ATP - ATP Cincinnati Open


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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Cincinnati Open Picks
Jenson Brooksby is attempting to stage another surprising deep run in Cincinnati as the American guns for a place in the third round of the ATP 1000-level event against Arthur Casaux of France on Sunday.
Brooksby snapped a three-match slump after outslugging Arthur Rinderknech in a three-set thriller, 7-6(2) 5-7 6-1. After consecutive first-round losses in Washington and Toronto, Brooksby played his best tennis in weeks, coming through with several clutch winners in the first-set tiebreaker while exhibiting incredible mental strength to put Rinderknech away in the third set after squandering the opportunity to sweep the Frenchman. To sum it up, Brooksby won the game by winning 70 percent of his first serves and seizing four key breakpoints against Rinderknech.
Meanwhile, Casaux effortlessly secured his slot in the second round of the 2025 Cincinnati Open after receiving a lucky loser bye. Casaux lost to Thiago Agustin Tirante 6(7)-7 3-6 in the final qualification match, but by sheer luck, he was awarded a bye into the second round for being a lucky loser. Casaux has a 69 percent win rate on the hard court, though he has only compiled a 5-7 on the surface this year.
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Jenson Brooksby vs Arthur Cazaux Form
Jenson Brooksby and Arthur Cazaux Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Aug 8, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Jul 29, 2025 - ATP Toronto
Jul 21, 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Jul 2, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jun 30, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jun 28, 2025 - ATP Eastbourne International
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 6, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 5, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Jul 26, 2025 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open
Jul 25, 2025 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open
Jul 24, 2025 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open
Jul 23, 2025 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open
Jenson Brooksby - Arthur Cazaux Key Points
- Jenson Brooksby defeated Arthur Rinderknech 7-6(2) 5-7 6-1 in the first round of the 2025 Cincinnati Open.
- Jenson Brooksby is 4-6 on the hard court this year.
- Arthur Casaux reached the second round of the 2025 Cincinnati Open as a lucky loser.
- Arthur Casaux is 5-7 on the hard court this year.
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Our Jenson Brooksby vs Arthur Cazaux Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Jenson Brooksby edged Arthur Casaux to advance to the third round.
This is an intriguing matchup between two players who haven’t had much success on the hard court this year. Brooksby is only 4-6 on the surface this year, while Casaux is 5-7. Sunday’s match will also be the first time they play each other on the other, adding another layer of unpredictability to this duel.
Matchstats gives Casaux a slight 50.8 percent win probability, but I would take my chances on Brooksby who is coming off an emotional win over Rinderknech. The three-set thriller on Friday makes Brooksby more battle-ready than Casaux, who was given a second-round bye despite losing in his most recent match to Tirante.
It will be a close one, but Brooksby seems to be a sound moneyline a bet at -128.
Our betting prediction for Jenson Brooksby vs. Arthur Casaux: Jenson Brooksby will win
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