Dallas Cowboys vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction & Picks - NFL

USA - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
11/27/25 16:30
Kansas City Chiefs

Prediction:

 

Under 52.5 points

-109
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 by Erik Gibbs | in NFL Picks

The Dallas Cowboys meet the Kansas City Chiefs on Thanksgiving evening in a high-stakes clash. Dallas, currently 5-5-1, has endured a season of sharp highs and steep lows. Blowout losses to Denver and Arizona exposed defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistency on offense. Yet they've bounced back with two strong wins, including a solid performance on the road against Las Vegas and a narrow victory over Philadelphia.

These wins showcased a team capable of clicking on both sides of the ball, especially when they control the tempo early. Dallas's trajectory points upward, but concerns remain about their ability to sustain success against top-tier opponents.

Kansas City, at 6-5, has also faced turbulence. Road losses to Buffalo and Denver were characterized by untimely turnovers and defensive lapses. However, their overtime win against Indianapolis showed resilience, as the offense reignited and the defense came through in key spots. Kansas City's record reflects a team still searching for consistency but fully capable of beating anyone on their day. With a dynamic offense and experience in big games, they remain dangerous.

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Dallas Cowboys vs Kansas City Chiefs Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
21 Dallas Cowboys
0.412 17 7 9
24 Kansas City Chiefs
0.353 17 6 11

Dallas Cowboys and Kansas City Chiefs Latest Matches

Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys Latest matches
L W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
24 :  21
Philadelphia Eagles

Nov 17, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
16 :  33
Dallas Cowboys

Nov 3, 2025 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
17 :  27
Arizona Cardinals

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
44 :  24
Dallas Cowboys

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
44 :  22
Washington Commanders

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
30 :  27
Dallas Cowboys
L W D W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
24 :  21
Philadelphia Eagles

Nov 3, 2025 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
17 :  27
Arizona Cardinals

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
44 :  22
Washington Commanders

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
40 :  40
Green Bay Packers

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
40 :  37
New York Giants

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
19 :  23
Washington Commanders
L L W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Nov 17, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
16 :  33
Dallas Cowboys

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
44 :  24
Dallas Cowboys

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
30 :  27
Dallas Cowboys

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
22 :  37
Dallas Cowboys

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Chicago Bears
31 :  14
Dallas Cowboys

Sep 4, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
24 :  20
Dallas Cowboys
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs Latest matches
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
23 :  20
Indianapolis Colts

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
22 :  19
Kansas City Chiefs

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
28 :  21
Kansas City Chiefs

Oct 27, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
28 :  7
Washington Commanders

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
31 :  0
Las Vegas Raiders

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
30 :  17
Detroit Lions
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
23 :  20
Indianapolis Colts

Oct 27, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
28 :  7
Washington Commanders

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
31 :  0
Las Vegas Raiders

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
30 :  17
Detroit Lions

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
37 :  20
Baltimore Ravens

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
17 :  20
Philadelphia Eagles
L L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
22 :  19
Kansas City Chiefs

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
28 :  21
Kansas City Chiefs

Oct 6, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
31 :  28
Kansas City Chiefs

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

New York Giants
9 :  22
Kansas City Chiefs

Sep 5, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
27 :  21
Kansas City Chiefs

Feb 9, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
40 :  22
Kansas City Chiefs
Dallas Cowboys vs Kansas City Chiefs Picks

Dallas Cowboys - Kansas City Chiefs Key Points

  1. The Over is 0-6 in the Chiefs’ last 6 games as favorites
  2. The Chiefs are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games after an OT game
  3. The Cowboys are 1-9 SU in their last 10 November games vs. AFC teams
  4. The Cowboys are 0-4 in first-half wins in their last 4 games as underdogs after a home win
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Our Dallas Cowboys vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction

Quarterback Dak Prescott has thrown for over 350 yards in recent games for the Cowboys, and demonstrated strong leadership during their recent surge. CeeDee Lamb continues to be a focal point, making explosive plays and stretching defenses. Running back Tony Pollard adds versatility to the offense, while the Cowboys' offensive line gives Prescott time to operate.

Kansas City still continues to bring a potent aerial attack behind Patrick Mahomes. He has consistently posted high passing yardage, dissecting defenses with precision. Tight end Travis Kelce remains a reliable option, and wide receiver Rashee Rice has stepped up with breakout performances. The running game, while not as dominant, has been effective enough to keep defenses honest.

Defensively, both teams have struggled at times. Dallas has given up high point totals, and Kansas City has also been vulnerable against big plays. The outcome may hinge on which defense can force turnovers and apply pressure in the red zone. While Dallas benefits from home-field advantage and recent momentum, Kansas City's offensive firepower and big-game experience may give them the edge. Our prediction for Dallas Cowboys vs. Kansas City Chiefs: Under 52.5 points.

Prediction:

 

Under 52.5 points

-109
$250 offered for betting!

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