against teams currently outside of the top five in the EPL, Connor Bradley has picked up three cards this season.
  3. Connor Bradley averages 0.59 cards per 90 minutes against teams not currently in the top five.
  4. This season in the EPL, Connor Bradley averages 1.86 fouls per 90 minutes.
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Our Liverpool vs Leeds Prediction

Connor Bradley has now gone a few games without picking up a card, but let's be real, the Northern Irishman is never too far away from his next booking. The tenacious and often over-the-top defender knows all about going into his tackles with force, which is often a positive, but also sees him get in trouble a fair bit. 

Last carded against Leeds at Elland Road at the start of the month, Bradley could very easily make it two cards in two games against Daniel Farke's men. After all, he's picked up three cards in nine appearances against teams currenlty outside of the top five, collecting an average of 0.59 cards in these games. That tells me that odds of +225 are too big to ignore. 

Our Liverpool vs Leeds Pick: Connor Bradley to Receive a Card. 

Prediction:

 

Connor Bradley to Receive a Card

+225
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Liverpool vs Leeds Picks