ATP - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
Joao Fonseca of Brazil will take on Denis Shapovalov of Canada in an electric quarterfinal clash at the 2025 Swiss Indoors Basel.
Fonseca opened as a -120 favorite, but the +100 underdog Shapovalov carries a 9-1 record in indoor matches in 2025.
Current Form:
Fonseca advanced to the quarterfinals without breaking a sweat after his scheduled opponent, Jakub Mensik, decided to withdraw hours before the match because of a nagging injury. Fonseca, 5-7 in indoor matches in 2025, vanquished Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 7-6, 6-3 in the first round of the 2025 Swiss Indoors Basel.
After grinding out a three-set win over Marcos Giron 6-7, 6-0, 7-6 in the first round, Shapovalov swept Valentin Royer of France 7-6, 6-2 to earn another quarterfinals stint, a week after reaching the semis at the 2025 Stockholm Open. Shapovalov is 9-1 in indoor matches in 2025.
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Joao Fonseca vs Denis Shapovalov Form
Joao Fonseca and Denis Shapovalov Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Oct 23, 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
Oct 21, 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
Oct 14, 2025 - Brussels Open
Sep 19, 2025 - Laver Cup,Singles Matches
Aug 27, 2025 - ATP US Open
Aug 25, 2025 - ATP US Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Oct 23, 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
Oct 21, 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
Oct 18, 2025 - Stockholm Open
Oct 17, 2025 - Stockholm Open
Oct 15, 2025 - Stockholm Open
Oct 6, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Joao Fonseca - Denis Shapovalov Key Points
- Denis Shapovalov defeated Valentin Royer 7-6, 6-2 in the second round of the 2025 Swiss Indoors Basel.
- Denis Shapovalov is 9-1 in indoor matches in 2025.
- Joao Fonseca is 2-0 in indoor matches in 2025.
- Joao Fonseca reached the quarterfinal of the 2025 Swiss Indoors Basel after receiving a walkover win over Jakub Mensik.
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Our Joao Fonseca vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Denis Shapovalov is my pick to win this duel. I have the Canadian grinding out a 6-7, 7-5, 7-6 win over the promising Joao Fonseca. The Brazilian has shown top-notch skills in his victory over the big-serving Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, but he would have to elevate his game to another notch if he wants to get similar results against Shapovalov, who is 9-1 in indoor matches in 2025. Fonseca has the skills and bravado to match Shapovalov’s on-court intensity. However, I still think the Canadian is significantly better than him in indoor playing conditions. Shapovalov has created 16 breakpoint chances in two matches in Basel, converting half of them.
Our betting prediction for Denis Shapovalov vs. Joao Fonseca: Denis Shapovalov will win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
