ATP - Rolex Paris Masters
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by Lou Aguila in Rolex Paris Masters Picks
Brazilian wunderkind Joao Fonseca will test No.10 seed Karen Khachanov of Russia in the second round of the 2025 Paris Masters on Wednesday.
Fonseca, the new Swiss Indoors Basel champion, is a +127 underdog against Khachanov, who demolished his American opponent in the first round.
Current Form:
Fonseca pushed his winning streak to six matches after downing Denis Shapovalov for the second time in a week, 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 on Monday. Fonseca repeated against the former top-10 player by winning 13 of 15 service games and seizing four breakpoint conversions. Fonseca, who first defeated Shapovalov in the quarterfinals of the Swiss Indoors Basel 3-6, 6-3. 4-1 ret., is 6-2 in indoor play in 2025 and 19-7 in all his indoor matches.
Khachanov ended his five-match losing streak with authority, dismantling Ethan Quinn 6-1, 6-1 on Monday. Khachanov held 100 percent of his service games and broke Quinn five times on 25 return points. Ranked No. 14 in the world, Khachanov had suffered four consecutive opening matches before his breakthrough win. The Russian is 1-3 in indoor play in 2025.
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Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonseca Form
Karen Khachanov and Joao Fonseca Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Oct 27, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
Oct 20, 2025 - ATP Vienna
Oct 16, 2025 - Almaty Open
Oct 4, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Sep 24, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
Aug 28, 2025 - ATP US Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Oct 28, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
Oct 26, 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
Oct 25, 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
Oct 24, 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
Oct 23, 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
Oct 21, 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
Karen Khachanov - Joao Fonseca Key Points
- Joao Fonseca defeated Denis Shapovalov 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 in the first round of the 2025 Paris Masters.
- Joao Fonseca is 6-2 in indoor play in 2025.
- Karen Khachanov defeated Ethan Quinn 6-1, 6-1 in the first round of the 2025 Paris Masters.
- Karen Khachanov is 1-5 in his last six matches.
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Our Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonseca Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Joao Fonseca is my pick to win this match as he has the momentum and the blistering form right now. Fonseca’s second win over Shapovalov in the first round is a testament that is first win over the Canadian is no fluke and that he has finally arrived as a force to be reckoned with at this level. Meanwhile, Khachanov scored his first win after a five-match losing skid against Quinn but I don’t think he’s ready for Fonseca’s electric style of play. Khachanov is clearly spent after already logging 55 matches on the tour this year. Things would have been different if Khachanov were playing at his top form, but in this situation Fonseca is a strong bet to pull off an upset.
Our betting prediction for Joao Fonseca vs. Karen Khachanov: Joao Fonseca will win.
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