Jordan Thompson vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction & Picks - ATP Japan Open

ATP - ATP Japan Open

ATP 108 Australia
Jordan Thompson
9/25/25 01:50
ATP 33 USA
Brandon Nakashima

Prediction:

 

Brandon Nakashima wins

-245
$250 offered for betting!

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 by Tyler Doty | in Tennis Picks

The players of the season have now gathered in Japan for the 2025 edition of the ATP 500 tournament in Tokyo! In the first round, Australia's Jordan Thompson and America's Brandon Nakashima will face each other in front of the Japanese crowd as they attempt to reach the round of 16.

The last few weeks have been difficult for Jordan Thompson. He arrives in Japan with three consecutive defeats and no fewer than five defeats in his last six matches. Having not won a single set since August 28, when he lost in the second round of the US Open to Adrian Mannarino, the Australian has little hope of qualifying for the next round.

Brandon Nakashima, on the other hand, seems to be performing better in the tournaments he is participating in. Although he seems to be struggling to confirm his form in the second rounds, the 24-year-old American has managed to win the first round of 100% of his hard-court tournaments in recent weeks. A quarterfinalist at the Washington tournament, Nakashima has nevertheless continued his winning streak recently, winning his first two rounds in Chengdu this week to reach the semifinals against Alejandro Tabilo. 

Jordan Thompson vs Brandon Nakashima Form

Jordan Thompson and Brandon Nakashima Latest Matches

Jordan Thompson Latest matches
L L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 18, 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Jordan Thompson
0 :  2
Alejandro Tabilo

Sep 13, 2025 - Davis Cup

Jordan Thompson
0 :  2
Zizou Bergs

Aug 27, 2025 - ATP US Open

Jordan Thompson
1 :  3
Adrian Mannarino

Aug 24, 2025 - ATP US Open

Jordan Thompson
3 :  1
Corentin Moutet

Aug 7, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Jordan Thompson
0 :  2
Adrian Mannarino

Jul 6, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Taylor Fritz
abort
Jordan Thompson
Brandon Nakashima Latest matches
L W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 22, 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Brandon Nakashima
0 :  2
Alejandro Tabilo

Sep 21, 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Marcos Giron
1 :  2
Brandon Nakashima

Sep 19, 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Juncheng Shang
0 :  2
Brandon Nakashima

Aug 27, 2025 - ATP US Open

Brandon Nakashima
2 :  3
Jerome Kym

Aug 24, 2025 - ATP US Open

Brandon Nakashima
3 :  2
Jesper De Jong

Aug 12, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Brandon Nakashima
0 :  2
Alexander Zverev

Jordan Thompson against Brandon Nakashima : Head to Head (H2H)

Jordan Thompson

33 %

Brandon Nakashima

67 %

May 9, 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Jordan Thompson
- :  -
Brandon Nakashima

Jul 3, 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Brandon Nakashima
3 :  0
Jordan Thompson

Jul 3, 2023 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Jordan Thompson
3 :  2
Brandon Nakashima

Jordan Thompson - Brandon Nakashima Key Points

  1. Jordan Thompson is ranked 78th in the world.
  2. Thompson has won 6 matches and lost 7 on hard courts this year.
  3. Brandon Nakashima is ranked 33rd in the world.
  4. Nakashima has won 50% of his last 10 matches.
  5. The two players are tied at 2-5 in their head-to-head matches.

Our Jordan Thompson vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction

Jordan Thompson and Brandon Nakashima face each other for the eighth time in their careers in this first round! And in their previous encounters, it is the American who has the advantage, with five wins against the Australian. A semi-finalist at the Chengdu tournament a few days ago, Nakashima is the clear favorite in this match to make a successful debut in front of the Japanese crowd. The Australian has been struggling in recent weeks.

Our prediction for Jordan Thompson vs Brandon Nakashima: victory for Brandon Nakashima!

Prediction:

 

Brandon Nakashima wins

-245
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Jordan Thompson vs Brandon Nakashima Picks