Kansas City Royals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Picks - MLB

Prediction published on 9/14/25, 9:38 AM  by Lou Aguila | Modified on 9/16/25 at 5:55 AM in MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies will try to extend their streak against the spread to six games as they shoot for another comfortable win over the Kansas City Royals.

Given their recent dominance, the Phillies are again a hot pick to cover -1.5 runs with DraftKings listing Philadelphia at +128 on the run line.

Will Kansas City spoil the fun?

Current Form:

The Phillies have won their last six games, winning the last five by at least two runs – including Saturday’s 8-6 win over Kansas City. Over the course of their last 10 games, Philadelphia has paraded an impressive 9-1 record against the spread. They averaged 6.6 runs per game on a .321 batting average while maintaining an impeccable 2.83 ERA in this 10-game stretch.

Royals have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games, and 1-4 in their last five games. Carrying a 3.73 ERA this season, Kansas City has allowed Philadelphia to score 8 runs in Game 1 and Game 2, causing their ERA over the last five games to jump to 5.27. The Royals have experienced a significant decline in their run production in this five-game stretch, averaging 2.8 runs per game on a .217 batting average. While Kansas City’s offense hasn’t been as explosive as those from other teams, their offensive numbers over the last five games are still significantly lower than the 3.8 runs per game they average this season.