ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
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by Bradley Gibbs in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Picks
At the event taking place in Spain's capital of Madrid, also known as the Madrid Open, there's an all American affair set to unfold on Thursday, when up-and-comer Learner Tien will take on the more seasoned campaigner that is Marcos Giron. As the higher-ranked player, Marcos Giron is the early favorite in the betting, though I take issue with that. Don't be surprised if the market adjusts before this one begins, put it that way.
Learner Tien will be playing at this tournament for the first time in his short career, but he reached the semi-finals of the boys French Open last year, beating the hugely promising talent that is Joao Fonseca in the process, so he probably has enough game to seriously compete with a relatively weak clay-court player such as Giron. The 31-year-old has played in three Madrid Opens before, but he's never made it beyond the second round, while he exited in the first round last year. He's also a player with rather poor recent clay-court form to his name, which doesn't exactly bode well.
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Learner Tien vs Marcos Giron Form
Learner Tien and Marcos Giron Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Apr 14, 2025 - ATP Munich Open
Apr 13, 2025 - ATP Munich Open
Apr 12, 2025 - ATP Munich Open
Mar 31, 2025 - ATP Houston
Mar 20, 2025 - ATP Miami
Mar 6, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Apr 14, 2025 - ATP Munich Open
Apr 8, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 7, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Mar 20, 2025 - ATP Miami
Mar 11, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 9, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
Learner Tien - Marcos Giron Key Points
- Learner Tien has won two of his last three clay-court matches.
- Marcos Giron has lost two out of three on clay during the 2025 season.
- Marcos Giron has also lost 10 of his last 12 clay-court matches.
- Marcos Giron lost in the first round of this tournament back in 2024.
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Our Learner Tien vs Marcos Giron Prediction
If we take a second to be real, then it's fair to say that Marcos Giron offers very little in the way of promising clay-court form. He's lost each of his last two on clay, losing to a lower-ranked player last time out, while since early April 2024, he's won only two out of 12 clay-court matches. Tien has won two of his last three and continues to look like an improving player. Quite simply, as far as I'm concerned, Tien should be the favorite for this match, so while he's not, there's value to be had by betting on him to get the job done. Our Learner Tien vs Marcos Giron Prediction: Learner Tien to Win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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