Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Liverpool
9/17/25 15:00
Atletico Madrid

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

-150
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 by Erik Gibbs in Champions League Picks

Atlético Madrid meet Liverpool in a Champions League big-hitter bout this Wednesday that has every chance of being a classic. The Reds go into this match in good nick, winning all of their opening league games with a blend of blistering attacking power and late-match fortitude. The fact that they grind out victories now has also become a signature, winning several games by final-minute winning goals. That speaks not only of strength in depth, but of what kind of group attitude has been forged by their gaffer.

Anfield has become a fortress again, and European evenings in this stadium too frequently have summoned up Liverpool's very best, which gives credence to what they're doing now. They feel confident, balanced, and equal to anything that's hurled at them.

Atlético Madrid, by contrast, started the season in less reassuring fashion. Initial La Liga slip-ups cost them points against opponents they would typically want to beat. They remain, by convention, one of Europe's hardest to break, pillars of defensive strength and determination. But moments of laxity have crept into their game, and cost them matches.

Despite this, Atlético remain a side that thrives in the spotlight. Champions League pedigree is unquestionable, and even in middle-of-the-road spells in La Liga, there is a tendency to rise to the occasion. Matches against clubs of this ilk of Liverpool are exactly the types in which defensive solidity and counterattack flair come to the fore, so dangerous foes are what they become in spite of a patchy opening.

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Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid Form

Liverpool and Atletico Madrid Latest Matches

Liverpool
Liverpool Latest matches
W D W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 14, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  1
Liverpool

Aug 31, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  0
Arsenal

Aug 25, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  3
Liverpool

Aug 15, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
4 :  2
Bournemouth

Aug 10, 2025 - Community Shield

Crystal Palace
2 :  2
Liverpool

Aug 4, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
3 :  2
Athletic Bilbao
D L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Aug 31, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  0
Arsenal

Aug 15, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
4 :  2
Bournemouth

Aug 4, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
3 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

Aug 4, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
4 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
2 :  4
AC Milan

May 25, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Crystal Palace
L W W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Sep 14, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  1
Liverpool

Aug 25, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  3
Liverpool

Aug 10, 2025 - Community Shield

Crystal Palace
2 :  2
Liverpool

Jul 30, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Yokohama F Marinos
1 :  3
Liverpool

Jul 13, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Preston North End
1 :  3
Liverpool

May 19, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  2
Liverpool
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid Latest matches
L W L D D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Sep 13, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Villarreal

Aug 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Aug 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  1
Elche

Aug 17, 2025 - LaLiga

Espanyol
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Newcastle
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Aug 3, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Porto
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid
W W W W D W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 13, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Villarreal

Aug 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  1
Elche

Jun 23, 2025 - Club World Cup

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Botafogo

May 18, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
4 :  1
Betis

May 10, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
4 :  0
Real Sociedad

Apr 24, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  0
Rayo Vallecano
L W L W L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Aug 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Aug 17, 2025 - LaLiga

Espanyol
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Newcastle
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Aug 3, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Porto
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Jun 19, 2025 - Club World Cup

Seattle Sounders
1 :  3
Atletico Madrid

Jun 15, 2025 - Club World Cup

PSG
4 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Liverpool against Atletico Madrid : Head to Head (H2H)

Liverpool

50 %

Draw

0 %

Atletico Madrid

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.25
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.75
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Nov 3, 2021 - Champions League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Oct 19, 2021 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
2 :  3
Liverpool

Mar 11, 2020 - Champions League

Liverpool
2 :  3
Atletico Madrid

Feb 18, 2020 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Liverpool

Atletico Madrid v Liverpool last Lineups

Liverpool

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
Alisson
8
D. Szoboszlai
5
I. Konate
4
V. Van Dijk
6
M. Kerkez
38
R. Gravenberch
10
A. Mac Allister
11
M. Salah
7
F. Wirtz
18
C. Gakpo
22
H. Ekitike
19
J. Alvarez
7
A. Griezmann
23
N. Gonzalez
8
P. Barrios
6
Koke
20
G. Simeone
3
M. Ruggeri
15
C. Lenglet
24
R. Le Normand
14
M. Llorente
13
J. Oblak

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Atletico Madrid

Missing players

Liverpool
Liverpool
Defender

S. Bajcetic

Midfielder

C. Jones

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Defender

J. Gimenez

Midfielder

A. Baena

T. Almada

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Liverpool
CD Huachipato Atletico Madrid
Top Goalscorer
Egypt M. Salah (2 Goals)
France H. Ekitike (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Argentina J. Alvarez (1 Goals) Norway A. Sorloth (1 Goals) Argentina G. Simeone (1 Goals) Argentina N. Gonzalez (1 Goals) Spain P. Barrios (1 Goals)
Best assists
Netherlands C. Gakpo (2 Assists)
Best assists
Slovakia D. Hancko (1 Assists)
Spain M. Llorente (1 Assists)
Argentina J. Alvarez (1 Assists)

Liverpool - Atletico Madrid Key Points

  1. Liverpool are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
  2. Atlético are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
  3. The Over is 1-4 in Liverpool's last 5 games
  4. The Over is 4-1 in Atlético's last 5 games
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Our Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

The frontline of Liverpool centers on Mohamed Salah. The Egyptian striker has been ruthless with goals in high-pressure situations, establishing him as one of Europe's deadliest finishers. Alongside him, Virgil van Dijk is a rock at the back. Leadership, aerial authority, and organizational capability ensure solidity, particularly in navigating sudden changes of tempo by opponents like Atlético.

The visitors' talisman remains Antoine Griezmann. The spark of creativity and flair in the final third is what they often need to lift tight games. Supporting him is Jan Oblak, one of soccer's most dependable keepers. His shot-stopping often makes Atlético good odds in games in which pressure mounts against them. Another player to monitor in recent months is Thiago Almada, whose flair, vision, and passing talents infuse midfield unpredictability.

Ultimately, tempo and home advantage could yet tell in favour of Liverpool, though Atlético's expertise in frustrating opponents means this could be prevented for large spells. One moment of error or genius could swing it. Our prediction for Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid: Over 2.5 goals

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

-150
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Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid Picks
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