Leeds vs Burnley Prediction & Picks - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Mikaella McIntosh | in Premier League Picks
The Friday evening slot in the Premier League this week will be filled by Leeds looking to take advantage of an already-relegated Burnley side. Hosting the worst team defensively in the whole division, Leeds are determined to take a precious three points, and this is a greater opportunity for the lively Noah Okafor to score than the early odds suggest.
The Whites will see this as a very necessary win, knowing that three points here basically secures them top-tier soccer next season, and taking the pressure off their remaining fixtures consisting of two against fellow sides grappling with relegation. Okafor has returned from his little time-off with injury all fired up, scoring three goals in his last four appearances, including in their last home game against the other announced relegated side.
The Clarets haven’t managed to hold onto a single clean sheet on the road this season, with 14 out of 17 giving away more than one goal. They suffered a 4-1 beating last time out against Nottingham Forest, as well as three goals from West Ham and two from both Wolves and Newcastle this season, all of which are relevantly ranked. The visitors now have nothing to play for, though they couldn't even keep it tight when they were fighting.
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Leeds vs Burnley Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
14
|
47 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 |
|
19
|
22 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 |
Leeds and Burnley Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 26, 2026 - FA Cup
Apr 22, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 18, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 13, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 5, 2026 - FA Cup
Mar 21, 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 18, 2026 - Premier League
Mar 21, 2026 - Premier League
Mar 8, 2026 - FA Cup
Mar 3, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 28, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 6, 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 26, 2026 - FA Cup
Apr 22, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 13, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 5, 2026 - FA Cup
Mar 15, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 22, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 12, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
Apr 11, 2026 - Premier League
Mar 23, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
Mar 21, 2026 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 22, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 12, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
Apr 11, 2026 - Premier League
Mar 16, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
Mar 14, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 28, 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League
Mar 23, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
Mar 21, 2026 - Premier League
Mar 9, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
Mar 3, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 27, 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
Leeds against Burnley : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League
Jan 27, 2025 - Championship
Sep 14, 2024 - Championship
Jan 2, 2022 - Premier League
Aug 29, 2021 - Premier League
May 15, 2021 - Premier League
Leeds against Burnley Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
L. Perri
DefenderS. Bornauw
S. Byram
MidfielderS. Longstaff
B. Aaronson
G. Wilfried
J. Piroe
L. Nmecha
D. James
M. Weiss
DefenderJ. Worrall
L. Pires
H. Mejbri
Florentino
L. Ugochukwu
ForwardZ. Amdouni
A. Broja
M. Edwards
Missing players
G. Gudmundsson
MidfielderI. Gruev
C. Roberts
J. Beyer
MidfielderJ. Cullen
Most goals and assists
Leeds
Burnley
D. Calvert-Lewin
(14 Goals)
Z. Flemming
(11 Goals)
B. Aaronson
(5 Assists)
Q. Hartman
(5 Assists)
Leeds - Burnley Key Points
- Okafor has scored three goals in his last four appearances.
- Noah Okafor has created multiple goal attempts in all of his last four games.
- Burnley are averaging 2.47 goals shipped per away EPL game.
- Leeds are very motivated, whereas Burnley have nothing to play for.
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Our Leeds vs Burnley Prediction
With seven goals this season, the Swiss is actually averaging the same number of goals per 90 minutes played in the EPL as top-scorer Calvert-Lewin, so he’s clinical when he gets on the ball. He’s coming back to form after his injury, scoring in their last game at Elland Road, plus creating eight goal attempts in his last four.
Okafor is very pacey and powerful, he enjoys running in behind, as well as receiving the ball wide and cutting in. Ultimately, he’s simply an all-round forward, who, with all his abilities, can easily exploit a really unstructured defensive side, especially one with no motivation.
Our Leeds vs Burnley Pick: Noah Okafor to Score.
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