Liverpool vs Aston Villa Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Liverpool
11/1/25 16:00
Aston Villa

Prediction:

 

Villa to win (draw no bet)

+275
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 by Simon Day in Premier League Picks

Aston Villa will be aiming to make it five Premier League wins on the spin when they face out-of-form Liverpool at Anfield on Saturday evening. 

Remarkably, Liverpool have lost four Premier League games, a run that has seen the Reds drop to seventh in the table, seven points behind leaders Arsenal. Manager Arne Slot needs to turn his side's form around ASAP if Liverpool are to have any chance of retaining the title they won so convincingly last season. 

In contrast to Liverpool's recent slump, Aston Villa are absolutely flying at the moment. Sunday's win over Manchester City moved Unai Emery's side into the top half of the table for the first time this season, and despite failing to score in their opening four matches, Villa look well-equipped to mount a serious challenge for a Champions League place. 

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Liverpool vs Aston Villa Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7
Liverpool
Liverpool
15 9 5 0 4 2
8
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
15 9 4 3 2 1

Liverpool and Aston Villa Latest Matches

Liverpool
Liverpool Latest matches
W W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 29, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Liverpool
0 :  3
Crystal Palace

Oct 25, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  2
Liverpool

Oct 22, 2025 - Champions League

Eintracht Frankfurt
1 :  5
Liverpool

Oct 19, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  2
Manchester United

Oct 4, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
Liverpool

Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League

Galatasaray
1 :  0
Liverpool
W W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 29, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Liverpool
0 :  3
Crystal Palace

Oct 19, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  2
Manchester United

Sep 23, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Liverpool
2 :  1
Southampton

Sep 20, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Everton

Sep 17, 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
3 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Aug 31, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  0
Arsenal
D W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 25, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  2
Liverpool

Oct 22, 2025 - Champions League

Eintracht Frankfurt
1 :  5
Liverpool

Oct 4, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
Liverpool

Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League

Galatasaray
1 :  0
Liverpool

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
2 :  1
Liverpool

Sep 14, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  1
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Aston Villa Latest matches
D W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 26, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Manchester City

Oct 23, 2025 - Europa League

Go Ahead Eagles
2 :  1
Aston Villa

Oct 19, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  2
Aston Villa

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Burnley

Oct 2, 2025 - Europa League

Feyenoord
0 :  2
Aston Villa

Sep 28, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  1
Fulham
W D L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 26, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Manchester City

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Burnley

Sep 28, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  1
Fulham

Sep 25, 2025 - Europa League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Bologna

Aug 31, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  3
Crystal Palace

Aug 16, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  0
Newcastle
L D D D W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 23, 2025 - Europa League

Go Ahead Eagles
2 :  1
Aston Villa

Oct 19, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  2
Aston Villa

Oct 2, 2025 - Europa League

Feyenoord
0 :  2
Aston Villa

Sep 21, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
1 :  1
Aston Villa

Sep 16, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Brentford
1 :  1
Aston Villa

Sep 13, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  0
Aston Villa

Liverpool against Aston Villa : Head to Head (H2H)

Liverpool

50 %

Draw

50 %

Aston Villa

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
67%
BTTS
2.33
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

Feb 19, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  2
Liverpool

Nov 9, 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Aston Villa

May 13, 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  3
Liverpool

Sep 3, 2023 - Premier League

Liverpool
3 :  0
Aston Villa

May 20, 2023 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Aston Villa

Dec 26, 2022 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  3
Liverpool
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Liverpool - Aston Villa: Form Analysis

After starting the season with five successive victories, Liverpool looked on course for another dominant season. However, a last gasp defeat at Crystal Palace in late September has been followed by defeats to Chelsea, Manchester United and Brentford. 

In truth, there were a few worrying signs even when the Reds were winning their early season games. Few of their displays were convincing and almost all of their victories were down to late winners. Arne Slot desperately needs the likes of Mo Salah, Florian Wirtz and Virgil Van Dijk to find their best form, otherwise the current slump could soon turn into a full blown crisis. 

