Kansas City Royals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Kansas City Royals
9/12/25 18:45
Philadelphia Phillies

Prediction:

 

The Phillies -1.5 Runs

+148
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 by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies look to keep on rolling as they target their fifth straight win in Friday’s series opener against the Kansas City Royals at Citizens Bank Park.

The Phillies, who covered the -1.5 handicap in the final three games of their series against the Mets, carry a value of +148 on a -1.5 runline against the Royals.

Current Form:

The Phillies rallied from a 0-4 hole to beat the New York Mets 6-4 on Thursday, completing a four-game sweep of their NL East rivals at Citizens Bank Park. The win improved Philadelphia’s record to 87-60 and bolstered their chance of locking up the NL East title with just over two weeks left in the regular season. Over the last five games, the Phillies demonstrated exceptional pitching with a 2.66 ERA in the stretch. The Phillies have also averaged 6.2 runs per game on a .299 batting average, which allowed them to cover a 1.5 run spread in the last three games of their series with the Mets.

The Royals only won one out of four games they played against the Cleveland Guardians this week. As a result, Kansas City dropped to third in the AL Central standings with a 74-73 record and fell five games behind the 79-68 Houston Astros in the wild card race. Kansas City has batted .227 while averaging 3.7 runs per game in the last five games. Despite allowing only seven runs in the last three games, the Royals still posted a 4.60 ERA over the last five games, mainly due to the 10 runs they gave up in Game 1 vs. the Guardians.

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Kansas City Royals vs Philadelphia Phillies Form

Table

Teams % P W L
2
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies
0.592 147 87 60
17
Kansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals
0.503 147 74 73

Kansas City Royals and Philadelphia Phillies Latest Matches

Kansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals Latest matches
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 11, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
2 :  3
Cleveland Guardians

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
4 :  3
Cleveland Guardians

Sep 9, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
0 :  2
Cleveland Guardians

Sep 8, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
2 :  10
Cleveland Guardians

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
5 :  1
Kansas City Royals

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
2 :  11
Kansas City Royals
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
5 :  1
Kansas City Royals

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
2 :  11
Kansas City Royals

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
1 :  2
Kansas City Royals

Sep 4, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
3 :  4
Kansas City Royals

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
4 :  3
Kansas City Royals

Sep 2, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
5 :  1
Kansas City Royals
W W L L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 11, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
2 :  3
Cleveland Guardians

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
4 :  3
Cleveland Guardians

Sep 9, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
0 :  2
Cleveland Guardians

Sep 8, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
2 :  10
Cleveland Guardians

Aug 27, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
12 :  1
Chicago White Sox

Aug 26, 2025 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
5 :  4
Chicago White Sox
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 11, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  11
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 9, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  9
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 8, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  5
Miami Marlins

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  2
Miami Marlins
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 11, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
4 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 10, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  11
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 9, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  9
Philadelphia Phillies

Sep 8, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
0 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
3 :  1
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

Atlanta Braves
2 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 7, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  5
Miami Marlins

Sep 6, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
4 :  2
Miami Marlins

Sep 5, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
9 :  3
Miami Marlins

Sep 4, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
2 :  0
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
3 :  6
Milwaukee Brewers

Sep 1, 2025 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
10 :  8
Milwaukee Brewers

Kansas City Royals against Philadelphia Phillies : Head to Head (H2H)

Kansas City Royals

20 %

Philadelphia Phillies

80 %

Aug 6, 2023 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
4 :  8
Philadelphia Phillies

Aug 5, 2023 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
6 :  9
Philadelphia Phillies

May 12, 2019 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
6 :  1
Kansas City Royals

May 11, 2019 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
7 :  0
Kansas City Royals

May 10, 2019 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  5
Kansas City Royals

Kansas City Royals - Philadelphia Phillies Key Points

  1. Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
  2. Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against Philadelphia.
  3. Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games.
  4. Philadelphia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home.
Up to 500+ to bet on Kansas City Royals - Philadelphia Phillies! 

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Our Kansas City Royals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The Phillies are heavy favorites to win straight-up and cover, with ESPN Match Predictor giving Philadelphia a staggering 60 percent win probability for Game 1. Apart from their 7-1 record in their last 8 games, the Phillies have lost only once in the last 10 games at home. Starter Walker Buehler has not surrendered a single run in his last two mound appearances, while the Phillies bullpen is giving up a 3.86 ERA in the last five games.

The Royals, 1-4 in their last five games against the Phillies, have averaged below four runs a game while conceding a 4.60 ERA in their last five games. Kansas City will have to produce better numbers if it wishes to upset the red-hot Phillies or at least prevent them from covering the spread again in Game 1.

Our betting prediction for the Kansas City Royals vs. the Philadelphia Phillies: the Phillies -1.5 Runs.

Prediction:

 

The Phillies -1.5 Runs

+148
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Kansas City Royals vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks
Up to 500+ to bet on Kansas City Royals - Philadelphia Phillies! 

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