Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Prediction & Picks - WTA US Open

WTA - WTA US Open

WTA 13 Czech Republic
Karolina Muchova
9/3/25 19:00
WTA 24 Japan
Naomi Osaka

Prediction:

 

Naomi Osaka to Win 2-0

+110
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 by Bradley Gibbs in Tennis Picks

One of the four WTA quarter finals taking place at the 2025 US Open sees Karolina Muchova take on Naomi Osaka, who put on a real show when defeating world number three Coco Gauff in straight sets last time out. With that huge win under her belt, the women who won this prestigious prize in both 2018 and 2020 will surely expect herself to book a place in the semi finals. Before the tournament, Osaka commented on how she's improved both mentally and physcially after a tough period, and it's been clear for all to see that the multiple Grand Slam winner is now back to her brilliant best. 

Karolina Muchova is a previous Grand Slam finalist, so she's no poor player, but it must be said that the Czech competitor has had to reach the quarter finals the hard way, needing three sets in each of her four matches so far. We know she's a serious battler and she can hang in there against some of the best, but does she really have enough in the locker to beat a player who is playing at the level of a world number one or two right now? 

Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Form

Karolina Muchova and Naomi Osaka Latest Matches

Karolina Muchova Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 1, 2025 - WTA US Open

Marta Kostyuk
1 :  2
Karolina Muchova

Aug 30, 2025 - WTA US Open

Linda Noskova
1 :  2
Karolina Muchova

Aug 28, 2025 - WTA US Open

Sorana Cirstea
1 :  2
Karolina Muchova

Aug 25, 2025 - WTA US Open

Venus Williams
1 :  2
Karolina Muchova

Aug 12, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Varvara Gracheva
2 :  0
Karolina Muchova

Aug 10, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Caroline Garcia
0 :  2
Karolina Muchova
Naomi Osaka Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 1, 2025 - WTA US Open

Naomi Osaka
2 :  0
Coco Gauff

Aug 30, 2025 - WTA US Open

Daria Kasatkina
1 :  2
Naomi Osaka

Aug 28, 2025 - WTA US Open

Hailey Baptiste
0 :  2
Naomi Osaka

Aug 26, 2025 - WTA US Open

Greet Minnen
0 :  2
Naomi Osaka

Aug 7, 2025 - WTA National Bank Open

Victoria Mboko
2 :  1
Naomi Osaka

Aug 6, 2025 - WTA National Bank Open

Naomi Osaka
2 :  0
Clara Tauson

Karolina Muchova against Naomi Osaka : Head to Head (H2H)

Karolina Muchova

50 %

Naomi Osaka

50 %

Jan 14, 2025 - WTA Australian Open

Karolina Muchova
1 :  2
Naomi Osaka

Aug 29, 2024 - WTA US Open

Naomi Osaka
0 :  2
Karolina Muchova
Compare Karolina Muchova and Naomi Osaka with our comparison tool.

Karolina Muchova - Naomi Osaka Key Points

  1. Naomi Osaka has won the US Open not once but twice before.
  2. Naomi Osaka comes into this match having beaten the world number three in straight sets.
  3. Karolina Muchova has had to expend more energy than Osaka in recent matches, entering a third set in each of her four US Open matches.
  4. Naomi Osaka has only entered a third set once in four matches at the 2025 US Open.

Our Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Prediction

I'm going to take Naomi Osaka to win this without dropping a set. Let's face it, the way in which the two-time US Open winner dealt with Coco Gauff last time out was hugely impressive. Off the back of such a win, Osaka looks set to deliver a similar effort against Muchova, who has had two tough three-set matches ahead of this massive task, meaning that the Czech player may not have enough in the tank to seriously push a player that is re-finding the level of form that saw her win this tournament back in 2020. Our Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Pick: Naomi Osaka to Win 2-0. 

Prediction:

 

Naomi Osaka to Win 2-0

+110
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Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Picks