Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Liverpool
5/9/26 07:30
Chelsea

Prediction:

 

Liverpool to Win & Over 1.5 Goals

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 by Mikaella McIntosh | in Premier League Picks

The first EPL fixture kicking off this Saturday is a battle between Premier League giants Liverpool and Chelsea. The Reds and The Blues will fight it out at Anfield. 

The home side sits nicely in the top five, so they don't have a whole load to play for, with retaining their UCL status the only goal. Well, hurting a flailing Chelsea side even more and blocking them from a top finish would also feel very good for The Reds. That's why we’re leaning towards the parlay ‘Liverpool to Win and Over 1.5 Goals’. 

It’s very clear that the hosts are coming into this game in the much superior form, with Chelsea deteriorating very quickly in the league, losing all of their last six. Not claiming a single point since the start of March has resulted in them falling down to ninth place, though it is still very possible for them to be able to reach the desired rankings, but a big change needs to occur. Liverpool have won three out of their last four EPL matches, almost clawing back a point at Old Trafford last time out, as well as scoring multiple goals in all of their last three.

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Liverpool vs Chelsea Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5 Liverpool
60 38 17 9 12 +10
10 Chelsea
52 38 14 10 14 +6

Liverpool and Chelsea Latest Matches

Liverpool
Liverpool Latest matches
L W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 3, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Liverpool

Apr 25, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
3 :  1
Crystal Palace

Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  2
Liverpool

Apr 14, 2026 - Champions League

Liverpool
0 :  2
PSG

Apr 11, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Fulham

Apr 8, 2026 - Champions League

PSG
2 :  0
Liverpool
W D W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 25, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
3 :  1
Crystal Palace

Apr 14, 2026 - Champions League

Liverpool
0 :  2
PSG

Apr 11, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Fulham

Mar 18, 2026 - Champions League

Liverpool
4 :  0
Galatasaray

Mar 15, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Tottenham

Feb 28, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
5 :  2
West Ham
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 3, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Liverpool

Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  2
Liverpool

Apr 8, 2026 - Champions League

PSG
2 :  0
Liverpool

Apr 4, 2026 - FA Cup

Manchester City
4 :  0
Liverpool

Mar 21, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Liverpool

Mar 10, 2026 - Champions League

Galatasaray
1 :  0
Liverpool
Chelsea
Chelsea Latest matches
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 4, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  3
Nottingham Forest

Apr 26, 2026 - FA Cup

Chelsea
1 :  0
Leeds

Apr 21, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Chelsea

Apr 18, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  1
Manchester United

Apr 12, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  3
Manchester City

Apr 4, 2026 - FA Cup

Chelsea
7 :  0
Port Vale
L W L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 4, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  3
Nottingham Forest

Apr 26, 2026 - FA Cup

Chelsea
1 :  0
Leeds

Apr 18, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  1
Manchester United

Apr 12, 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  3
Manchester City

Apr 4, 2026 - FA Cup

Chelsea
7 :  0
Port Vale

Mar 17, 2026 - Champions League

Chelsea
0 :  3
PSG
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Apr 21, 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Chelsea

Mar 21, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
3 :  0
Chelsea

Mar 11, 2026 - Champions League

PSG
5 :  2
Chelsea

Mar 7, 2026 - FA Cup

Wrexham
2 :  4
Chelsea

Mar 4, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  4
Chelsea

Mar 1, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Chelsea

Liverpool against Chelsea : Head to Head (H2H)

Liverpool

50 %

Draw

17 %

Chelsea

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
Liverpool

May 4, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  1
Liverpool

Oct 20, 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Chelsea

Feb 25, 2024 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
0 :  1
Liverpool

Jan 31, 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
4 :  1
Chelsea

Aug 13, 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Liverpool

Liverpool against Chelsea Lineups: Starting 11

Liverpool

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

25
G. Mamardashvili
17
C. Jones
5
I. Konate
4
V. Van Dijk
6
M. Kerkez
38
R. Gravenberch
10
A. Mac Allister
30
J. Frimpong
8
D. Szoboszlai
73
R. Ngumoha
18
C. Gakpo
20
Joao Pedro
8
E. Fernandez
10
C. Palmer
3
M. Cucurella
25
M. Caicedo
17
A. Santos
27
M. Gusto
21
J. Hato
29
W. Fofana
6
L. Colwill
12
F. Jorgensen

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Chelsea

Substitutes

Liverpool
Liverpool
Goalkeeper

F. Woodman

Defender

A. Robertson

J. Gomez

I. Konate 77'

E. Mor Talla Ndiaye

Midfielder

K. Morrison

T. Nyoni

F. Chiesa

C. Gakpo 77'

Forward

W. Wright

A. Isak

R. Ngumoha 67'

Chelsea
Chelsea
Goalkeeper

G. Slonina

Defender

J. Acheampong

R. James

A. Santos 63'

T. Adarabioyo

T. Chalobah

Midfielder

M. Eboue

R. Lavia

Forward

R. Kavuma-Mcqueen

L. Delap

Missing players

Liverpool
Liverpool
Goalkeeper

Alisson

Defender

C. Bradley

S. Bajcetic

G. Leoni

Midfielder

W. Endo

Forward

M. Salah

H. Ekitike

Chelsea
Chelsea
Goalkeeper

R. Sanchez

Midfielder

J. Derry

Forward

M. Mudryk

J. Gittens

Estevao

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Liverpool
CD Huachipato Chelsea
Top Goalscorer
France H. Ekitike (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Joao Pedro (15 Goals)
Best assists
Egypt M. Salah (7 Assists)
Hungary D. Szoboszlai (7 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal P. Neto (6 Assists)

Liverpool - Chelsea Key Points

  1. Liverpool have won five out of their last seven games on home soil (all competitions).
  2. The hosts have scored multiple goals in all of their last four EPL matches.
  3. Chelsea have lost all of their previous six EPL fixtures on the bounce.
  4. The away side have faced defeat in their last three games on the road.
Up to $200 to bet on Liverpool - Chelsea! 

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Our Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction

On home soil, The Reds have not been defeated in their last four Premier League meetings, as well as being victorious in five out of their last seven in all competitions. Heading into this game they’ve been scoring lots, whilst Chelsea are in a dire situation, and have been allowing far too many goals. 

The visitors have shipped multiple goals in four out of their last five EPL matches, losing every one, and in all of their last four games on the road (two competitions), even when facing tier-two side Wrexham, who they could only tie against in 90 minutes. We should expect to see Liverpool dominate this game given both teams’ recent performances.

Our Liverpool vs Chelsea Pick: Liverpool to Win & Over 1.5 Goals.

Prediction:

 

Liverpool to Win & Over 1.5 Goals

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Liverpool vs Chelsea Picks