Lille vs Marseille Prediction & Picks - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Lille
12/5/25 15:00
Marseille

Prediction:

 

Lille and Draw & Over 1.5 Goals

-128
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 by Tyler Doty | in Ligue 1 Picks

This is undoubtedly the most eagerly awaited match of the 15th day of Ligue 1. This Friday, Lille will take on Olympique de Marseille at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy. These are two teams that have their sights set on nothing less than qualifying for the next edition of the Champions League. Before the start of this new matchday, Lille is in 4th place in the standings. The Dogues have been brimming with confidence recently, having won their last two league games. Very solid at home, Bruno Génésio's team does not expect to take its foot off the gas for this clash.

It will not be an easy task. Marseille is on the Ligue 1 podium, in third place. Last weekend, the club had a great opportunity to take the lead in the French championship after PSG's defeat at AS Monaco (1-0). However, Roberto De Zerbi's men missed the boat, being held to a draw by Toulouse FC in the dying moments at the Stade Vélodrome (2-2). The Marseille team has certainly taken a big blow before traveling to the home ground of one of its direct rivals.

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Lille vs Marseille Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Lille
61 34 18 7 9 +15
5 Marseille
59 34 18 5 11 +18

Lille and Marseille Latest Matches

Lille
Lille Latest matches
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Nov 30, 2025 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  1
Lille

Nov 27, 2025 - Europa League

Lille
4 :  0
GNK Dinamo Zagreb

Nov 23, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
4 :  2
Paris FC

Nov 9, 2025 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
2 :  0
Lille

Nov 6, 2025 - Europa League

Red Star Belgrade
1 :  0
Lille

Nov 2, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  0
Angers
D L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 27, 2025 - Europa League

Lille
4 :  0
GNK Dinamo Zagreb

Nov 23, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
4 :  2
Paris FC

Nov 2, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  0
Angers

Oct 26, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
6 :  1
Metz

Oct 23, 2025 - Europa League

Lille
3 :  4
PAOK Thessaloniki

Oct 5, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  1
PSG
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

Nov 30, 2025 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  1
Lille

Nov 9, 2025 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
2 :  0
Lille

Nov 6, 2025 - Europa League

Red Star Belgrade
1 :  0
Lille

Oct 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Nice
2 :  0
Lille

Oct 19, 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
0 :  2
Lille

Oct 2, 2025 - Europa League

Roma
0 :  1
Lille
Marseille
Marseille Latest matches
W L W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  2
Toulouse

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
2 :  1
Newcastle

Nov 21, 2025 - Ligue 1

Nice
1 :  5
Marseille

Nov 8, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  0
Brest

Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
0 :  1
Atalanta

Nov 1, 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  1
Marseille
W D L W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Nov 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  2
Toulouse

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
2 :  1
Newcastle

Nov 8, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  0
Brest

Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
0 :  1
Atalanta

Oct 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  2
Angers

Oct 18, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
6 :  2
Le Havre
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Nov 21, 2025 - Ligue 1

Nice
1 :  5
Marseille

Nov 1, 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  1
Marseille

Oct 25, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lens
2 :  1
Marseille

Oct 22, 2025 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  1
Marseille

Oct 4, 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  3
Marseille

Sep 26, 2025 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
1 :  2
Marseille

Lille against Marseille : Head to Head (H2H)

Lille

33 %

Draw

67 %

Marseille

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

May 4, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  1
Marseille

Jan 14, 2025 - French Cup

Marseille
1 :  1
Lille

Dec 14, 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  1
Lille

Apr 5, 2024 - Ligue 1

Lille
3 :  1
Marseille

Nov 4, 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  0
Lille

May 20, 2023 - Ligue 1

Lille
2 :  1
Marseille
Lille vs Marseille Picks

Lille against Marseille Lineups: Starting 11

Lille

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
B. Ozer
12
T. Meunier
3
N. Ngoy
23
A. Mandi
15
R. Perraud
21
B. Andre
6
N. Bentaleb
10
H. Haraldsson
8
E. Mbappe
11
O. Sahraoui
29
H. Igamane
17
P. Aubameyang
14
I. Paixao
10
M. Greenwood
33
Emerson
18
A. Vermeeren
19
G. Kondogbia
22
T. Weah
21
N. Aguerd
5
L. Balerdi
28
B. Pavard
1
G. Rulli

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Marseille

Substitutes

Lille
Lille
Goalkeeper

A. Bodart

Defender

M. Goffi

C. Mbemba

Midfielder

M. Broholm

N. Mukau

E. Mbappe 70'

A. Gomes

H. Haraldsson 84'

Forward

O. Giroud

H. Igamane 26'

F. Correia

O. Sahraoui 70'

M. Fernandez-Pardo

Marseille
Marseille
Goalkeeper

J. De Lange

Defender

C. Egan Riley

A. Murillo

Midfielder

M. O'Riley

B. Nadir

G. Kondogbia 80'

D. Bakola

B. Pavard 66'

A. Gomes

T. Mmadi

I. Paixao 80'

Forward

R. Vaz

P. Aubameyang 66'

Missing players

Lille
Lille
Defender

C. Verdonk

Alexsandro

O. Toure

R. Fernandes

Midfielder

A. Bouaddi

Marseille
Marseille
Defender

F. Medina

Midfielder

H. Traore

Forward

A. Gouiri

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Lille
CD Huachipato Marseille
Top Goalscorer
Iceland H. Haraldsson (8 Goals) , 
Belgium M. Fernandez-Pardo (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England M. Greenwood (16 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal F. Correia (5 Assists) , 
Belgium M. Fernandez-Pardo (5 Assists)
Best assists
England M. Greenwood (8 Assists)

Lille - Marseille Key Points

  1. Lille has won their last two Ligue 1 matches.
  2. Over 1.5 goals were scored in Lille's last 4 matches.
  3. Lille has not lost in its last six matches against Marseille in all competitions.
  4. Marseille is coming off a draw against Toulouse FC at the Stade Vélodrome (2-2).
  5. Over 1.5 goals were scored in Marseille's last 4 matches.
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Our Lille vs Marseille Prediction

Last weekend, Lille secured a valuable victory away to Le Havre AC, despite playing with ten men for much of the second half (0-1). This win should give them a confidence boost ahead of their Ligue 1 clash with Marseille. For their part, Marseille are still reeling from a disappointing draw at the Stade Vélodrome against Toulouse FC (2-2). Although this fixture promises to be a high-scoring affair, the Marseille club will find it difficult to return to winning ways away from home against a very solid side in front of their fans.

Our prediction for Lille vs Marseille: Lille and Draw & over 1.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Lille and Draw & Over 1.5 Goals

-128
$250 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.