Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Liverpool
5/11/25 11:30
Arsenal

Prediction:

 

Luis Diaz Over 0.5 Shots on Target

-114
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 by Bradley Gibbs in Premier League Picks

Sunday's final kick-off in the English Premier League comes to us from Anfield, the home of the 2024/25 champions, who will take on a wounded Arsenal side that crashed and burned in the semi-finals of the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday evening. Can the hosts rub salt into the wounds of a Gunners team that now has nothing left to play for this season? They likely can. 

OK, we saw the Reds come unstuck in West London last week, but back in front of their own fans, they'll likely do better, while they've had longer to rest and prepare for this game than the visitors, which should not be overlooked. The Gunners also come into this game off the back of three straight defeats in all competitions, losing at home to Bournemouth last time out. Mikel Arteta's men are now without a win in four, which isn't exactly what you want ahead of a trip to Anfield. 

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Liverpool vs Arsenal Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Liverpool
Liverpool
82 35 25 7 3 46
2
Arsenal
Arsenal
67 35 18 13 4 33

Liverpool and Arsenal Latest Matches

Liverpool
Liverpool Latest matches
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 4, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  1
Liverpool

Apr 27, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
5 :  1
Tottenham

Apr 20, 2025 - Premier League

Leicester
0 :  1
Liverpool

Apr 13, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  1
West Ham

Apr 6, 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
3 :  2
Liverpool

Apr 2, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  0
Everton
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 27, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
5 :  1
Tottenham

Apr 13, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  1
West Ham

Apr 2, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  0
Everton

Mar 16, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Liverpool
1 :  2
Newcastle

Mar 11, 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
0 :  1
PSG

Mar 8, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
3 :  1
Southampton
D W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 4, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  1
Liverpool

Apr 20, 2025 - Premier League

Leicester
0 :  1
Liverpool

Apr 6, 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
3 :  2
Liverpool

Mar 5, 2025 - Champions League

PSG
0 :  1
Liverpool

Feb 23, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
0 :  2
Liverpool

Feb 19, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  2
Liverpool
Arsenal
Arsenal Latest matches
W W D L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

May 7, 2025 - Champions League

PSG
2 :  1
Arsenal

May 3, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  2
Bournemouth

Apr 29, 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
0 :  1
PSG

Apr 23, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  2
Crystal Palace

Apr 20, 2025 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
0 :  4
Arsenal

Apr 16, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Arsenal
W W D D L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 3, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  2
Bournemouth

Apr 29, 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
0 :  1
PSG

Apr 23, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  2
Crystal Palace

Apr 12, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
1 :  1
Brentford

Apr 8, 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
3 :  0
Real Madrid

Apr 1, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Fulham
W D D W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 7, 2025 - Champions League

PSG
2 :  1
Arsenal

Apr 20, 2025 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
0 :  4
Arsenal

Apr 16, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Arsenal

Apr 5, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
Arsenal

Mar 9, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Arsenal

Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League

PSV Eindhoven
1 :  7
Arsenal

Liverpool against Arsenal : Head to Head (H2H)

Liverpool

33 %

Draw

50 %

Arsenal

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
83%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

Oct 27, 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  2
Liverpool

Jul 31, 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
2 :  1
Arsenal

Feb 4, 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  1
Liverpool

Jan 7, 2024 - FA Cup

Arsenal
0 :  2
Liverpool

Dec 23, 2023 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Arsenal

Apr 9, 2023 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  2
Arsenal

Arsenal v Liverpool last Lineups

Liverpool

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
Alisson
66
T. Alexander-Arnold
78
J. Quansah
4
V. van Dijk
21
K. Tsimikas
3
W. Endo
17
C. Jones
11
M. Salah
19
H. Elliott
18
C. Gakpo
20
D. Jota
11
G. Martinelli
23
M. Merino
7
B. Saka
41
D. Rice
5
T. Partey
8
M. Odegaard
49
M. Lewis-Skelly
15
J. Kiwior
2
W. Saliba
12
J. Timber
22
D. Raya

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Arsenal

Missing players

Liverpool
Liverpool
Defender

J. Gomez

Arsenal
Arsenal
Goalkeeper

Neto

Defender

T. Tomiyasu

G. Magalhaes

Forward

G. Jesus

K. Havertz

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Liverpool
CD Huachipato Arsenal
Top Goalscorer
Egypt M. Salah (33 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Germany K. Havertz (15 Goals)
Best assists
Egypt M. Salah (23 Assists)
Best assists
England B. Saka (13 Assists)

Liverpool and Arsenal Stats in Premier League

Liverpool
Liverpool
Arsenal
Arsenal
71%
Victories
51%
20%
Draw
37%
9%
Defeats
11%
3.31
Total goals per match
2.71
2.31
Goals scored per match
1.83
1
Goals conceded per match
0.89
63%
Over 2.5
43%
37%
Under 2.5
57%
57%
BTTS
57%
40%
No goals conceded
34%

Liverpool - Arsenal Key Points

  1. Luis Diaz has taken eight shots in his last three home games for Liverpool.
  2. Luis Diaz has scored in each of his last two home games for Liverpool.
  3. Only one Liverpool player has taken more shots than Luis Diaz this season.
  4. Luis has registered four shots on target in his last four Premier League appearances.
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Our Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction

Sure, they've already secured the title, so the hosts don't technically have anything to play for, but they will want to treat the Anfield faithful to a decent performance, while the visitors have nothing to play for either. Moreover, as a player who is generally keen to go for goal, Luis Diaz could easily make headway against a team that had a tough game in Paris during the week. Given his stats this season and the fact that he's scored in three of his last four, the Colombian looks generously priced to register a shot on target. Our Liverpool vs Arsenal Pick: Luis Diaz Over 0.5 Shots on Target. 

Prediction:

 

Luis Diaz Over 0.5 Shots on Target

-114
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Liverpool vs Arsenal Picks
Up to $1500 to bet on Liverpool - Arsenal! 

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