Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Prediction & Picks - WTA Bad Homburg Open

WTA - WTA Bad Homburg Open

WTA 3 USA
Jessica Pegula
6/28/25 07:30
WTA 8 Poland
Iga Swiatek

Prediction:

 

Jessica Pegula +3.5 Games

+100
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 by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks

Iga Swiatek of Poland will lock horns with Jessica Pegula of the United States in the final of the 2025 Bad Homburg Open on Saturday.

Swiatek made it to her first championship match in 2025 after posting a surgical win over Jasmine Paolini of Italy 6-1 6-3 in Friday’s semifinal. The 5-time Grand Slam winner delivered her best performance on grass this week, as she absolutely outclassed the No.2 seed Paolini from start to finish. For the first time in the tournament, Swiatek landed more than 70 percent of her first serves at 76 percent, winning 26 points. The Pole also broke Paolini five times and only allowed one service break the entire match.

Pegula will be making her fifth final appearance this year and first since winning the Charleston Open in March. Pegula bested Linda Noskova of the Czech Republic in another three-set slugfest 6-7(2) 7-5 6-1. Pegula, who came off another three-set classic with Emma Navarro 6-4 1-6 6-3 on Thursday, produced 108 points in the match, 62 of which came from her first serves and 40 on returns. The American also captured 5 breakpoint conversions, including 2 service breaks in the pivotal third set.

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Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Form

Jessica Pegula and Iga Swiatek Latest Matches

Jessica Pegula Latest matches
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 27, 2025 - WTA Bad Homburg Open

Jessica Pegula
2 :  1
Linda Noskova

Jun 26, 2025 - WTA Bad Homburg Open

Jessica Pegula
2 :  1
Emma Navarro

Jun 24, 2025 - WTA Bad Homburg Open

Jessica Pegula
2 :  0
Katerina Siniakova

Jun 18, 2025 - WTA Berlin Open

Liudmila Samsonova
2 :  1
Jessica Pegula

Jun 2, 2025 - WTA French Open

Lois Boisson
2 :  1
Jessica Pegula

May 31, 2025 - WTA French Open

Marketa Vondrousova
1 :  2
Jessica Pegula
Iga Swiatek Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jun 27, 2025 - WTA Bad Homburg Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Jasmine Paolini

Jun 26, 2025 - WTA Bad Homburg Open

Ekaterina Alexandrova
0 :  2
Iga Swiatek

Jun 24, 2025 - WTA Bad Homburg Open

Victoria Azarenka
0 :  2
Iga Swiatek

Jun 5, 2025 - WTA French Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  1
Iga Swiatek

Jun 3, 2025 - WTA French Open

Elina Svitolina
0 :  2
Iga Swiatek

Jun 1, 2025 - WTA French Open

Elena Rybakina
1 :  2
Iga Swiatek

Jessica Pegula against Iga Swiatek : Head to Head (H2H)

Jessica Pegula

33 %

Iga Swiatek

67 %

Sep 4, 2024 - WTA US Open

Iga Swiatek
0 :  2
Jessica Pegula

Nov 6, 2023 - WTA Doha

Jessica Pegula
0 :  2
Iga Swiatek

Aug 12, 2023 - WTA National Bank Open

Iga Swiatek
1 :  2
Jessica Pegula

Feb 18, 2023 - WTA Doha

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Jessica Pegula

Sep 7, 2022 - WTA US Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Jessica Pegula

Jun 1, 2022 - WTA French Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Jessica Pegula
Compare Jessica Pegula and Iga Swiatek with our comparison tool.

Jessica Pegula - Iga Swiatek Key Points

  1. Jessica Pegula defeated Linda Noskova 6-7(2) 7-5 6-1 in the semifinal of the 2025 Bad Homburg Open.
  2. Jessica Pegula is a career 33-32 on grass.
  3. Iga Swiatek defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-1, 6-3 in the semifinal of the 2025 Bad Homburg Open.
  4. Iga Swiatek is 6-4 head-to-head with Jessica Pegula.
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Our Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Prediction

Why should you pick Jessica Pegula to cover +3.5 Games (Win $100 on a $100 Bet) – I know Swiatek has just demolished Paolini in straight sets, but Pegula is a much bigger threat than the Italian on fast surfaces. Moreover, Pegula has won 3 of his last 5 meetings with the Pole, including a clean 6-2 6-4 victory in the quarterfinal of the 2024 US Open. Pegula is 2-2 in championship matches this year, while Swiatek is 0-1, if you count Poland’s loss to the United States at the United Cup. In most cases, I would have picked Pegula to win straight-up; however, I cannot ignore that Swiatek can pull off another masterclass, especially if she gets hot early.

Our betting prediction for Iga Swiatek vs. Jessica Pegula: Jessica Pegula +3.5 Games.

Prediction:

 

Jessica Pegula +3.5 Games

+100
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Picks
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