Leeds vs Arsenal Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Leeds
1/31/26 10:00
Arsenal

Prediction:

 

Draw

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 by Simon Day | in Premier League Picks

Premier League leaders Arsenal will be looking to end a run of three games without a victory when they visit in-form Leeds at Elland Road on Saturday afternoon. 

Sunday's shock 2-3 defeat at home to Manchester United allowed Aston Villa and Manchester City to cut the Gunners' lead at the top to just four points. Boss Mikel Arteta will see Saturday's game as a perfect opportunitiy to get his team back on track as they look to win their first title in over 20 years. 

Following their hard-fought draw at Everton on Monday night, Leeds have a six point cushion over the teams in the Premier League relegation zone. Daniel Farke's side have been excellent over the last two months and have now lost just one of their last 11 games in all competitions. 

Up to $1000 to bet on Leeds - Arsenal! 

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Leeds vs Arsenal Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Arsenal
85 38 26 7 5 +44
14 Leeds
47 38 11 14 13 -7

Leeds and Arsenal Latest Matches

Leeds
Leeds Latest matches
D D L W W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 26, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
Leeds

Jan 17, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  0
Fulham

Jan 11, 2026 - FA Cup

Derby County
1 :  3
Leeds

Jan 7, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
4 :  3
Leeds

Jan 4, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  1
Manchester United

Jan 1, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
0 :  0
Leeds
L W D W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 17, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  0
Fulham

Jan 4, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  1
Manchester United

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
4 :  1
Crystal Palace

Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  3
Liverpool

Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  1
Chelsea

Nov 23, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Aston Villa
D D D L W D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 26, 2026 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
Leeds

Jan 11, 2026 - FA Cup

Derby County
1 :  3
Leeds

Jan 7, 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
4 :  3
Leeds

Jan 1, 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
0 :  0
Leeds

Dec 28, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
1 :  1
Leeds

Dec 14, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  1
Leeds
Arsenal
Arsenal Latest matches
W W D W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Arsenal
3 :  2
Kairat Almaty

Jan 25, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  3
Manchester United

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

Inter Milan
1 :  3
Arsenal

Jan 17, 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  0
Arsenal

Jan 14, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
2 :  3
Arsenal

Jan 11, 2026 - FA Cup

Portsmouth
1 :  4
Arsenal
D W W D L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Arsenal
3 :  2
Kairat Almaty

Jan 25, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  3
Manchester United

Jan 8, 2026 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  0
Liverpool

Dec 30, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Aston Villa

Dec 27, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Brighton

Dec 23, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal
1 :  1
Crystal Palace
W W W W D W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

Inter Milan
1 :  3
Arsenal

Jan 17, 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  0
Arsenal

Jan 14, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
2 :  3
Arsenal

Jan 11, 2026 - FA Cup

Portsmouth
1 :  4
Arsenal

Jan 3, 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  3
Arsenal

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  1
Arsenal

Leeds against Arsenal : Head to Head (H2H)

Leeds

0 %

Draw

0 %

Arsenal

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored
3
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Aug 23, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
5 :  0
Leeds

Apr 1, 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  1
Leeds

Oct 16, 2022 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  1
Arsenal

May 8, 2022 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  1
Leeds

Dec 18, 2021 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  4
Arsenal

Oct 26, 2021 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal
2 :  0
Leeds
Leeds vs Arsenal Picks

Leeds against Arsenal Lineups: Starting 11

Leeds

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

26
K. Darlow
6
J. Rodon
5
P. Struijk
3
G. Gudmundsson
2
J. Bogle
4
E. Ampadu
44
I. Gruev
24
J. Justin
18
A. Stach
11
B. Aaronson
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
19
L. Trossard
14
V. Gyokeres
20
N. Madueke
41
D. Rice
36
M. Zubimendi
29
K. Havertz
5
P. Hincapie
6
G. Magalhaes
2
W. Saliba
12
J. Timber
1
D. Raya

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Arsenal

Substitutes

Leeds
Leeds
Goalkeeper

L. Perri

Defender

S. Bornauw

S. Byram

Midfielder

S. Longstaff

J. Justin 46'

A. Tanaka

F. Buonanotte

B. Aaronson 71'

Forward

N. Okafor

I. Gruev 46'

J. Piroe

D. Calvert-Lewin 85'

G. Wilfried

A. Stach 81'

Arsenal
Arsenal
Goalkeeper

K. Arrizabalaga

Defender

C. Mosquera

R. Calafiori

P. Hincapie 75'

B. White

Midfielder

E. Eze

L. Trossard 81'

C. Norgaard

M. Odegaard

K. Havertz 61'

Forward

G. Jesus

V. Gyokeres 76'

G. Martinelli

N. Madueke 61'

Missing players

Leeds
Leeds
Defender

J. Bijol

Forward

D. James

L. Nmecha

Arsenal
Arsenal
Midfielder

M. Merino

Forward

B. Saka

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Leeds
CD Huachipato Arsenal
Top Goalscorer
England D. Calvert-Lewin (14 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Sweden V. Gyokeres (14 Goals)
Best assists
USA B. Aaronson (5 Assists)
Best assists
Belgium L. Trossard (6 Assists)
Norway M. Odegaard (6 Assists)

Leeds - Arsenal Key Points

  1. Arsenal have drawn 2 of their last 3 Premier League games
  2. Leeds have lost just 1 of their last 10 Premier League games
  3. Leeds are unbeaten in their last home games
  4. Leeds have drawn 6 of their last 9 Premier League fixtures
Up to $1000 to bet on Leeds - Arsenal! 

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Our Leeds vs Arsenal Prediction

Arsenal are showing signs that the pressure of the title race is getting to them, so whilst the Gunners will be strong favorites at Elland Road, we think they will drop two more points. 

Leeds have improved immeasurably after a slow start to the season and their home form has been excellent over the last two months. 

The odds of 6.50 on a home win are fairly tempting, but we are taking the slightly shoter price on the game finishing all square. 

Our prediction for Leeds United vs Arsenal is: Draw.

Prediction:

 

Draw

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.