Juncheng Shang vs Adrian Mannarino Prediction & Picks - ATP Chengdu Open

ATP - ATP Chengdu Open

ATP 227 China
Juncheng Shang
9/21/26 22:00
ATP 79 France
Adrian Mannarino

Prediction:

 

Adrian Mannarino +1.5 Set Handicap

-133
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks

One of the matches due to take place at the ATP event in Chengdu, during the final few hours of Tuesday for those in the US, sees Juncheng Shang and Adrian Mannarino clash. This is a match between the man who is currently ranked 253rd in the world and a player who holds a current rank of 78th. The early market has Juncheng Shang down as a sizable favorite here, but is that really easy to agree with? For our money, absolutely not.

The Chinese player has won this event before, doing so in 2024, and that does entitle him to plenty of respect. However, it looks as if the early market is focusing a little too heavily on that 2024 success. Make no mistake about it, Shang has moved in the wrong direction since winning this event, while it's not as if Mannarino is without form in Chengdu, plus he's the much higher-ranked player, who has played much more recently, which could give him a preparation edge. 

Juncheng Shang vs Adrian Mannarino Form

Juncheng Shang and Adrian Mannarino Latest Matches

Juncheng Shang Latest matches
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 31, 2026 - ATP US Open

Juncheng Shang
2 :  3
Marco Trungelliti

Aug 14, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Juncheng Shang
0 :  2
Lorenzo Sonego

Aug 6, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Luciano Darderi
2 :  1
Juncheng Shang

Aug 4, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Juncheng Shang
2 :  1
Andrey Rublev

Aug 2, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
0 :  2
Juncheng Shang

Jul 27, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Kei Nishikori
2 :  1
Juncheng Shang
Adrian Mannarino Latest matches
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Sep 2, 2026 - ATP US Open

Alexander Bublik
3 :  0
Adrian Mannarino

Aug 30, 2026 - ATP US Open

Thiago Agustin Tirante
2 :  3
Adrian Mannarino

Aug 25, 2026 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Adrian Mannarino
0 :  2
Lorenzo Sonego

Aug 13, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Denis Shapovalov
2 :  0
Adrian Mannarino

Aug 4, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Jacob Fearnley
2 :  0
Adrian Mannarino

Jul 29, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Alex Michelsen
2 :  0
Adrian Mannarino
Juncheng Shang vs Adrian Mannarino Picks

Juncheng Shang - Adrian Mannarino Key Points

  1. Adrian Mannarino defeated Juncheng Shang when the pair last met.
  2. Juncheng Shang has not played competitively for three weeks.
  3. Adrian Mannarino has played three matches since Juncheng Shang last played, which could give him the edge in terms of preparation.
  4. Juncheng Shang has not won any of his last three matches.

Our Juncheng Shang vs Adrian Mannarino Prediction

Make no mistake about it, Adrian Mannarino has lost his way in recent times, losing far too frequently, but let's face it, he's not exactly up against an in-form opponent. Juncheng Shang is also out of form, while he really could be less prepared than the French player, who has competed much more recently. Moreover, Mannarino has the positive experience of having beaten Shang before, which is more than can be said for the Chinese competitor. 

Taking everything into consideration, regardless of the fact that Shang has previously won this event, in the right-here-and-now, the odds are simply out of whack. Adrian Mannarino has a better chance of avoiding a straight-set defeat than odds of -133 would have us believe. Take the value on offer. 

Our Juncheng Shang vs Adrian Mannarino Pick: Adrian Mannarino +1.5 Set Handicap.

Prediction:

 

Adrian Mannarino +1.5 Set Handicap

-133
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.