Karen Khachanov vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Picks - Rolex Paris Masters

ATP - Rolex Paris Masters

ATP 18 Russia
Karen Khachanov
10/30/25 11:20
ATP 7 Australia
Alex De Minaur

Prediction:

 

Karen Khachanov +3.5 Games

-175
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 by Lou Aguila | in Rolex Paris Masters Picks

Alex De Minaur of Australia is listed at -166 against Karen Khachanov of Russia in the third round of the 2025 Paris Masters on Thursday.

Current Form:

De Minaur outlasted Gabriel Diallo of Canada 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 in the second round of the 2025 Paris Masters. Fresh off a semifinal stint in Vienna, the Australian sustained his strong form, seizing 31 points behind the first ball to win 12 of 16 service games. He also converted two of his four breakpoint conversions in the deciding set to put Diallo away for good. De Minaur is 11-2 in indoor play in 2025.

Khachanov leaned on his experience to topple the new Basel Open champion Joao Fonseca 6-1, 3-6, 6-3 in a three-set banger on Wednesday. Khachanov controlled the flow by winning 80 percent of his first serves to seize 12 of 13 service games while breaking the Brazilian three times. Khachanov, who had snapped a five-match losing streak with a straight-set win over Ethan Quinn in the first round, is 2-3 in indoor play in 2025.

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Karen Khachanov vs Alex De Minaur Form

Karen Khachanov and Alex De Minaur Latest Matches

Karen Khachanov Latest matches
W L L L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Oct 29, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Karen Khachanov
2 :  1
Joao Fonseca

Oct 27, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Karen Khachanov
2 :  0
Ethan Quinn

Oct 20, 2025 - ATP Vienna

Karen Khachanov
1 :  2
Tallon Griekspoor

Oct 16, 2025 - Almaty Open

Karen Khachanov
1 :  2
Jan-Lennard Struff

Oct 4, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Karen Khachanov
0 :  2
Juncheng Shang

Sep 24, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Alexandre Muller
2 :  1
Karen Khachanov
Alex De Minaur Latest matches
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 29, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Gabriel Diallo
1 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Oct 25, 2025 - ATP Vienna

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

Oct 24, 2025 - ATP Vienna

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Matteo Berrettini

Oct 22, 2025 - ATP Vienna

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Filip Misolic

Oct 20, 2025 - ATP Vienna

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Jurij Rodionov

Oct 10, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

Karen Khachanov against Alex De Minaur : Head to Head (H2H)

Oct 26, 2024 - ATP Vienna

Karen Khachanov
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

Karen Khachanov - Alex De Minaur Key Points

  1. Karen Khachanov defeated Joao Fonseca 6-1, 3-6, 6-3 in the second round of the 2025 Paris Masters.
  2. Karen Khachanov is 2-3 in indoor play in 2025.
  3. Alex De Minaur defeated Gabriel Diallo 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 in the second round of the 2025 Paris Masters.
  4. Alex De Minaur is 11-2 in indoor play in 2025.
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Our Karen Khachanov vs Alex De Minaur Prediction

Fearless Forecast: Khachanov will cover the spread at +3.5 games in his fourth showdown with De Minaur. The Russian has regained his potent form after scoring two impressive wins over Quinn and Fonseca in Paris. Khachanov had endured a five-match losing streak before finding his groove back this week. De Minaur might still be a solid bet to win outright because of his fine play during the indoor season and throughout the 2025 ATP season. However, it’s important to note that De Minaur has lost his last two meetings to Khachanov, the last one in the semifinal at the 2024 Vienna Open, 2-6, 4-6.

Our betting prediction for Karen Khachanov vs. Alex De Minaur: Karen Khachanov +3.5 Games

Prediction:

 

Karen Khachanov +3.5 Games

-175
$200 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Karen Khachanov vs Alex De Minaur Picks