Villa on form

In contrast to the Reds, Villa had a miserable start to the campaign, picking up just three points and two goals in their opening five games. However, since then, Villa have been unstoppable, picking up impressive wins against Fulham, Tottenham Hotspur, Burnley, and Manchester City. If Unai Emery's side can replicate the display that saw them beat City 1-0 last Sunday, they will have every chance of getting something from their trip to Anfield. 

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Missing players

Liverpool
Liverpool
Goalkeeper

Alisson

Defender

S. Bajcetic

G. Leoni

J. Frimpong

Midfielder

R. Gravenberch

Forward

A. Isak

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Midfielder

Y. Tielemans

E. Buendia

Liverpool & Aston Villa Squad Analysis

A series of niggling injuries are hampering Arne Slot's attempts to turn around Liverpool's season.

First choice keeper Alisson remains out with a thigh problem, whilst defender Jeremie Frimpong is expected to miss at least another month with a similar problem. Midfielder Ryan Gravenbach is also a doubt (ankle), whilst big money signing Alexander Isak is struggling to recover from a persistent groin problem. 

More problems for Buendia

After forcing his way into the Villa starting lineup, Villa attacking midfielder Emi Buendia looks set for a long spell on the sidelines after picking up a foot injury in the victory over Manchester City.

Meanwhile, fellow midfielder Youri Tielemans remains out with a long term calf problem and right back Andres Garcia is still not fully recovered from his muscle injury. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Liverpool
CD Huachipato Aston Villa
Top Goalscorer
France H. Ekitike (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Argentina E. Buendia (3 Goals) Scotland J. McGinn (3 Goals)
Best assists
Egypt M. Salah (3 Assists)
Netherlands C. Gakpo (3 Assists)
Italy F. Chiesa (3 Assists)
Hungary D. Szoboszlai (3 Assists)
Best assists
France B. Kamara (3 Assists)

Liverpool and Aston Villa Stats in Premier League

Liverpool
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
56%
Victories
44%
0%
Draw
33%
44%
Defeats
22%
3.33
Total goals per match
1.89
1.78
Goals scored per match
1
1.56
Goals conceded per match
0.89
78%
Over 2.5
44%
22%
Under 2.5
56%
78%
BTTS
44%
22%
No goals conceded
33%

Liverpool - Aston Villa Key Points

  1. Villa have won their last 4 Premier League games
  2. Liverpool have lost their last 4 Premier League matches
  3. Liverpool have kept just 2 clean sheets in their last 14 Premier League games
  4. Villa have won 6 of their last 7 matches in all competitions
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Our Liverpool vs Aston Villa Prediction

These are worrying times for Liverpool, and a visit from an in-form Villa side is the last thing that the Reds need at the moment. 

Unai Emery has his Villa side firing on all cylinders, so we are tipping them to make it five wins in a row by triumphing on Saturday night.

There is value in backing Villa outright at a whopping 4.75, but we are hedging our bets by taking the slightly shorter price on a 'draw no bet' selection. 

Our prediction for Liverpool vs Aston Villa is: Villa to win (draw no bet).

Prediction:

 

Villa to win (draw no bet)

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Liverpool vs Aston Villa - Other Interesting Picks

Under 2.5 goals

Odds +148
Despite their superb form, Villa's forward players are not quite at their best. Last season's top scorer Ollie Watkins has been far from his best, whilst the likes of Morgan Rogers and Donyell Malen are also struggling to find the net regularly. When you also factor in Liverpool's poor form in front of goal, we think there is every chance that this is a low scoring contest.
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$300 available for Liverpool vs Aston Villa

Liverpool vs Aston Villa match : Frequently asked questions

The Liverpool vs Aston Villa fixture is taking place at Anfield in Liverpool.
The Liverpool vs Aston Villa match kicks off at 21:00 CET on Saturday, November 1st.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Liverpool vs Aston Villa Picks