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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The Philadelphia Phillies look to keep on rolling as they target their fifth straight win in Friday’s series opener against the Kansas City Royals at Citizens Bank Park.
The Phillies, who covered the -1.5 handicap in the final three games of their series against the Mets, carry a value of +148 on a -1.5 runline against the Royals.
Current Form:
The Phillies rallied from a 0-4 hole to beat the New York Mets 6-4 on Thursday, completing a four-game sweep of their NL East rivals at Citizens Bank Park. The win improved Philadelphia’s record to 87-60 and bolstered their chance of locking up the NL East title with just over two weeks left in the regular season. Over the last five games, the Phillies demonstrated exceptional pitching with a 2.66 ERA in the stretch. The Phillies have also averaged 6.2 runs per game on a .299 batting average, which allowed them to cover a 1.5 run spread in the last three games of their series with the Mets.
The Royals only won one out of four games they played against the Cleveland Guardians this week. As a result, Kansas City dropped to third in the AL Central standings with a 74-73 record and fell five games behind the 79-68 Houston Astros in the wild card race. Kansas City has batted .227 while averaging 3.7 runs per game in the last five games. Despite allowing only seven runs in the last three games, the Royals still posted a 4.60 ERA over the last five games, mainly due to the 10 runs they gave up in Game 1 vs. the Guardians.
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Kansas City Royals vs Philadelphia Phillies Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
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2
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0.592 | 147 | 87 | 60 |
17
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0.503 | 147 | 74 | 73 |
Kansas City Royals and Philadelphia Phillies Latest Matches

2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 11, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 6, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 7, 2025 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 11, 2025 - MLB
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Aug 27, 2025 - MLB
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 11, 2025 - MLB
Sep 10, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 6, 2025 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 11, 2025 - MLB
Sep 10, 2025 - MLB
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Aug 31, 2025 - MLB
Aug 30, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 7, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 1, 2025 - MLB
Kansas City Royals against Philadelphia Phillies : Head to Head (H2H)
20 %
80 %
Aug 6, 2023 - MLB
Aug 5, 2023 - MLB
May 12, 2019 - MLB
May 11, 2019 - MLB
May 10, 2019 - MLB
Kansas City Royals - Philadelphia Phillies Key Points
- Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
- Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against Philadelphia.
- Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games.
- Philadelphia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home.
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Our Kansas City Royals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
The Phillies are heavy favorites to win straight-up and cover, with ESPN Match Predictor giving Philadelphia a staggering 60 percent win probability for Game 1. Apart from their 7-1 record in their last 8 games, the Phillies have lost only once in the last 10 games at home. Starter Walker Buehler has not surrendered a single run in his last two mound appearances, while the Phillies bullpen is giving up a 3.86 ERA in the last five games.
The Royals, 1-4 in their last five games against the Phillies, have averaged below four runs a game while conceding a 4.60 ERA in their last five games. Kansas City will have to produce better numbers if it wishes to upset the red-hot Phillies or at least prevent them from covering the spread again in Game 1.
Our betting prediction for the Kansas City Royals vs. the Philadelphia Phillies: the Phillies -1.5 Runs.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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