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by Erik Gibbs in NFL Picks
The Dallas Cowboys meet the Kansas City Chiefs on Thanksgiving evening in a high-stakes clash. Dallas, currently 5-5-1, has endured a season of sharp highs and steep lows. Blowout losses to Denver and Arizona exposed defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistency on offense. Yet they've bounced back with two strong wins, including a solid performance on the road against Las Vegas and a narrow victory over Philadelphia.
These wins showcased a team capable of clicking on both sides of the ball, especially when they control the tempo early. Dallas's trajectory points upward, but concerns remain about their ability to sustain success against top-tier opponents.
Kansas City, at 6-5, has also faced turbulence. Road losses to Buffalo and Denver were characterized by untimely turnovers and defensive lapses. However, their overtime win against Indianapolis showed resilience, as the offense reignited and the defense came through in key spots. Kansas City's record reflects a team still searching for consistency but fully capable of beating anyone on their day. With a dynamic offense and experience in big games, they remain dangerous.
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Kansas City Chiefs vs Dallas Cowboys Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
17
|
0.545 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
|
20
|
0.455 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 |
Kansas City Chiefs and Dallas Cowboys Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Nov 23, 2025 - NFL
Nov 16, 2025 - NFL
Nov 2, 2025 - NFL
Oct 27, 2025 - NFL
Oct 19, 2025 - NFL
Oct 12, 2025 - NFL
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Nov 23, 2025 - NFL
Oct 27, 2025 - NFL
Oct 19, 2025 - NFL
Oct 12, 2025 - NFL
Sep 28, 2025 - NFL
Sep 14, 2025 - NFL
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Nov 16, 2025 - NFL
Nov 2, 2025 - NFL
Oct 6, 2025 - NFL
Sep 21, 2025 - NFL
Sep 5, 2025 - NFL
Feb 9, 2025 - NFL
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Nov 23, 2025 - NFL
Nov 17, 2025 - NFL
Nov 3, 2025 - NFL
Oct 26, 2025 - NFL
Oct 19, 2025 - NFL
Oct 12, 2025 - NFL
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Nov 23, 2025 - NFL
Nov 3, 2025 - NFL
Oct 19, 2025 - NFL
Sep 28, 2025 - NFL
Sep 14, 2025 - NFL
Jan 5, 2025 - NFL
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Nov 17, 2025 - NFL
Oct 26, 2025 - NFL
Oct 12, 2025 - NFL
Oct 5, 2025 - NFL
Sep 21, 2025 - NFL
Sep 4, 2025 - NFL
Kansas City Chiefs - Dallas Cowboys Key Points
- The Over is 0-6 in the Chiefs’ last 6 games as favorites
- The Chiefs are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games after an OT game
- The Cowboys are 1-9 SU in their last 10 November games vs. AFC teams
- The Cowboys are 0-4 in first-half wins in their last 4 games as underdogs after a home win
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Our Kansas City Chiefs vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction
Quarterback Dak Prescott has thrown for over 350 yards in recent games for the Cowboys, and demonstrated strong leadership during their recent surge. CeeDee Lamb continues to be a focal point, making explosive plays and stretching defenses. Running back Tony Pollard adds versatility to the offense, while the Cowboys' offensive line gives Prescott time to operate.
Kansas City still continues to bring a potent aerial attack behind Patrick Mahomes. He has consistently posted high passing yardage, dissecting defenses with precision. Tight end Travis Kelce remains a reliable option, and wide receiver Rashee Rice has stepped up with breakout performances. The running game, while not as dominant, has been effective enough to keep defenses honest.
Defensively, both teams have struggled at times. Dallas has given up high point totals, and Kansas City has also been vulnerable against big plays. The outcome may hinge on which defense can force turnovers and apply pressure in the red zone. While Dallas benefits from home-field advantage and recent momentum, Kansas City's offensive firepower and big-game experience may give them the edge. Our prediction for Dallas Cowboys vs. Kansas City Chiefs: Under 52.5 points.
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